Ben Griffis Profile picture
Feb 3 โ€ข 9 tweets โ€ข 3 min read
Melbourne Victory record a victory for the first time since December 11th

Post-Match Report ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿงต(๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ/๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ)

Melbourne *Victory* 3-1 Wellington Phoenix

#MVCvWEL #ALeagueMen Image
Melbourne Victory's starting XI passing sonars Image
Wellington Phoenix's starting XI passing sonars Image
Here are all Victory passes in the final third and their shots.

Not a huge amount, but the were decent at turning their completions into shot assists. The Nix weren't.

Victory did find it hard to pass into the box though Image
Here are the Nix's passes in the final third as well as their shots.

Can see how many more they had than the Victory (2x as many), but weren't great at turning them into shots. Image
Just a few players who stood out in data to me... Roderick Miranda's actions for the Victory Image
Finn Surman, a young CB for the Nix who recorded the 2nd-most passes (104), and completed 102 of them! Image
Oskar Zawada for the Nix Image
And my favorite, Tomi Juric's 3 actions for the Victory:

1 goal, 1 pass, 1 clearance Image

โ€ข โ€ข โ€ข

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh

Keep Current with Ben Griffis

Ben Griffis Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!


Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @BeGriffis

Feb 1
Arthur Theate a really up-and-coming LCB. Already very good, but constantly improving too.

Took a look at some of his action success rate development over his career.

Very nice to see his consistency in defensive duel rate, & progression in passing Image
The fairly wild variance we're seeing now in his defensive duel success rate came right when he moved to Rennes, and looks like he's steadied out since. He didn't have that same effect when moving to Bologna, but his move to Rennes also went from LCB in back 3 to LCB in back 4
Offensive duel success rate is mainly there so I don't have to change my dashboard for CBs. However nothing is bad there, staying within his standard deviaition only rarely bursting that limit
Read 5 tweets
Jan 30
Serie B team radars as of this weekend's matches.

I like making these when I'm learning about a leagues' teams, so wanted to share.

Image is huge, so zoom in! Teams sorted by current position. Thread has all teams individually Image
Frosinone ImageImage
Genoa ImageImage
Read 21 tweets
Dec 27, 2022
A quick thread showing why even the best xG models can be "broken" by any player, especially in the short term

๐Ÿšจ Variance! ๐Ÿšจ

So, let's look at some coin clipping ๐Ÿช™ A fair coin is perfectly 50-50, heads-tails.

But even over 100 flips, you aren't guaranteed 50 heads!

xG can be thought of as the probability of any given shot going in.

So if a shot has an xG of 0.10, we can think of that as the average player scores that exact shot 10% of the time.

A coin flip would have an "xH" (expected heads) of 0.50: 50% of the time, it's heads
I'll use Python to make sure all my coin flips are perfectly "fair", i.e., perfectly 50-50. Because the coins I own might be worn more on one side causing them to be "unfair"!

Also for time, I don't want to flip a coin thousands of time
Read 13 tweets
Dec 27, 2022
I really feel like Russia & UEFA are done. Politically speaking, I cannot see the UEFA nations, esp. those with the most clout, being happy with Russia resuming anytime soon

Competitively speaking, the AFC isn't as strong as UEFA & Russia likely becomes one of the main nations
The nations around them that Russia would join (Central & Western Asia) are both growing their talent. Adding in regular games vs Russia would help them for sure.

But this also doesn't mean Russia's guaranteed a spot at each World Cup either
Saudi Arabia, South Korea, Japan, Australia, & Iran were the 5 AFC teams that qualified through qualifiers.

6 was Qatar, pretend Russia joins this group as the "top 7" in AFC

that leaves 2 spots left for AFC in 2026.

Iraq, UAE, Oman, are the next-best ranked AFC sides...
Read 6 tweets
Dec 27, 2022
Tried this AI on the relatively very small field of research I did in my PhD program.

Was not expecting it to find the seminal papers if I'm being honest. The 1st result is THE seminal work, and the summary of the top 4, while ***incredibly*** basic, is accurate
As you go past the top 5, I was also expecting to see stuff that's irrelevant.

But below the top 5 is really where the best papers are. Tons from all of the big names in the field from both a more empirical side and a mathematical modelling side (the 2 main silos in the field)
Would not recommend ANYONE use these results as the be all end all for your lit review, but even in a relatively small field (which I expected the AI to know less abt than many others), a basic question comes back with quite a good selection of papers

Better than Google Scholar
Read 4 tweets
Dec 26, 2022
I thought looking at Gakpo's running sum Goals - Expected Goals would show him in the negative for at least some time....

And it does. Back as a 17 year old in his 2 games in his debut Erste Divisie season for PSV II, 2016/17

What a cheat code
"Senior" in this instance includes PSV II since they play in the Dutch league system. Doesn't include Netherlands youth matches for instance
This chart also looks like the price of his stocks lol up up and away
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!


0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy


3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!