First: legally-binding agreements. The NYT Company is public, but has a dual-class stock structure.
Class A shares select 30% of the board of directors and are publicly traded.
Class B shares select 70% of the board. They, however, are 94% owned by a family trust.
2/n
The Ochs-Sulzberger Family Trust owns basically all Class B shares. It also can’t really sell them.
Per a 1986 agreement, any Class B shares sold outside the family would be automatically converted to Class A shares.
The trust is run by a committee of eight family members.
3/n
As a result: eight Sulzbergers run a trust, which owns 94% of the Times’ Class B shares, which selects 70% of the NYT board of directors.
This arrangement is enshrined in the NYT’s incorporation certificate. A. G. Sulzberger is, naturally, one of the trustees.
4/n
In America, you can give your family a dynastic birthright over a newspaper. It just takes some imagination and clerical creativity.
While this cuts against the spirit of popular meritocracy, it is perfectly legal. It may, however, come under other kinds of attacks.
5/n
This leads to the second tool: the family studiously avoids the appearance of dynastic succession.
Many examples here. The family’s private holdings of Class A stock are, naturally, not heavily advertised.
6/n
The official purpose of the family trust is to “maintain the editorial independence” of the Times. If the Times could be bought, then its front page could be bought.
This equates editorial independence with ownership by the Sulzberger family by design.
7/n
Most notably, not a single Sulzberger in a prominent position at the NYT joined the company before the age of 27.
Every single one of them began their careers outside the Times. Most, including A. G. Sulzberger, in local journalism!
8/n
By starting their careers outside the Times, the Sulzbergers build up the skills, experience, and networks that, should they later join the Times, can be effectively used to negate accusations of nepotism or favoritism.
They become professionals just like anyone else.
9/n
Both professionalism and journalistic ethics are social technologies the family uses to protect itself.
After all, it is unprofessional to accuse a colleague of nepotism, merely for being born in the wrong family. Or to fault that family for valuing editorial independence!
10/n
This synergies with how the family only allows its most capable members to rise to the top.
It does not funnel its young generation into comfy sinecures at the family business.
Most Sulzbergers have nothing to do with the paper, but pursue careers in other institutions.
11/n
According to A. G. Sulzberger, he wasn’t sure he even wanted to be a journalist as late as university.
Whether or not this is the case, he proved he was a journalist, as a local reporter in both Rhode Island and Oregon.
It only made sense he joined the Times later.
12/n
He was, however, not a shoo-in for publisher.
His cousins Sam Dolnick and David Perpich, also working at the Times, were being groomed for the position by various branches of the family.
The NYT board created a special “Family Career Development Committee” to arbitrate.
13/n
In the end, A. G. prevailed. But Dolnick and Perpich are still at the Times. Perpich sits on the board.
Like A. G., Dolnick worked as a reporter outside the Times until age 28. Perpich founded two music startups and then became a management consultant. He joined at 33.
14/n
This pattern of career trajectories is reminiscent of the ancient Roman “cursus honorum”:
You begin young people’s careers with a series of jobs or challenges in different domains, not a specialized track in one domain.
For ancient Romans, the reward was being crowned consul. For the Sulzbergers, it’s a position at the New York Times.
But only if they prove themselves in journalism or business somehow, first, and outside the Times. But if they do, then they rise up quickly.
16/n
The Sulzbergers’ cursus honorum not only wards off attacks on their dynasty. It also helps solve several key problems, including the succession problem.
For example, so long as there is coordination within the family, it solves the problem of neutrally evaluating skill.
17/n
It would not be good for the Sulzbergers if unskilled family members gained leadership positions at the Times.
Unskilled successors, likely dead players, would only help outside live players take control of the New York Times away from the family.
18/n
The family therefore has an interest in genuinely evaluating the talent of its youngest generations.
Implicitly denying a Times position until a career is established allows them to both train themselves and prove their skills.
19/n
Since power succession is mostly handled by the family trust, this solves skill succession. The result is both aspects of the succession problem being solved.
It is no wonder then that the Sulzbergers have published the New York Times without interruption since 1896!
Such institutional selection theories are completely wrong.
Corporations don’t evolve through natural selection. That requires heritable variance under differential fitness. The culture, technical knowledge, and structure of organizations is captured by personnel not bylaws.
Unless personnel persists, corporations have nearly no heritable variance. This is perhaps a case for why we should clone exceptional employees but has nothing to do with organizational structure.
The origin of successful companies lies with exceptional founders who know how to assemble these organizations. These founders are the inventors of relevant social technologies.
Does this mean creative destruction doesn't have a role? No, not at all. The personnel and machinery in dysfunctional institutions are indeed wasted. They should be reallocated to functional firms. Everyone is better off when they do!
But it is a conceptual and empirical error to think this is the mechanism that creates such firms in the first place! It isn't.
Regardless of the particular measure we use, exceptional institutions do exist, but they are rare. Most things fail. Things that exist have avoided failure—so far. Institutions that we do see are functional enough to persist.
Those who aren't capable of social technology invention are at best making photocopies of functional organizations. The mistakes they make far outweigh any learning. Failure doesn't teach that much.
Dead organizations of the type Dwarkesh is describing make decisions by committee and try to iterate towards local optima. Live players who found and run functional institutions are capable of seeing, considering, and working toward a much broader range of outcomes and working toward novel global optima.
First principle companies lead by live players like SpaceX will *always* outperform bureaucratic or committee driven organizations like Boeing. We've seen this in hundreds upon hundreds of company case studies at @bismarckanlys.
In fact Apple is an instructive case. It is more profitable than ever. It faces no competition. Remember under perfect competition profits fall to zero. Yet, after the death of Steve Jobs it simply and persistently failed to innovate at the same level. Its vast profits are a market failure not a market success: they represent vast misallocation.
It is in fact a dead player, and a slowly decaying functional institution can keep on winning—until it breaks. Which Apple will one day. Unless taken over by a live player.
No committee ever appoints a live player if they can help it, simply because that's how committees work. It has to be somewhat of a hostile takeover like what happened to old Twitter when Elon took it over or what Carl Icahn did back in the day.
What does this mean for politics?
It is precisely because the stakes are so high, and because there is no inherent check on the sovereignty of great powers, that we must work very hard to avoid dysfunctional and extractive institutions in government.
It means we should have much much more creative destruction in politics. Because in politics too machinery, personnel, and, yes, territory are distributed inefficiently. Here too we should embrace first principles thinking and live players.
Great nations and the peoples of countries like the United Kingdom, France, and Germany are today misgoverned in a way very reminiscent of Boeing or RTX or Lockheed Martin or a dozen other companies run on the "portfolio theory of the firm." Those companies and governments are not at all like Nvidia, OpenAI, Anduril, or SpaceX.
And the world is poorer, less technologically advanced, more violent, and less free because of it.
Let's fix all dysfunctional institutions, be they private or public. Out with the portfolio theory of government! In with first principles thinking.
It really is looking like the Russia-Ukraine war permanently knocks Europe out of the running as a 21st century power.
Europe was set on track to be there 2005-2008. Even for much of the 2010s it was plausible it would recover from the 2008 financial crisis after a lost decade.
Now it looks like it would be necessary to have several live players working hard to achieve this. The default forecast is there aren't enough live players.
If you believe in GDP your intuition should be that Americans are much richer than Austrians AND that Austrians are much richer than Japanese. Per capita GDP:
United States 86,601
Austria 58,669
Japan 32,859
Asiapoors.
I'm originally from Slovenia. An Eastern European country.
It's GDP per capita recently surpassed that of Taiwan and Saudi Arabia.
Slovenia 34,544
Taiwan 33,234
Saudi Arabia 32,881
If Americans are the global Upper Middle Class Europeans are the middle class and Asians the working class.
Hungary is a developed liberal democracy that has been continuously ruled by populist, nationalist conservatives for 15 years.
Yet despite this, they have surprisingly not meaningfully changed the country's trajectory.
Read the new, very long @bismarckanlys Brief! (link below)
Long-time Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban and his Fidesz party have turned repeated large electoral victories since 2010 into institutionalized power.
Orban skillfully empowered parliament over the courts, making it possible to reform Hungarian society by passing laws.
Orban has a reputation as a foreign policy contrarian who is not afraid to make deals with Russia or China, a strong social and fiscal conservative who introduced low taxes, and a visionary who is rejecting immigration and raising Hungarian birth rates with government policy…
Sony is the world leader in image sensor semiconductor manufacturing, the largest video game company by revenue, the second-largest music publishing company, and the fourth-largest film studio.
2/n
Sony has been a global leader in consumer electronics innovation for decades, through products like the Walkman portable audio player, the compact disc (CD), Blu-ray, and the PlayStation game console.