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🇷🇺BLACK SEA FLEET UPDATE🇷🇺
Updated imagery for Mar 2, 2023. 0.5M📸 for most of Sevastopol & Novorossiysk and 10M📸 for Sevastopol & the SW/S coast of Crimea. Definitely some interesting changes since the last view.
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First look is at Sevastopol⬇️
Frigate Pier - 1 Krivak & 1 Grigorovich are missing (1 Krivak, 1 Grig, 1 Pr 21631, 2 Bora present)
Ammo Pier - Ropucha, no action on the jetty
Refueling - No major vessels
Pivdenna - 3x Ropucha, Alligator, Grisha & Yuriy Ivanov
Sub Pier - Empty
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... and Novorossiysk⬇️
3x Ropucha Class
2x Pr. 22160
2x Improved KILO
Ivan Gren is missing, no Pr. 21631 present either and the TOR Mounted 22160 is gone as well.
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Now looking at Sentinel 2📸 of the SW/S coast of Crimea. Caveats apply but likely spot of the Ivan Gren Class (missing from Novo), 3 patrol / FSB boats and potentially a KILO (unsure on this spot).
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That leaves the following vessels/boats missing from the 2 bases⬇️
1 Admiral Grigorovich
1 Krivak
2 Pr. 21631
1 Pr. 22160
3 KILO
3 Ropucha
2 Alligator
1 Ivan Gren
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🇷🇺RU LONG RANGE AVIATION🇷🇺
We have all seen the dispersal of the bomber force at Engels after the attacks in early December on Engels & Dyagilevo. What we haven’t been able to discern is where did these aircraft go and are they still involved in the missile attacks on UKR.
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The primary bases for long range aviation are: Engels (nearest UKR), Belaya (near Lake Baikal) and Urkainka (Far East). It has also been confirmed that Tu-22s are operating out of Shaikovka (north of Bryansk) and Dyagilevo (near Ryazan) and participating in attacks on UKR.
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In combination with Google Earth 📸, OSINT and 0.5M and 0.3M 📸, I have been able to determine the movement of at least part of the long range 🇷🇺bomber force. I’ve looked at Engels, Ukrainka, Belaya, Voronezh and Shaikovka in the Fall 2022 (pre Engels attack) and in 2023.
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🇧🇾BARANOVICHI AIR BASE🇧🇾
0.5M📸 from Jan 17, 2023 (12:27 UTC). First non-cloudy view since the Russian-Belarus joint air exercises began. Caveat, I'm not an expert at IDs of Russian Fighters, so feel free to provide feedback/input.
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There were 4 primary areas and 3 individual spots outlined in the image. Overall, the counts/types are as follows:
Mig-29 x12
Su-27 x20
Su-30 x9
An-26 x1
An-12 x1
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Areas A, B & C are dominated by the Su-27 with a few Mig-29s sprinkled in. D, E & F have Su-27s and Su-30s primarily.