Claims businesses are mere intermediaries in inflation (simply passing on higher costs to consumers) are disproved by the growth in corporate profits. Corp revenue has grown $160b/yr more than corp costs. Yet RBA still obsesses about wage growth & demands more real wage cuts. /3
The surge in mining profits (up 89% from Dec19 to Dec22) has led the way. But profits in non-mining sectors have also grown: by 29% in the same period. Non-mining profits have grown as a share of non-mining GDP, and faster than non-mining wages. /4
Today's likely RBA rate hike (10th in a row) will further hurt employment (which already fell in Dec & Jan) & make it harder for wages to catch up with prices. And that's the RBA's plan: cement a permanent real wage cut to solve inflation that businesses, not workers, caused. /5
The idea of privatising Sydney's water system has sparked fears among residents. And based on experience of other jurisdictions with private water, that concern is justified. See our new report today on the social & economic costs of private water: futurework.org.au/report/the-fis… /2
In the rush to pay out dividends & capital gains, private water monopolies load up on debt, reduce capital spending & pay huge interest costs (which regulators allow them to pass on to water users). Most worrisome are the health risks that come with staff cuts & cost-cutting. /3
In the UK, average private water bills rose 39% due to the deadweight costs of debt, interest, & dividend payouts. In the US, municipalities with private water paid 59% more. In Sydney's case, that would translate into increases in average water bills of $174 to $264 per year. /4
Using the taxation data they find that men earn more than women in 95% of all occupations, but it is not just because more men work in those jobs. In occupation where women make up more than 60% of all workers, men still earn more in 86% of them
Their research fond that overwhelmingly male-dominate work is paid more than is women-dominated work.
In 80 of the occupations where men make up 80% or more of the workers, the avge salary is above $100,000.
In jobs where women make up more than 80% of workers there were none
In a week when Coles, Woolworths, ComBank, Qantas & Ampol all reported huge profits, the ABS confirmed workers' real wages fell faster than any year in history. What gives??
Author @JimboStanford used ABS data to decompose economy-wide inflation into its component parts.
No surprise: corporate profits grew far faster than any other form of income (3x faster than wages for each unit of output).
Corporates' share of GDP is up 3.2 %pts since COVID. /3
We would expect some legitimate growth in profits: due to expanded real output, and even due to 'normal' inflation (at the 2.5% RBA target rate). But of the EXCESS (above-target) inflation since COVID, excess corporate profit accounts for 69% of the additional lift in prices. /4
Does anyone actually believe the unemployment rate was just 6.2% last month?? Don't. All that number proves is how irrelevant the official unemployment rate has become. Let's walk through the math: ...2 @unionsaustralia#ausecon#ABS#LFS
Official unemployment increased by just 105,000 people. Not too bad, right? Wrong. 500,000 people lost work but 'left' the labour force. Why? To be included in the labour force, you must be available for work and actively seeking it. What was the point of that in April? ...3
Let's count them in actual unemployed. Then there's another 750,000 Australians who were 'employed' but didn't work a single hour. JobKeeper helps on that score. Include them & unemployment is now 2.1 million--not the official 823,000. That's 15% of the adjusted labour force ...4
THREAD: The Australian government’s announcement of a huge program to support wage payments by employers through the coming COVID-19 recession is important, and will significantly moderate the employment and income consequences of the pandemic...2
The government has reversed its initial opposition to the concept. This is a tribute to the effective lobbying and organising of many stakeholders, in particular the efforts of the ACTU @unionsaustralia ...3
Unlike other countries which will subsidise wages on a proportional basis (eg. 80% in the UK), this scheme features an unusual flat-rate payment structure. Businesses will receive the same flat amount ($1500/fortnight) for each supported worker...4
There's only one word to describe today's #ABS jobs report: UGLY. 19,000 jobs lost: the worst of any month in over 3 years. Job losses in every category: full-time, part-time, men, women. Another decline in total hours worked: the 4th since April...2
Unemployment rate up again: to 5.32%, highest in 2 years. Unemployment rate has risen 0.4 points since Feb. Would have been worse, except for another fall in the participation rate: down for the 6th time this year. That means people are giving up looking...3
Combined with yesterday's report of a further slowing in wage growth, this is more evidence of profound labour market weakness. Will take a combination of strong job-creation measures & efforts to boost wages to get consumers spending (their purchases make up 1/2 of all GDP)...4