Journalist Seymour Hersh says the US bombed the Nordstream pipeline in the Baltic Sea.

Let’s talk about why his blog article concluding this is really bad journalism …and he should know it.

🧵
Firstly, his article is based on a single anonymous source. Any journalist or editor knows that’s weak. You can justify publishing it as a claim in some circumstances …but Hersh’s decision to write the article as a firm conclusion based on that one source is baffling.
At no point does Hersh try to weigh up the credibility of the source or even consider the possibility that he could be getting fed misinformation from that one source. That would be journalism.
Afterall, the claim is incredible. It would be a conspiracy involving many people across countries, unlikely to remain secret.

The White House went all in with its credibility to dismiss the article as “utterly false & complete fiction", a stronger pushback than many expected.
Hersh’s new fans will dismiss White House statements, of course …just like they ridiculed White House statements that Putin was planning this full scale war, which - by the way - is the reality that Hersh has built his own timeline for this story around.
It’s also funny that his new fans are emphasising how respectable Hersh is as a Western journalist.

These are the same people who spend the rest of their time emphasising how corrupt and inaccurate Western journalists are.
Hersh was a successful journalist in his younger days, but has veered down a weird conspiratorial path - all too willing to repeat theories that don’t stand up to basic journalistic scrutiny.
Most hilariously, Hersh - claiming Norway’s involvement - says Jens Stoltenberg has “cooperated with the American intelligence community since the Vietnam War”.

Stoltenberg was a teenager when the Vietnam war ended & was anti-NATO as a young man.

The claim is beyond shoddy.
Hersh emphasises that Russia has no motive to attack the pipeline. This is false.

You can dismiss the various theories for Russia’s involvement but you can’t credibly pretend they don’t exist. It shows a total lack of understanding of the issues on our side of the world.
Hersh himself acknowledges how the pipeline would be politically unviable during Russia’s full scale war.

That means the continued existence of the pipeline is far more valuable only to someone who could replace Putin and change the course he wants Russia totally committed to.
Putin’s top priority is remaining in power at all cost. He would sacrifice an incentive to replace him & end war.

An added benefit is that Russia can use the attack to sow discord - such as by briefing a false story to a credible-sounding journalist now prone to conspiracies.
The problem with conspiracy theorists isn’t necessarily that they are untrusting.

It’s that they are very trusting of alternative narratives that they can’t comprehend could be constructed in detail with the intention of deceiving them.
That’s why we see so many of takes in support of Hersh saying the story must be true because it’s so detailed.

The fact Hersh doesn’t consider any of this while making a firm conclusion based on one anonymous source is quite a big red flag.
In contrast to Russia’s motives, the West is committed to unity & a rules-based world order.

Sabotage on their part - in place of inevitable political pressure in light of Russia’s war on Ukraine and the West - makes much less sense.
This is key here.

His story isn’t credibly written, but stories about his story do count as newsworthy, especially once others pile in politically.

Blogs are a convenient way to transmit shoddy stories up into the news cycle.

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More from @BadBalticTakes

Feb 8
The Baltics know Russia too well.

Their sober analysis - dismissed for decades as paranoia - has proven to be 🎯.

Estonia's latest Foreign Intelligence assessment has never been more widely read.

...but, if you found that interesting, there's something else worth reading. 🧵
Estonia's Ministry of Defence released its own straight-talking report a few days ago on the myths & lessons of Russia's war in Ukraine.

You can read it here, but I'll give a summarised overview in this thread. kaitseministeerium.ee/en/mythsandles….

Only #GoodBalticTakes, of course.
"In Russia’s view, success in Ukraine serves as a major stepping stone for reaching further goals. Russia’s long-term strategic aims remain unchanged: to dissolve the rules-based world order."
Read 36 tweets
Feb 6
Who are these “experts” representing Baltic public opinion in an article elevated to the top of @googlenews today?

🧵…
Representing Estonia is Sputnik journalist Allan Hantsom, a prolific Kremlin propagandist who argues that Estonia is historically Russian. He has been convicted of destroying property and also inciting racial hatred.
Then there’s Maksim Reva, another Kremlin propagandist …who actually lives in Russia. He was a key organiser of the 2007 riots in Estonia and received a medal from Russia for his hybrid warfare work against Ukraine. He is barred from entering Estonia.
Read 12 tweets
Feb 3
“After the breakup of the Soviet Union” is an hilarious add-on to this classic vatnik line.

As if Gorbachev, while preparing reforms he thought would safeguard the Soviet Union’s future, was also negotiating with the West about the breakup he never thought would happen. 😂 Image
“Since Gorbachev was dead please explain how you know what he thinks,” …says the guy who claims to know what he thinks. Image
Well, @DVATW, here’s the thing.

Before Gorbachev was dead, he was alive.

And, while alive, he clarified in Russian state media that no promise like that was made. brookings.edu/blog/up-front/…
Read 6 tweets
Jan 31
E-Residency gets discussed a lot.

It’s a concept that Estonia launched in 2014. Lithuania & Ukraine are now both developing their own programmes.

Entrepreneurs that use it get it. But a lot of commentators misunderstand it.

So, to help, let’s try a thought experiment… 🧵
First, let’s rewind a bit for context.

A key starting point is 2002. That’s when digital IDs were rolled out in Estonia to all of its citizens and residents. It enabled them to authenticate their identity and legally sign for stuff instantly, securely, online anywhere. An Estonian digital ID card.
The clever part is that anyone can integrate this system. So all state services and any private service, like a bank, could let people use their government-backed digital ID to use their services online, ensuring it became a convenient part of daily life for everyone.
Read 21 tweets
Jan 26
The Koran burning protest that infuriated Turkey and derailed Sweden’s NATO application was organised by Russia.

Here’s how… 🧵
The protest was conducted by far right Danish politician Rasmus Paludan.

But, curiously, he said that his action was the idea of "some Swedes who would like me to burn a Koran in front of the Turkish embassy".
Well, here’s a clue as to who he’s talking about.

According to Swedish media, the protest permit was paid for by Chang Frick, a “journalist” with an interesting background we should explore.
svt.se/kultur/chang-f…
Read 17 tweets
Jan 25
I want to give a shout-out to @ragnars.

He lists his main job as NAFO truck driver but has organised hundreds of vehicles packed with supplies to Ukrainian units. A lot of his followers from the past year may not know this but he’s actually one of our region’s top entrepreneurs.
He cofounded a $Billion+ startup.

Like, he could just be enjoying life on an island somewhere & talking about the usual tech topics - for which a lot of people would want to listen to him. Instead, he’s spending his money & time coordinating frontline deliveries.
I sometimes make fun out of tech bros but thank god we have tech bros like him here.
Read 7 tweets

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