1/ Given all the recent revelations about Fox News' internal machinations from the Dominion filings, I'd like to give a sense of just how delicate this moment is for Fox..
I'll start with advertisers, then talk about cable agreements and close with likely cascading litigation
2/ Advertisers. Fox News is already suffering with advertisers quite a bit. Yea, they have MyPillow and vegetable pill sponsors. But, overall, advertising isn'tas robust as it could be -- especially for prime time.
For ex, Fox is currently Fox News' 4th biggest advertiser. Weird
3/ For the most part though, the really big and beloved brands largely eschew Fox. That said, pharmaceutical companies heavily advertise on Fox and then it's companies like @GM and @LibertyMutual that are largely left funding Fox partisan deceptions.
4/ By now though, most people know that advertising revenue is really just gravy on top for Fox. They could have $0 in ad revenue and they'd still have a 90% profit margin. That's because they have guaranteed revenue from cable companies.
5/ Every cable company pays a fee to channels to carry them - it's called a carriage fee. It's usual a nominal fee though. Not for Fox News.
Fox News is the second most expensive channel on every one's cable bill (ESPN is #1). And that is by design.
6/ About 10 years ago, Fox News set out to leverage their rabid audience and insulate themselves from pressures of the ad industry.
I won't get into how they did it. But short of it is, they lied and bullied their way into getting cable companies to massively overpay for Fox Ne
7/ Why's this matter? Well, Fox News has to renegotiate about 60% of all their cable contracts over the next year.
And they not only need to keep their currently inflated rate, they need to actually increase it by quite a bit to offset the ad losses.
8/ These Dominion revelations are going to make it a lot harder for their efforts to be successful.
There are ~90M cable subscribers. 87M who never touch Fox News are forced to basically pay a premium channel fee for it -- and now Fox wants more. Very winnable consumer fight.
9/ You all saw how effective these efforts were at getting cable companies to rethink their relationships with OAN and Newsman. It can absolutely happen with Fox.
10/ There actually hasn't been renewals to really fight about yet, but they are coming. And in fact, the people that signed up at UnFox got an email back in December and helped ensure that Fox lost its very first carriage fight in its history.
More on horizon.
11/ Lastly, these Dominion revelations expose Fox/Murdochs to additional liability. Make no mistake, Shareholders will file lawsuits in the coming months. I have already seen about half a dozen firms post noticed looking for clients to file such lawsuits.
12/ The effects on the Murdochs/Fox will cascade.
But only if consumers act and ensure that Fox isn't about to force through massive increases in carriage fees and if media/others treat Fox like political operation that it is and not prop up veneer that it's a news network.
13/ Posting an update because the cascade is starting.
The efforts to formalize legal action by shareholders is ramping up.
1/ The right-wing noise machine has a disorienting effect.
Flooding the zone with lies, hate, conspiracies and intimidation. It distorts the conversation, tilts media narrative toward their nonsense, fosters fear and anxiety.
But recognize: this moment unlike any in decades…
2/ I am not sugar coating things. But, I also want to share some major considerations that many aren’t aware of. Considerations as to why this moment is so very unique.
3/ No 1 - recognize that this is the first presidential election in nearly 30 years where Rush Limbaugh is not the single largest get out the vote operation in the country.
The absence of Limbaugh is actually so much bigger than Limbaugh alone though.
2/ Project 2025 shutting down policy work isn't significant because: a) the bulk of the policy work is already done. The 900 page policy book is already written; and, b) the other 3 Project 2025 pilars remain in place -- especially the Playbook pilar.
3/ Project 2025 still plans on doing personnel work and still plans on doing the training work. Essentially, Project 2025 will still be the foundation of staffing a Trump admin should he get back into office.
1/ So this might partially help explain the delay: Last evening (4/16), Fox submitted a motion to the court. The motion asked the court to allow Fox to introduce as evidence that Donald Trump and others (Trump was the only one Fox named) made the same claims about others.
2/ A previous ruling said Fox wasn't really allowed to do this and they needed to keep focus on what they did. But, Fox is asking for the court to clarify and also approve this for 2 reasons (and this is kinda amusing)...
3/ First, basically to argue that because Trump was saying it, they had to cover it. I'm not sure they will prevail here. The judge has already said they don't get to use the neutral reportage defense and that's basically what this would be.
1/ There's something incredible in the background during this Dominion trial that is at least as significant (and possibly even more significant) as the trial itself for Fox News' bottom line.
My goodness is this a doozy...
2/ As the trial is happening, Fox News will be renegotiating or gearing up to renegotiate carriage renewal with 3 cable providers -- Xfinity, Chater and Cox.
It's hard to overstate how significant this and how potentially consequential this is for Fox News' future. Here's why...
3/ The dirty secret is that Fox News is the only commercial tv channel that actually doesn't need a single adl. They could have $0 in ad revenue and they'd still have more than a 35% profit margin.
That's cuz Fox is the 2nd most expensive channel on every cable bill (ESPN is #1)
1/ Judge issued ruling on the summary judgment motions in the Dominion v Fox News case.
Fox Corp and Fox News' motions for summary judgment to dismiss the case have been denied.
Domion's motion for summary judgment is granted in part and denied in part.
Details to follow...
2/ In its partial ruling in favor of Dominion, the court did determine statements made by Fox were statements of fact and were not statements of opinion.
3/ The court ruled that Fox News is responsible for the claims made about Dominion; but, it left open the question for the jury as to whether Fox Corporation (Fox News' parent company) is responsible.