Michael Tracey Profile picture
Jan 26 5 tweets 2 min read
German Green Party manifesto in the 2021 election called for banning "export of arms and military equipment" into war zones. They won 118 seats on this pledge, entered the ruling coalition, and are now the government's most hardcore proponents of exporting arms into war zones
"Germany should be a driving force in the political de-escalation of conflicts," the manifesto reads -- raising the question of whether the Green Party now views Leopard Tanks as new, cutting-edge "political de-escalation" devices
"Disarmament" is a major theme in the manifesto. (In government, the theme has apparently become "armament.") As such the Greens repeatedly emphasize their call for "de-escalation in conflict zones" -- including specifically in relation to Russia

Well, gee whiz...
With all those other pledges having been thrown out the window, it appears they're still retaining the over-arching ideological pledge of a "feminist foreign policy" -- adoption of which is "mandatory"
This is what feminism looks like, apparently...

@ABaerbock

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More from @mtracey

Jan 27
Victoria Nuland said yesterday that the US is working on setting up a "judicial mechanism" to prosecute Putin, whom she preemptively declared guilty. Thus confirming that the US is pursuing regime change. If you're throwing Putin in prison, you're changing the regime by force
Also seems like the US dealing a death blow to any potential negotiations. If the US is publicly declaring its intent to remove, prosecute, and imprison Putin, that's effectively a declaration that the war can now only be resolved with the demise of the current Russian government
So it would seem the only options now are unconditional defeat for Ukraine or unconditional defeat for Russia. Because the US is blasting away any conceivable framework wherein some brokered settlement might be agreed among the parties. Ratcheting up the existential stakes to max
Read 4 tweets
Jan 27
Looks and sounds like Paul Pelosi was just trying to defuse the situation and keep the wack-job intruder calm. It was always justified to request more information before drawing conclusions about the attack. Not justified to start running wild with salacious sex theories, however
Such a dumb thing to have a partisan flamewar about, there's no larger principle at stake in the competing theories of the incident -- just nasty two-way grudges and resentments
Anyway the 911 call gives the most credence to the "disoriented 82 year old man trying to buy time until the police arrive" theory
Read 5 tweets
Jan 27
In practice, the word "genocide" has come to just mean "really bad." It has no stable definitional criteria beyond that
Russia and Ukraine both accuse one another of committing genocide right now. For most conflicts anywhere in the world, there will usually be cross-cutting allegations of genocide, and in practice the meaning of the word is just interchangeable with "really bad"
Use of the word "genocide" is frequently intended to be evocative of the Nazi Holocaust, so the moral resonance of that event can be applied to ongoing present-day events, and bolster calls for various political/economic/military interventions
Read 6 tweets
Jan 26
Not adequately emphasized is that this latest upsurge of arms to Ukraine -- PATRIOT missiles, tanks -- coincides with the establishment of a new "long-term" joint US command led by a three-star general. US is rapidly bureaucratizing and "permanentizing" its involvement in the war Image
"Security Assistance Group-Ukraine" or "SAG-U," the new joint US command -- slated to be up and running by "early 2023" -- recalls an earlier example of a joint US command: "Military Assistance Command-Vietnam" or "MACV," established in 1961 and led by a three-star general
Kennedy established the command in December of 1961. In November, he had received the "Taylor report" recommending a new phase of US military involvement in the war, namely an infusion of US personnel nominally for the purpose of handling "logistics" and organizing "flood relief" Image
Read 8 tweets
Jan 25
Latvian journalist Kristaps Andrejsons, aka @Eastern_Border -- really seems to be on top of his game 👇
Seems like a cry for help
On the other hand, if he's really coming from Latvia to New Jersey just to kick my ass, I have to respect that on some level
Read 4 tweets
Jan 24
Nothing in this thread specifies what Nate Silver actually did to wrong this person, other than "create an environment of hierarchy and fear," which is a hilarious thing to allege that Nate Silver ruled over with an iron fist
I also don't believe Nate Silver ever "dismissed all relevance of race and gender" in the 2016 election, partly because I guarantee you could find approximately ten billion references to race/gender in FiveThirtyEight's 2016 election coverage, including from the author herself
A much sought-after public speaker, the author lists her first area of expertise not as anything to do with journalism per se, but "building workplace race and gender equity"
Read 4 tweets

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