Dan Lamothe Profile picture
Feb 6 15 tweets 3 min read
Good, descriptive briefing today from @NORADCommand Gen. Glen VanHerck about recent counter-balloon operations over the United States just concluded.

Some key takeaways:
@NORADCommand VanHerck, speaking in a Zoom call, described the balloon as roughly 200 feet tall, with a massive device hanging on the bottom that was roughly the size of a regional jet. It's part of why a shootdown was complicated, he said.
He acknowledged that the United States wasn't aware at the time of several previous surveillance balloons that visited in recent years and were reported in the media over the last few days.

But in this case, they saw it coming north of the Aleutian Islands, he said.
Why not shoot it down in Alaskan airspace?

"It wasn't time," he said. But there's more to it, he implied:
"It was my assessment that this balloon did not present a physical military threat to North America -- this is under my NORAD hat -- and therefore, I could not take immediate action because it was not demonstrating hostile act or hostile intent," Gen. VanHerck told reporters.
Canadian and U.S. officials were kept in the loop as it made its way further inland, he said.

They continued to collect information about it over the next couple of days. Planning for the shootdown was extensive. NASA was consulted to assess what a debris field might look like.
The shootdown, off the coast of South Carolina, has led to both a large and small debris field. The small one, roughly 1,500 meters by 1,500 meters, has the superstructure of the balloon below water.
That said, other debris is on the surface, and some may float ashore. VanHerck asked any civilians who find debris washing in to call law enforcement and turn it over.
The USS Carter Hall, an amphibious dock landing ship, will serve as the command vessel for the search.

The USNS Pathfinder, an oceanographic vessel, is now on scene and mapping below the surface to search for debris, he said.
Coast Guard is providing air support from Elizabeth City and Savannah for the balloon recovery. Also has the cutters Nathan Bruckenthal, Venturous, and Richard Snyder involved.
VanHerck said rough sea states limited operations on Sunday. This morning, Navy EOD teams on rigid inflatable boats began work, relying in part on unmanned underwater vehicles. By this afternoon, more will be known about how many large pieces of debris there are, and locations.
U.S. officials have not detailed how they learned of the earlier balloons after last week's overflight. But "reverse collection" of intelligence could well be involved.

VanHerck declined to say. Other U.S. officials I've talked about it have so far, too, citing opsec.
VanHerck also addressed concerns that there may have been one over Canada at one point. He deployed Canadian CF-18s to look, but nothing was found, he said.
Gen. VanHerck acknowledged the balloon had some steering capability. But it also relied on wind currents. He said the balloon's path appears to have been "purposely built" to rely on wind currents.

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More from @DanLamothe

Feb 6
Seeing a narrative grow on social media that the Chinese balloon was not shot down by the U.S. military when it was first discovered despite it having explosives on board.

That's NOT what has emerged in any reporting I've done or seen.

What has emerged:
U.S. military personnel are acting as though the remnants of the airship *could* have explosives aboard. An abundance of caution, basically.
Gen. VanHerck, asked about this point today, said he "can't confirm whether it had explosives or not.

"Anytime you down something like this, we make an assumption that the potential exists."
Read 7 tweets
Feb 5
Can independently confirm that defense officials informed congressional officials on Saturday of previous incursions near/over Texas, Florida, Guam and Hawaii.
Hawaii/Guam incursions were previously reported in the media over the last few days.

Florida and Texas now join the list, according to @michaelgwaltz and a second U.S. official.
Our story today:

H/T @LucasFoxNews for reporting the new locations first

washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/…
Read 4 tweets
Feb 4
Just sent along a big chunk of text as we build out our Washington Post story about today's balloon shootdown. In the meantime, a thread on some of what has emerged:
The balloon was shot down off the coast of South Carolina at 2:39 p.m. by an F-22 Raptor from Joint Base Langley-Eustis. Other aircraft, including F-15s from Barnes Air National Guard Base in Massachusetts, also were involved in the op.
The F-22 used a single AIM-9X Sidewinder missile, launched at 58,000 feet to hit the balloon at an altitude of between 60,000 to 65,000 feet, senior U.S. officials said in a briefing with Pentagon reporters a short time ago.
Read 10 tweets
Feb 3
At Pentagon, @PentagonPresSec says just now that the Chinese surveillance balloon disclosed yesterday is now over the center of the continental United States after tracking east from Montana. He declines to be more specific.
. @PentagonPresSec says they know it is a surveillance balloon, not a weather balloon, as China claims. It is a violation of American airspace and international law, he says.

It's current altitude is at 60,000 feet, he says.
Will the United States shoot it down when it's over an open body of water? @PentagonPresSec declines to say.
Read 7 tweets
Feb 2
Four years later, a military jury found the two Marines involved in this case not guilty of all serious charges, two officials close to the defense say. The only specification that stuck was a violation of General Order No. 1, for drinking while deployed.

washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
The case seemed problematic to a number of military justice experts, and a Marine Corps lawyer who assessed it years ago noted that a jury could find that what happened was a case of self-defense.
As noted in this earlier story:

The lack of transparency, as well as inaccurate rumors about the case that spread in the Special Operations community, has stoked suspicions that the Marine Corps is hellbent on obtaining convictions to send a message.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 30
Since @ckubeNBC @MoshehNBC of NBC and I published stories on Friday night about Gen. Minihan's pointy memo about China, it has prompted a significant and polarized reaction. Some examples:

washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
@ckubeNBC @MoshehNBC Retired Gen. Barry McCaffrey, for instance, called for Minihan being put out to pasture:

. @SenTomCotton cited it as a call to arms for U.S. bureaucracy:

Read 9 tweets

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