Even when adjusted for their parents' level of affluence, black men are four times more likely to be incarcerated than white men raised at the same level of affluence, with the ratio rising to 10 to 1 for those from the richest One Percent.
My graph based on Harvard economist Raj Chetty's massive database: black men are incarcerated 4x white men with equally affluent parents:
Among men raised in the dirt-poor lowest percentile of parental income, blacks are 3.3 times as likely to be imprisoned as whites.
At the 25th %ile, blacks are confined 3.9 times as often.
50th %ile: 4.5x
75th %ile: 5.0x
98th %ile: 6.7x
100th %ile: 10.7x
The median black parental income falls at the 27th percentile, where black men are locked up 4.0 times as often as white men. So, all else being equal in terms of adolescent affluence, black men are 4x as likely to find themselves behind bars:
Black men at the 98th percentile of upbringing are jailed as often as white men at the 50th percentile. Similarly, the black rate at the national median of income is 7.2 percent, a little higher than the white rate at the single lowest percentile.
There is approximately a 2 standard deviation difference in racial propensity to be prison-bound even when controlling for affluence when young.
A 1 SD difference, as in IQ, is large. 2 is huge. 2 SDs after adjusting for childhood income is off the charts takimag.com/article/americ…
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@alecrogers1968 @amortowles It would be a better argument to contend that "A Gentleman in Moscow," like, say, "The Master and Margarita," has fantasy elements that make it more conducive to historically unrealistic diversity casting than would be, say, "Darkness at Noon" or "First Circle."
@alecrogers1968 @amortowles For example, I didn't object much to the diversity casting in "Wonka," a children's musical set in a vague time and place, than I would be to diversity casting in, say, "Middlemarch" or "Brideshead Revisted."
@alecrogers1968 @amortowles Dear Mr. Towles:
A good defense of unrealistically casting a black in your 1930s Soviet-set "A Gentleman in Moscow" is that your novel has strong imaginative elements, so utter realism in casting isn't artistically necessary in the TV series based on it.
Washington Post: We Had to Destroy the Democracy to Save It.
The Post reports on how in Europe, the secret police are putting under surveillance political parties that are growing by advocating policies popular with voters.
One of the many threats to democracy in Europe, according the Washington Post news section, is that political parties are increasingly debating immigration policy instead of having a gentleman's agreement not to discuss it.
Seriously, these articles would be less comic if they simply admitted their experts are, obviously, anti-democratic. Lots of bright people from Plato onward have been against democracy. But Plato at least didn't argue for rule by philosopher-kings in the name of Saving Democracy.
A standard response to complaints about immigrant crime is that the migrant murder rate is is lower than the native born rate. (Of course, the trick here is that few Americans know that blacks accounted in 2021 for 60.4% of known murder offenders & 55.0% of homicide victims.)
But imagine that the 15,000 U. of Chicago students commit 3 murders / year. When Chicagoans complain that the U. of C. is bringing in 3 murderers annually, the college president scoffs analogously that his admittees' murder rate is 20% lower than Chicago's, so why the kvetching?
In reality, of course, students accepted by the U. of Chicago almost never commit murder. And, of course, that is exactly as it should be. With much of the world to choose from, the U. of C. should not admit any murderers. Similarly, the murder rate for immigrants should be zero.
The all-time fastest marathoners as of today include: 1 Japanese, 1 black Brazilian, 2 North Africans, and the rest East Africans (46 Ethiopians and 44 Kenyans).
These different types of mass shooting suggest the need for different types of gun control: point of sale vs. point of use. Only a tiny fraction of mass shootings are carried out with long guns that the shooter bought legally. takimag.com/article/the-ka…
Instead, blacks, who are the perpetrators and victims of nearly 75% of mass shootings with 4 or more dead or wounded, typically get their handguns through friends and acquaintances on the black market.
What’s more promising for deterring mass shootings like Kansas City’s is point-of-use gun control: Discourage lowlifes from bringing their illegal handgun with them to parties. New York City had impressive success at changing the criminal culture toward leaving guns at home.