Many friends in #MaharashtraPolitics were upset and angry with our #MOTN projections in @IndiaToday just a month back. Todays results should make them understand the simple yet powerful arithmetic of electoral equations. @rahulkanwal @sahiljoshii
In Kasba Peth: BJP won this seat by polling 43% in 2014 assembly election when everyone contested separately. Today they polled 45% yet lost the seat. Reason: the 2014 opposition was scattered but their combined vote was almost 50%. Today Congress polled 52% and won this seat.
In Chinchwad: BJP won this seat with 45% in 2014 assembly election when everyone contested separately. Today they polled 44% yet won the seat. Reason: the 2014 Shiv Sena candidate decided to contest as independent and took away 15% votes. Add that to 39% of NCP and you know.
So in one seat BJP gained votes yet lost due to opposition unity and in another it lost votes yet won due to rebel candidate in opposition camp. Lessons for both camps at this point of time in Maharashtra: Arithmetic can win easily; provided Chemistry is firmly in place.

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More from @YRDeshmukh

May 31, 2021
Some #Shiromani of top order are questioning me "Why have you asked "Rest of India" on what do they feel about 370 and how can they tell what the situation is in J7K?". Well, that precisely has been the problem. You just don't consider "Rest of India" as a stakeholder in J&K.
First: who exactly supports the Valley separatists in "rest of India"? Answer is: nobody. Though the core issue of Valley separatists is "unfinished business of partition" or their Islamic identity, even the Muslims across India do NOT sympathize with them. Forget the rest.
Second: Stop considering Valley voice as THE voice of entire J&K (and also Laddakh for that matter). Jammu and Laddakh were ALWAYS against the separatists agenda in the Valley. No matter what. And population wise Valley is NOT the majority of J&K. Get your facts straight.
Read 6 tweets
May 31, 2021
One of the few things that occupied my mind during this crisis is the impact on mental health due to the stress and grief that Covid has put us through. While there would be Doctors and Gurus giving all the Gyaan, there is just a small possible effort that all of us can try...
Just make a list of 30 most important people in your life; friends, family members, teachers, colleagues and even people playing small but important supporting role in our day today lives. And as a checklist, just #Call2Check their wellbeing. Just #OnePersonADay.
This is important, simply because talking it out helps. We just need to share. We need to let others know that we are there for each other. More so to the people who we care about, and those who care about us. We need to say that no one is grieving alone and we will sail through.
Read 4 tweets
Jul 17, 2020
पच्चीस सालों के अपने कैरियर में दो चीज़ें न तो भूला हूं, न ही कभी भूलूंगा :

१. चाहे कितनी भी सफलता मिले, अपने से पहले के सीनियर प्रोफेशनल की हमेशा इज्जत करते रहना।

२. और अपने बाद जो आए उनका हौसला बढ़ाते रहना, उनकी सफलताओं की खुले दिल से तारीफ करना। उनसे भी सीखने की कोशिश रहना ।
अब इन दोनों बातों को आप संस्कार कहें, मनस्थिति कहें, चाहे परिस्थिति कहें । लेकिन ये बातें मेरे अंदर तक घर की हुई है । मुझसे बड़े, हमउम्र और छोटे; चाहे मुझे चाहने वाले हो या मुझसे नफ़रत करने वाले, मेरी चाहे हज़ार दूसरी गलतियां गिना दें, पर इन दोनों मुद्दों पर हामी भरेंगे ।
जब किसी सीनियर को अपने से जूनियर की सफलता पर खुश होने के बजाय नाराज़ होते देखता हूं तो मन दुखी होता है । हम बड़े तभी हैं जब हम बड़ों की तरह खुले दिल से दुआ देना सीखें । हमारा बड़प्पन अपने से छोटों की सफलता को सेलिब्रेट करने में है, उन पर उंगली उठाने या उनको नीचा दिखाने में नहीं ।
Read 5 tweets
May 13, 2020
Globally the Centrist-Middle-Of-The-Line public was always so well accommodated within the Liberal camp. Used to be the natural and normal phenomenon just a few years back. Something has strangely changed changed that dynamics turning it upside down the world over.
This all started when the policies of Globalization started getting local resistance due to extremely local reasons, particularly in Europe, giving rise to far-right leaders. They were ridiculed by liberals for obvious reasons. But somehow the economic issues remained relevant.
Odd thing to notice: the issues were purely economics related, but looked mutated with racist, anti-migrant campaigns of the far-right leaders. The more noise these far-right made, the more ridicule they attracted from the liberal camp. That came natural in political friction.
Read 9 tweets
Mar 14, 2020
काफी समय से अपने बनारस को दुबारा समझने कि कोशिश कर रहा हूं । अक्सर ये काम अग्रज पंडित जी करते कराते रहते हैं ।आज सुबह सब उन्होंने केदार नाथ सिंह की अद्भुत पंक्तियां भेजी:

*बनारस में बसतं कैसे आता है*
*बनारस में बसतं कैसे आता है*

इस शहर में वसंत
अचानक आता है
और जब आता है तो मैंने देखा है
लहरतारा या मडुवाडीह की तरफ़ से
उठता है धूल का एक बवंडर
और इस महान पुराने शहर की जीभ
किरकिराने लगती है

जो है वह सुगबुगाता है
जो नहीं है वह फेंकने लगता है पचखिया..
जो है वह सुगबुगाता है
जो नहीं है वह फेंकने लगता है पचखियाँ
आदमी दशाश्‍वमेध पर जाता है
और पाता है घाट का आखिरी पत्‍थर
कुछ और मुलायम हो गया है
सीढि़यों पर बैठे बंदरों की आँखों में
एक अजीब सी नमी है
और एक अजीब सी चमक से भर उठा है
भिखारियों के कटरों का निचाट खालीपन..
Read 8 tweets
Sep 4, 2019
India gave liberals an exemplary modest RW called Atalji. They abused and disrespect him
then.

LKA followed and they started saying Atalji was moderate.

It took NaMo for them to start respecting LKA. Now with Shah in, will find NaMo a moderate. Yogi and Sadhvi are in line.
There is a pattern to whenever the Indian RW offered it's most accommodating appreciative faces, only to be humiliated by the Lutyens ecosystem.

The common man has been observing their every step and reaction. Every humiliation forced another deep rooted mandate. One by one.
And the action-reaction theory continues even today. And likely to continue in future as well.

The LeLi ecosystem in Lutyens is unable to understand why public is reacting the way it is reacting. Why mandates are not really following their narrative.

Blame the people. Yup.
Read 5 tweets

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