Latest Defence Intelligence update on the situation in Ukraine - 8 February 2023

Find out more about the UK government's response: ow.ly/L6QL50MMHJl

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ #StandWithUkraine πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Latest Defence Intelligence update on the situation in Ukrai
(1/5) Since Russia withdrew its forces from the west bank of the Dnipro in November 2022, skirmishing and reconnaissance has continued on the complex network of islands and waterways which make up the Dnipro delta.
(2/5) Russian forces have almost certainly used small boats to try to main a presence on key islands; Ukraine has successfully deployed long-range artillery to neutralise Russian outposts a number of times.
(3/5) Both sides have likely also deployed small groups on the Kinburn Spit, which commands the Dnipro Gulf.
(4/5) Both sides are likely aiming to maintain a presence in these areas to control maritime access to the strategically important river and to provide warning of any attempt by their adversaries to launch a major assault across the river.
(5/5) It is highly unlikely that Russia will attempt an assault crossing of the Dnipro: it would likely be extremely complex and costly.

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More from @DefenceHQ

Feb 9
Latest Defence Intelligence update on the situation in Ukraine - 9 February 2023

Find out more about the UK government's response: ow.ly/4kI550MNPbp

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ #StandWithUkraine πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Image
(1/4) The weather continues to play a significant role in the course of Russia’s war in Ukraine. With the ground frozen, there has likely been little change in cross country mobility (CCM) conditions in eastern Ukraine in recent weeks.
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(1/4) It is highly likely that Russia has been attempting to re-start major offensive operations in Ukraine since early January 2023. Its operational goal is almost certainly to capture the remaining Ukrainian-held parts of Donetsk Oblast.
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Feb 6
Latest Defence Intelligence update on the situation in Ukraine - 6 February 2023

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(1/4) On 01 February 2023, Russian Federation Council chair Valentina Matvienko said that regional elections will take place in the newly annexed areas of Ukraine on 10 September 2023.
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Feb 5
Latest Defence Intelligence update on the situation in Ukraine - 5 February 2023

Find out more about the UK government's response: ow.ly/LgS350MJUyA

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ #StandWithUkraine πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Defence Intelligence update on Ukraine - 5 February 2022 - p
(1/4) Over the last week, Russia has continued to make small advances in its attempt to encircle the Donbas town of Bakhmut.
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Latest Defence Intelligence update on the situation in Ukraine - 4 February 2023

Find out more about the UK government's response: ow.ly/EpZY50MJFIG

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The Russian military has formally integrated occupied areas of Ukraine into its Southern Military District.
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On 03 February 2023, Russia state news agency TASS reported that the Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics and the Zaporizhzhia and Kherson regions are being placed under the three-star command which is headquartered in Rostov-on-Don.
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Feb 3
Latest Defence Intelligence update on the situation in Ukraine - 3 February 2023

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(1/5) The scale of Russian paramilitary Wagner Group’s convict recruitment programme has probably significantly reduced from its peak between summer and autumn 2022.
(2/5) The Russian Federal Penal Service (FSIN) figures released on 31 January 2023 reported a national penal population of 433,000, suggesting a decrease of 6000 inmates since November 2022.
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