Of the 12 options to resolve the Kashmir dispute; no proposal came as close to a feasible solution as the Four Point Formula by late Gen (retired) Pervez Musharraf. It will always form a good reference point for initial discussions, should an opportunity present itself +
1/17
Before we move to #FourPointFormula, lets briefly enumerate the 12 options which were possibly available to resolve the Kashmir dispute to-date: Plebiscite; Status Quo or division of Kashmir along present LoC, Independence; Condominium or joint Indo-Pak control;
2/17
UN trusteeship for 10-15 years followed by 6) referendum; Partition or division along communal lines; the Irish 7 (8 model (autonomy under supervision of India and Pakistan with LoC as a dividing line and a soft border);
Kashmir Study Group model (portion of J&K as a sovereign entity but without international personality enjoying Free access to India and Pakistan) & several other variations of these options.
Some ideas intrigued me more than others. One such proposal was
4/17
was the Owen Dixon plan of 1950, which envisioned the trifurcation of Kashmir.
Owen Dixon, a former Australian diplomat and UN mediator on the Kashmir issue, had proposed plebiscites to be held separately in three zones of the Kashmir state:
5/17
(i) Valley and Muslim areas of Jammu and Laddakh; (i) Jammu and Laddakh; and (il) AJK plus the Northern Areas (later named as Gilgit Baltistan). In practical terms, this embodied a division of state along the religious lines.
I remember as early as 1997, when the former Foreign Secretary Niaz A Naik, who was active in the Neemrana group, came to brief Foreign Secretary Shamshad about how he saw great promise in the Owen Dixon formula and how it could be further developed.
7/17
Another proposal worth noting evolved out of discussions in the US-based Kashmir Study Group, which came (to be known as the Chenab Formula. Conceived by Niaz A. Naik in his back-channel conversations with R.K. Mishra, the plan was to divide state along the Chenab river +
8/17
in a manner where India would retain the Hindu and Buddhist majority areas of Jammu and Laddakh, while the Northern Areas, AJK, the Valley, and Muslim majority districts of Jammu and Kargil region would join Pakistan.
9/17
Sartaj Aziz has made an apt comment in his book that the Chenab Formula basically converted a communal formula into a geographical formula, as most of the Hindu majority was east of the Chenab while Muslim majority districts were west of the Chenab.
Based on the information that later became widely available, including what Khurshid Kasuri has documented in his book as "contours of agreement on Jammu & Kashmir", and the information shared later by Foreign Secretary Riaz M Khan,
11/17
we would learn that the Four-Point Formula was a negotiated interim agreement that envisaged two units comprising roughly of areas controlled by India & Pakistan. Both units would have self-governance in finance, law & order, judiciary,elections,& other governance matters.
12/17
The defense of each unit would be the responsibility of India and Pakistan respectively. De-militarization of the area would be gradual, with a visible reduction of forces from the urban centers.
13/17
A joint mechanism was also envisaged for matters where there was inter-dependence of the two units, for instance on matters of travel, tourism, culture, trade and disaster management.
14/17
This interim agreement was to be monitored annually by the foreign ministers of India and Pakistan, and the arrangements would be reviewed after 15 or 20 years.
15/17
Khurshid Kasuri claims in his book that after the resolution of the Kashmir dispute, durable peace was to be sealed by signing a treaty of peace, security and friendship between the two countries (much like France and Germany did after the Second World War).
16/17
Reference: Few articles from different newspapers are already cited above and rest is taken from
Chapter 14, “Kashmir and Four Point Formula” of book #SiplomaticFootprints authored by @aizaz1101
17/17
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
“The 2024 Beijing Declaration” marks a historic breakthrough in the Palestine-Israel conflict, as 14 Palestinian factions, including Hamas & Fatah, have agreed to pursue a peace process under the auspices of the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO).
#ChinaPeaceBroker
1/6
The declaration proposes three key principles: an immediate ceasefire in Gaza, Governance of West Bank and Gaza under PLO, UN membership and a two-state solution.
This significant development coincides with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's visit to the US, where
2/6
he addressed a joint session of Congress. However, many US lawmakers openly criticized Netanyahu's speech, with some refusing to attend the session. This exposes the US's hypocrisy in promoting a rules-based world order while hosting a controversial leader like Netanyahu.
3/6
On 6 October 2016, PM Nawaz Sharif betrayed Pakistan through #DawnLeaks 🧵⬇️
Pakistan was facing threat of isolation from USA, India and Afghanistan.
On 4 October, during in-house-discussion,there were three presentations: 1st by DGMO, 2nd by NSA & 3rd Foreign Secretary.
1/16
Dawn published a story, supporting international isolation narrative of troika being spread by USA, Indian and Afghanistan.
“Act against militants or face international isolation,civilians tell military”
But before that on 29 September 2016, USA and India NSAs talked+
2/16
On 29 September 2016, US NSA Susan Rice spoke to her Indian counterpart Ajit Doval to offer condolences to families of the Uri attack victims and express support for India on the issue of terrorism, National Security Council spokesman Ned Price said in a read-out on call. +
My difference of opinion proved right when I read an article by S.M. Qureshi,who wrote,
Two years after hanging Bhutto,I was sent to meet Yasir Arafat to patch to see him. He told me that General Zia had promised while siting in Masjid e Haram that he wouldn’t hang Bhutto.
1/16
Zia said this in the presence of Shah Khalid. Later, he did not keep his words.
Here is a detailed account from page126-128 from book, ‘compulsions of power’
Biography of General Mirza Aslam Beg.
2/16
I was promoted Major General in 1978 and assigned the Command of 14 Division which was stationed at Okara, With this command I became part of high Military Hierarchy and remained associated with all military matters of the army from 1978 to 1988.
As groups of mujahideen fought for control of Afghanistan in the 1990s, Benazir Bhutto's government made a decision to back the Afghan Taliban in its bid for power; she later admitted she and her government had made a mistake.
Some members of the Pakistan Taliban became radicalized from their involvement in the jihad against the Soviets in Afghanistan in the 1980s. In 1989, Sufi Muhammad, who had fought in that jihad, formed the Tehrik-e-Nifaz-Shariat-Mohammadi (TNSM) to impose Sharia in Dir.
The TNSM was one of the precursors of the Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan. His son-in-law, Fazal Hayat, known publicly Mullah Fazlullah or just Fazlullah, is the current leader of the Pakistan Taliban. He is a former chairlift operator with no formal religious training.
Bhutto's untimely death forced Musharraf to delay elections beyond 8 January 2008 to 18 February. Leaderless party of Bhutto faced a crisis in middle of the campaign. Zardari, who had remained in Dubai when his wife had travelled back to Pakistan for the campaign, suddenly
1/6
produced a handwritten document reportedly prepared by his wife naming him as the heir of the party command and control. A compliant PPP leadership team quickly accepted this evidence and his new role as the head of the party of Zulfikar Ali Bhutto.
2/6
To add to the popular appeal of the Bhutto name, Zardari announced on 30 December 2007 that his nineteen-year-old son Bilawal would become party chairman and take over the party on completion of his studies at the University of Oxford in England.
3/6
The transition to democracy following Zia's death raised hopes that Pakistan would enter a new era with the beginnings of a modern party system, the addressing of long-standing social inequalities and the ending of the centre-state problems which had beset the country.
1/6
The advent of Benazir Bhutto as Pakistan's youngest and first female Prime Minister also raised the possibility that gender inequalities would be addressed & Pakistan would move towards becoming a progressive and tolerant Muslim society. Such hopes were to be cruelly dashed.
2/6
The alternation of Benazir Bhutto and Nawaz Sharif in office was marked by political infighting, financial scandals, limited legislative enactment, and economic failure. Poverty increased as result of sluggish growth, despite Nawaz Sharif's attempt to liberalize the economy.
3/6