Blake Murdoch Profile picture
Mar 7 13 tweets 3 min read
There have been many reports of people going out knowing they are positive for COVID, denying a known infection is COVID, etc. This is a very interesting essay on some possible mechanisms by which SARS-COV-2 may manipulate infected people's behaviour. /1🧵link.springer.com/article/10.100…
These are potential mechanisms and are not proven to my knowledge (paper is 2021). Some of them are based on known potential effects of specific biological interactions. Social factors are likely more powerful than biological ones for explaining behaviour that transmits COVID. /2
Definitely the most important one is that COVID has several possibly mechanisms by which it can make infected people feel fine. I recall at the beginning of the pandemic, people would feel fine but have incredibly low oxygenation, meaning they were about to crash and die. /3
Also, many people who end up with Long Covid, meaning they likely had significant internal damage from the virus, feel nearly fine in the acute phase of infection. Feeling fine is a recipe for going about society transmitting everywhere during the infectious phase of disease. /4
SARS-COV-2 binds to neuropilin-1 which is known to have analgesic effects (relieves pain). I.e. it may be generating a soothing response kind of like taking Tylenol to help you feel better while it continues to infect you. Telltale fever is also often not present. /5
This hypothesis is important for people to understand because, in addition to helping explain behaviour of people who go around and spread COVID because they don't realize they are sick, it also underpins the false belief that COVID is somehow equivalent to a minor cold. /6
SARS-COV-2 also suppresses interferon production more than SARS, which can delay the immune response, increasing viral replication, and can also improve mood and increase social activity. Interferon production from infection is associated with social withdrawal and depression. /7
The authors note that SARS-COV-2 binds acetylcholine receptors, which the rabies virus also does, and this could impact behaviour, though it's highly unclear. Some receptors are nicotinic: one Long Covid hypothesis is treatment through nicotine patches. /8 bioelecmed.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.11… Image
Loss of sense of smell is also a behaviour modulator, but because humans have a weak sense of smell the authors hypothesize selection for this may have been adapted to the virus' origins in bats, where loss of smell would likely lead to more risky behaviour by hosts. /9
The authors note COVID is associated with impaired consciousness, vascular damage and neuroinvasion. But they have no evidence that this is adaptive to the virus or that it modulates behaviour in a useful way. Perhaps it causes failure to adhere to public health measures. /10
Obviously, COVID makes you cough and can also cause diarrhea, like many viruses, and these can be both protective responses and behaviours that facilitate viral transmission. /11
The authors suggest that asymptomatic individuals may be considered a form of deceptive mimicry on behalf of the virus to promote transmission. /12
I hope you found this as interesting as I do. I think more research needs to look into biological mechanisms which may underpin the modulation of behaviour by COVID infection. /13.

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More from @BlakeMMurdoch

Feb 26
Francois Balloux criticized me today for pointing out problems with the Cochrane masking review.

He said that Cochrane reviewers shouldn’t contact authors of the studies they are reviewing. The problem: that’s exactly the opposite of what the official Cochrane guide says.
My tweet thread here, which he was attempting to discredit, showed the Cochrane reviewers didn’t seem to be aware of the existence of the publicly available raw data from a key COVID-era masking trial, and didn’t contact the authors to ask for it.
Indeed, if you look at the 2022 Cochrane review training guide, it recommends the exact opposite of what Balloux says.
training.cochrane.org/handbook/curre…
Read 4 tweets
Feb 25
An anonymous parrot on Twitter somehow knows more about research ethics than many dominant medical voices. There is no equipoise to respirator RCTs.

Engineers do not run experiments where people are sent into chemical-laden vessels with & without respirators to see what happens.
Nor do they compare fit-tested P100 elastomeric respirators to surgical-style masks with far worse lab filtration rates & giant gaps in the fitment. There is NO NEED. It is unethical and pointless. We know respirators work. See also: international industrial safety standards.
I sit on a data safety monitoring board that oversees medical research. We have to assess over time whether there is still clinical equipoise. I.e. if we assess that one arm of the trial is proving strongly superior, we must halt the research as it would be unethical to continue.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 24
Tweets wherein a @cochranecollab masking review author misrepresents the Yale Bangladeshi masking study & data as opaque, then the Yale first author points out the raw data have been publicly posted the whole time, & the Cochrane review team never saw it nor emailed them once.🧵
The conversation started like this. @GidMK points out the three COVID-era masking studies included in the review showed clear and consistent benefit from masking. @paulglasziou ADMITS there was an effect from masking in COVID-era studies. Then wrongly frames Yale study as opaque.
People raise to Paul that the data are public. @KelseyTuoc points out the Cochrane authors have repeatedly stated there are many unanswered questions about the Yale study. Well, it appears that is because they don't know how to use Google + never actually asked the questions.
Read 7 tweets
Feb 23
This essay by @n_hold has many intelligent insights into living in a world where there is an ideological ending to the pandemic but it continues biologically. It speaks to the many levels of loneliness and grief that accompany the new "pseudo-normal." 🧵
pestemag.com/lost-to-follow…
"The pseudo-return in the 'new normal' means social life and community appear to be more available, but for many of us, they aren’t, really - no more than a meal someone spat on is really available as food."
"Experiences of community are offered but not actually present, in that they're present only via serious risks which are often un- or under-acknowledged. ... I think of this facet of broken sociality as social loneliness. This involves more time spent alone."
Read 19 tweets
Feb 22
Would journalists present the results of the flawed Cochrane masking review as favourably if they knew that the first author Tom Jefferson recently said that reporters during the pandemic were reminiscent of "German generals and physicians at the Nuremberg trials"?🧵
This is, of course, a dogwhistle to the rather sizeable group of unhinged people calling for journalists and public officials to actually be tried and hanged for crimes against humanity in a "Nuremberg 2.0." We are studying this online discourse at the Health Law Institute.
His blog post on Feb 3, 2023:

trusttheevidence.substack.com/p/escaping-fro…

“Reporters will tell you they were only doing their jobs, a statement reminiscent of the defence of German generals and physicians at the Nuremberg trials. No one questioned anything; they just followed the briefs.”
Read 8 tweets
Feb 21
I've decided to support TV/movies over sports for now. Mostly because I can't watch 20k people party in a stadium anymore without getting angry and thinking of people down the chain of COVID super-spreading transmission that are going to die as a direct result of these events. 🧵
I know I'm going to get some hate for this. And I do like the sports themselves. It's just that the sports model is broken right now. At least on sets, Hollywood etc have had some of the best precautions out there in terms of stopping the spread. Art wins over sports for now.
I feel great pain about musicians, who typically rely on touring for income, because that model is also broken and most musicians are financially insecure, unlike millionaire/billionaire sports team owners and athletes. Family members are personally affected by this.
Read 8 tweets

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