Even if an author cites his/her sources, it may be difficult to verify if he/she represented their content correctly, due to:
1. Sources being undigitized 2. Language/palaeography barrier 3. Sources simply being too difficult to understand *correctly*. E.g. much of Rosstat data
For example some Russian official statistics may not be necessarily "wrong". It's just that they are represented in a way that a layman is 100% guaranteed to misinterpret them, unless he/she conducts a special research on what does Rosstat mean exactly by this or that figure
Imagine you are trying to estimate Russian import dependency in light swords. The obvious solution would be to look up Rosstat data on
1. Import/Export 2. Domestic production
of light swords and compare them
It would be totally wrong though and will lead to absurd conclusions
Why? Well, because of how they count. An agency that is counting import/export of light swords is using one code (= understanding of what constitutes a light sword), while the one that counts domestic production uses another
These figures seem to be comparable, but they are not
Therefore, anyone who tries to calculate the light swoed import dependency based on import/export vs domestic production data will be fooled, without knowing he is. And once he publishes his wrong estimate in a paper, others will quote it further, mindlessly. It will become legit
Does the Rosstat produce an accurate estimate of light sword import dependency for its own needs? Of course. It is being constantly referred to in the official documents. They just do not publish it. The quantitative estimates based on publicly available data sets are wrong
Making conversion from one code to another based on publicly available data is difficult to impossible. Rosstat makes this conversion, but doesn't show it to anyone except for the government. Meanwhile, estimates based on publicly available unconverted data are just wrong
NB I am not discussing statistics in general. I pointed out to one particular mistake that became widespread in the literature on the light swords market to explain why it is a mistake and why it was made in the first place
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Why did this story produce so much wow-effect? Well, because it portrays Taliban ex-fighters as humans with ordinary human problems relatable to a Westerner. Since we are used to reading absolutely dehumanizing narratives, the *slightest* humanizing perspective may be shocking
This is not so much about the Taliban as about the arbitrariness of story-telling. Humanization/dehumanization is an author’s choice. And whichever angle you choose, you can always find enough factual material to present you (arbitrary) perspective as the objective reality
Paradoxically, humanizing the absolutely dehumanized may be very easy. Choose their experiences that your audience can relate with, and discuss them in meticulous details:
“Wow, they’re almost like us!”
That’s conditional ofc. In this case conditional upon Taliban having won
Many observers see Putin as an aberration, some unfortunate deviation from normality. I disagree. Watch this excerpt from Yeltsin - Jiang Zemin meeting in Beijing, December 1999. You can see:
- Nuclear blackmail
- "Multi-polar world" rhetorics
- Attempted alignment with China
Putin is not deviation from normality. He is just another stage of *return* to normality that started before him. Modern Russian regime was shaped to its current form around 1996-1997:
- Restoration of state security
- Re-militarization
- Crony oligarchy
Return to normality
In pretty much of its worst aspects the Putin's rule is only continuing the trends that had been set before and were very much visible by 1996-1997. Putin is just the logical continuation of late Yeltsin. Putin has been only perfecting the model casted long before his ascension
It’s *extremely* important. Colonies are always guilty, always tainted, always rightfully punished and disciplined by the empire. They never have a right to question the empire. If they resisted it, they’re guilty of resisting. If they complied, they’re guilty of compliance
Paradoxically enough, all the subjects being guilty, forever tainted by their past and having no right to raise the voice is *critically* important for the existence of the empire. It’s not based on everyone being “good”. It’s based on everyone being guilty -> having no rights
Daily reminder that the current reputation of @navalny and his team results from the massive whitewashing by the a) Moscow b) Western media, who either failed to question him or chose not to. As a result, he got away with the most insane, easily verifiable lies. Like this one:
This is the cockroach video, existence of which @navalny denied. Based on these two videos you can:
a) see standard navalnist tactics when dealing with *any* criticism (denial, ad hominem, smear)
b) make your own judgement on integrity of Navalny and journalists whitewashing him
What you miss here is that @navalny *is* apres moi, for very, very many. I am yet to meet a Chechen who would view him anywhere positively, for example. Plenty of people highly critical (to say the least) of both Kadyrov's and Putin's regime view @navalny as a big threat
It is very wrong to presume that the Twitter/media representation reflect the real distribution of opinions (or of the broadly understood leverage). @navalny's ultranationalist propaganda may have little consequences here on Twitter. It does have real life consequences though
You can play "If you do not support us, you are Putinist/Kadyrovite!" game with the Twitter midwits. Again, this trick doesn't work in the real life. People not being represented in media does not mean you can safely ignore their opinion in the times of impending political crisis
Since the targeted demographics have almost zero public platform, the Western media are sincerely unaware that their perspectives do even exist. This is a major factor behind the outrageous perspective laundering we are witnessing today
Accusing any critics of being "Putinist" is largely a preparation for their next move - which is shift the blame for Putinism on *minorities*, once they take power
(They're already doing this btw. Will give details in next thread)