Eliot Higgins Profile picture
Feb 25, 2023 4 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Because Russia has a long track record for using ceasefires to prepare for future offensives, it's like their most common play. Russia needs to pull all its forces out of the Donbas and Crimea for there to be a real peace, either by choice or by force.
At best you can accuse the #stopthewar movement of stunning naivete when it comes to any sort of peace process with Russia that starts by leaving Russian forces inside Ukraine. Until they start saying Russia must withdraw, their proposals are worthless & would only extend the war
It's clear Russia won't withdraw, and obvious to anyone who pays attention Ukraine understands a ceasefire will just be used by Russia to reinforce, so neither side wants peace on terms the other side is willing to accept, so these speeches are just empty rhetoric.
And these peace movements always avoid talking about the reality on the ground, the massive number of war crimes committed by Russia, and how those should be addressed. What's the serious, substantial steps they would take to address these crimes in their calls for peace?

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More from @EliotHiggins

Apr 3
Several weeks ago the FvD's @PvanHouwelingen submitted questions to the Ministry of Justice based on reporting by @AndereKrant and @TheGrayzoneNews. Last week those answers were received, but neither Pepijn nor the two publications cited have reported on them. Let's find out why. Image
Just before Christmas the @AndereKrant and @TheGrayzoneNews published false claims that Bellingcat had submitted an article to the Dutch National Coordinator for Security and Counterterrorism (NCTV) ahead of publication to allegedly ‘attack journalists’. Image
@AndereKrant @TheGrayzoneNews These allegations appear to have been entirely based on claims made by @CeesCees72, apparently without any attempt to fact check the claim made in his tweet:
Read 11 tweets
Mar 5
The new OECD report is one of the better examples of an intergovernmental report on dealing with disinformation, and actually gets it's not just about factchecking, but also creating a cycle that includes transparency and accountability. oecd.org/publications/f…
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I believe that the current issues we face with disinformation are symptoms of a broader social and cultural shift that has occurred over the last 15 years, and Bellingcat and open source investigation is also part of the same shift.
One fundamental issue is people, especially in Western democracies, feel increasingly detached from political process, and don't feel part of the democratic process. It creates a sense of total disempowerment, and that draws them to online communities.
Read 13 tweets
Mar 1
Anyone who has followed George Galloway knows his head consists entirely of tankie brain worms, having taken a denialist position on a wide range of war crimes and atrocities in Syria, Ukraine, and elsewhere, because he sees the victims as being on the side of "imperialists"
So look forward to some tired tankie bullshit being repeated in Parliament on the rare days he bothers to turn up.
There's noting maverick about taking the opposite side to whatever you imagine is in the interests of the west and then denying a bunch of war crimes to justify your position.. It's boring, tedious, and basic, Twitter is full of idiots like that.
Read 6 tweets
Feb 17
I've seen two major disinformation themes around Navalny's death, one is misrepresenting already false claims, shown left, the other is repeating a story based on fabricated videos and documents alleging an affair. The second one we recently unpicked in the Bellingcat Discord.
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The allegations were based on a video featuring a woman claiming to have worked for Yulia Navalnaya, but there's no evidence she ever worked for Navalnaya, and the video was posted on a social media account that was instantly deleted, and never crawled by a search engine.
The only supporting evidence were confirmations, with partially obscured booking numbers. What they didn't account for is that we'd try every possible variation of the missing digits until we found the bookings online. Booking.com
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Read 8 tweets
Jan 16
Graham Phillips lost his legal case against UK sanctions on him. The judge said "He has not shown any journalistic responsibility or ethics. His actions directly support Russia in its policies or actions that destabilise Ukraine." Post reaction gifs below:
independent.co.uk/news/uk/crime/…
First may I say "lol", and follow that up with "lmao".
The full text of the decision can be found here. Absolutely no idea how they could have thought Graham was a pro-Russian propagandist

judiciary.uk/judgments/phil…
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Read 5 tweets
Dec 16, 2023
I’ve written this piece for the FT about the challenges we face globally with disinformation and the urgent need of a systematic approach to address the root causes of the creation and spread of disinformation, and the positive opportunities that offers.
I believe that among many of the policymakers and practitioners who have attempted to address disinformation there’s a fundamental misunderstanding of the causes of disinformation, which has undermined our ability to deal with it effectively.
There’s a perception that disinformation is created by outside actors who influence communities, and society as a whole. A typical example of this is the reaction to the 2016 election of Donald Trump, where much of the attention was focused on Russia interference.
Read 46 tweets

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