1/ A null field like #homeopathy can exhibit large effect sizes, high rates of favorable results, and high citation impact in the published scientific literature. Null fields may represent a useful negative control for the scientific process. @EdzardErnst @gorskon
2/ We aimed to characterize a null field using a known example, homeopathy (a pseudoscientific medical approach based on using highly diluted substances), as a prototype..
3/ The mean effect size for homeopathy was 0.36 standard deviations (Hedges’ g; 95% CI: 0.21, 0.51) better than placebo, which corresponds to an odds ratio of 1.94 (95% CI: 1.69, 2.23) in favor of homeopathy. 80% of studies had positive effect sizes (favoring homeopathy).
4/ John P.A. Ioannidis et al Homeopathy can offer empirical insights on treatment effects in a null field. scholar.google.nl/scholar_url?ur…

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More from @CoyneoftheRealm

Dec 12, 2022
1/ Mark, @markrdavis, you are on the wrong side in this argument with Dr Annie and Lucy. Let me explain why in a way that will be helpful beyond this discussion: Neuroticism is not a useful explanatory concept, and you fall in a sexist trap if you uncritically use it.
2/ lots of people recognized this problem, and tried eliminating the concept of neuroticism and using negative affectivity instead. The most robust correlate of neuroticism is that women have more than men that find it has been abused.
3/ we need to stop looking at “neuroticism” as a “thing,” and start looking at the actual items on scales that measure it.
Read 12 tweets
Dec 12, 2022
1/ I spent my teen years in public housing and on welfare (public assistance) with a disabled half brother and rhe welfare did not meet his non medical needs like diapers.I do not recommend the experience. However…
2/ America could do a much better job, assuring a basic income than it has previously. I don’t know how we would possibly eliminate other child adversity.
3/ I also don’t see childhood adversity, either being cause of all mental health problems, nor always causing mental disorder, even when severe.
Read 4 tweets
Dec 11, 2022
1/ I question the growing trend to assume that everybody should be in therapy and what effect it has on the design and delivery of mental health services
2/ the “worried well” are easier to work with the people with chronic and serious problems.
3/ do growing waiting listsfor therapy mean we need more psychotherapist or better education as to what therapy does?
Read 4 tweets
Oct 26, 2022
1/ in 1972 I saw my first therapy training case For systematic desensitization using progressive relaxation. My supervisor required taping sessions.
2/ In the fourth session, I couldn’t find a tape recorder and informed my client. In the untaped session, He confided in me that he found both the following the hierarchy and having a dual progressive relaxation boring.
3/ I admitted that I felt the whole thing was boring also. But he was my training case and I had to all the protocol I might get in trouble.
Read 8 tweets
Oct 21, 2022
1/ Kudos to big game hunter Ahmed Samei Huda who obtained a retraction for Peter Kinderman who now says retracting his paper was a good decision. retractionwatch.com/2022/10/20/wha…
2/ PK's unpersuasive excuse fro his behavior: "We had not intended to withhold important information from reviews or readers, but had instead removed identification from all the blogs, including mine, to permit blind review."
3/ Original acceptance of Kinderman's paper was as an inside job." Dame Til Wykes was co-author of Understanding Psychosis. She has now invited a resubmission. Is there further embarrassment ahead?
Read 7 tweets
Aug 27, 2022
1/There is an easily implemented research program answering questions about gender and crybullying. I'm open to being proven wrong. I. Women are more effective crybullies online than men is testable with vignettes and simple lab studies, each conducted online
2/ Crybully and target gender could be varied. II. Whether advantages accrue online over face-to-face is crucial. I propose people do things online and feel good about it that they never would attempt face-to-face and that would not be tolerated.
3/ The environmental impact of crybullying should be assessed. I doubt low-power people in a range of a crybully's wrath feel safer when the cry bully damages a vilified target. Again, the gender of the bully and target should matter. …mcoyneakacoyneoftherealm.substack.com/p/verminizing-…
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