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Mar 8 9 tweets 2 min read
1/9

Does a two-tiered PGAT system actually make it more likely for really good PGAT players stuck in the two-tiered purgatory to jump to LIV?

It's really just game-theory...
2/9

Let's say for two consecutive years you finish 52nd and 59th in the #FedExCup. Missing out on easy guaranteed money the next year by such a close margin.

What if LIV comes calling?

You're probably a top-100 player in the world, or close to, if you're doing that well...
3/9

... and LIV is always going to be looking for Top-100 players to pad their ranks.

They offer a contract. 4 years, guaranteed money. They've got some smart people so they back into what you'd probably make over the next 4 years, and then they 2.5x that number...
4/9

What if that happens with 5-10 guys per year?

The long-game with LIV is Euro-soccer model with countless teams working through various leagues all trying to get to the top-tier.

Promotion. Relegation. Bigger the league, bigger the stakes. Model has already been proven...
5/9

You see the big picture, right?

This isn't just about 1 LIV league. This is about creating a whole new golf eco-system with 4-player teams, playing around the world.

Will it happen?

Who knows.

I'm just a bystander, but we all need to see the big picture...
6/9

Then what happens, when 30 or 40 of the top-100 players are on a LIV-affiliate (ranked by an unbiased system of course 😉 - TUGR.org).

What do the majors do then?

Of course they capitulate, it's game theory.

Look, we have no dog in the fight....
7/9

... but we are pretty good at looking at the game-theory of what's happening. LIV is playing the long-game and they have the money to do so.

It may never happen and in 10 years we'll all be saying, "remember that LIV thing..."
8/9

But if it does, watch out.

PGAT is following the classic playbook:

1st: Dimiss idea
2nd: Slander idea
3rd: Change biz model and dig heals in (current stage)

4th: New model backfires
5th: Capitulate (will be interesting how this occurs)
6th: Become a Harvard case study
9/9

Who knows. It's all speculation, but there's a reality where PGAT just gutted their "middle class" talent by creating a potential feeder to LIV, which would just accelerate their bigger aspirations.

Really, it's just free market economics 101

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More from @TUGRgolf

Mar 7
A quick trip down memory lane and how TUGR was born from a trip like we took in 2018…

We were on our annual trip which that year took us to Sawgrass.

This is a cropped picture of the Champions Locker Room where we were lucky enough to get a tour…
After playing 18, we grabbed dinner on the patio. I don’t know his name, but a man who did something important there came to our table and started talking to us.

He found out that our golf pilgrimage that year had brought up to Sawgrass. A family affair every year…
He clearly was someone in charge, bc he then invited us to take a tour, and next thing you know we’re in the Champions locker room and sitting in the barber chair and looking at all the names. What a cool experience…
Read 7 tweets
Mar 6
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As Professional golf continues to get more divided, not unified,

A quick thread on why TUGR is built to accommodate this division.

On a recent podcast I speculated what if within 5 years “another” tour pops up to lure away the top players…
2/6)

Little did I know it would be the PGAT dividing itself into two-tiers that would fulfill this prediction.

I suppose “another” tour could still pop up, but the point is that “points-based” rankings will keep falling behind with their accuracy in this divided state….
(3/6)

These systems will start looking more like the GHIN handicap system where each course and tournament get some sort of rating that is nearly impossible to have uniformity and accuracy…
Read 6 tweets

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