#NigeriaDecides2023: Given what is at stake, it will be reckless to rely on mere assurances - Chima Christian
There are two critical success factors in any election; voter mobilisation and election results management. This is even more so for developing countries where...
...institutions are not yet robust enough to withstand the twin evil of internal compromises and external pressures.
The @NgLabour; her presidential and vice presidential candidates; their presidential campaign council; and the numerous donors, volunteers, and support groups powering the #OBIdient movement should be given due credit for their incredible voter mobilization efforts.
The weakest link however remains the election results management systems and processes.
At a personal level, I have made what I believe were compelling arguments as to why Nigerians, especially the leadership of political parties, outside of the big two, should work hard to minimise the possibility of a technical compromise of the upcoming elections.
For some reason, the leadership of these parties, their candidates, and their campaign councils are not interested in having such discussions. Some seem worried that openly interrogating INEC's systems at this time may dampen the morale of their would-be voters.
Others hinge their confidence on President Muhammadu Buhari's “body language” and the “assurances” given by INEC.
For so many prospective voters and the communities they represent, the issues at stake in the 2023 general elections are matters of life and death. For many others, the outcome of the elections will have monumental and irreparable consequences.
Those who look at these realities and chose to emplace this level of confidence on mere assurances, without any effort to verify those assurances, have embarked on a gamble I consider too reckless.
At great risk and personal sacrifice, let me repeat this warning; Those desirous of birthing a new Nigeria MUST deploy the full levers of their agency to interrogate ALL the systems and processes INEC will rely on to process the voting decisions of Nigerians.
The reason is not far-fetched. I had, on the 18th day of September 2022, said that the winner of the 2023 presidential election will prosecute the elections with a “near mathematical accuracy.”
Well, that was a diplomatic way of presenting issues. I have since removed the gloves and made attempts to paint the picture in black and white.
The dots have been connected. All that needs to be said about #NigeriaDecides2023 have been said, I believe. To be forewarned is to be forearmed.
Africa's morning will come.
Chima Christian
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As initially warned, the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) has delivered what many Nigerians have come to describe as a “sham.” All careful analysis pointed us to this endpoint.
Again, I am more disappointed with the leadership of the opposition political parties, their presidential candidates and campaign councils than I am with INEC about this charade of an election.
We provided them with timely data-backed evidence of the plans to subvert the wishes of ordinary Nigerians. We also suggested strategies to avert them. They ignored stone-cold data and chose to anchor their plans - the entirety of them - on mere assurances.
IF WE DON'T ACT NOW NIGERIA'S 2023 CENSUS WILL HAVE MORE DISASTROUS OUTCOME THAN THE GENERAL ELECTIONS - CHIMA CHRISTIAN
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My name is Chima Christian, a public policy analyst. I am writing to propose that you consider using your platform to call for the postponement of the national census exercise scheduled to hold between March 29 and April 2, 2023.
My principal argument is that the National Population Commission (NPC), as presently constituted, and the systems and processes it will deploy for the exercise is highly likely to produce an unacceptable data.
Barring any unforeseen circumstances, Appeal Court, will, tomorrow Wednesday, March 8, rule on the application filed by INEC to be allowed to reconfigure the Bimodal Voter Accreditation System (BVAS) it used for the 2023 presidential election.
Labour Party's Peter Obi, has argued, through his lawyers, that allowing INEC to wipe out the data on the BVAS will affect the substance of his case against INEC's criminal manipulation of Nigeria's electoral systems and processes.
INEC is arguing that it will transfer all the data on the BVAS to its backend server. Problem is that INEC has not given Peter Obi's forensic team these devices to inspect before the planned transfer of data.
2023: INEC may have technically tampered with the choice of ordinary Nigerians - Chima Christian
I took a detailed look at the voter registration data released by @inecnigeria covering its June 2021 — July 2022 Continuous Voter Registration Exercise.
Focusing solely on voter invalidation data, I thought I saw a pattern that was too difficult to ignore. So I compressed some of my findings in the attached infograph.
I became even more curious when I noticed that INEC did not provide sufficiently clear invalidation guidelines nor explanations for what I thought were too organised to be mere coincidences.
Mbazulike Amaechi worked for peace, so sad it didn't come in his time — Chima Christian
“Mr President, I want you to be remembered as a person who saw Nigeria burning, and you quenched the fire.”
Those were the exact words of Chief Mbazulike Amaechi during the visit of select elderstatesmen of Igbo extraction to President Muhammadu Buhari in November, 2021.
The visit was to dialogue with the president and impress it on him to consider a political solution to the case of Mazi Nnamdi Kanu and the insecurity in the southeast.
Though belated, we must thank the political leadership of the south-east, for deeming it necessary to float Ebubeagu – our regional policing outfit.
I have carefully observed our leaders' choice of words in the communique issued to that effect. If that communique is a pointer to the operational efficiency of the group and the boldness needed to tackle issues frontally, then the prevailing cynicism is partly justified.
Current security environment in the southeast calls for leaders who will, at the very least, properly articulate the feelings of south-easterners and boldly but respectfully communicate same to our federal partners.