Does a two-tiered PGAT system actually make it more likely for really good PGAT players stuck in the two-tiered purgatory to jump to LIV?
It's really just game-theory...
2/9
Let's say for two consecutive years you finish 52nd and 59th in the #FedExCup. Missing out on easy guaranteed money the next year by such a close margin.
What if LIV comes calling?
You're probably a top-100 player in the world, or close to, if you're doing that well...
3/9
... and LIV is always going to be looking for Top-100 players to pad their ranks.
They offer a contract. 4 years, guaranteed money. They've got some smart people so they back into what you'd probably make over the next 4 years, and then they 2.5x that number...
4/9
What if that happens with 5-10 guys per year?
The long-game with LIV is Euro-soccer model with countless teams working through various leagues all trying to get to the top-tier.
Promotion. Relegation. Bigger the league, bigger the stakes. Model has already been proven...
5/9
You see the big picture, right?
This isn't just about 1 LIV league. This is about creating a whole new golf eco-system with 4-player teams, playing around the world.
Will it happen?
Who knows.
I'm just a bystander, but we all need to see the big picture...
6/9
Then what happens, when 30 or 40 of the top-100 players are on a LIV-affiliate (ranked by an unbiased system of course 😉 - TUGR.org).
What do the majors do then?
Of course they capitulate, it's game theory.
Look, we have no dog in the fight....
7/9
... but we are pretty good at looking at the game-theory of what's happening. LIV is playing the long-game and they have the money to do so.
It may never happen and in 10 years we'll all be saying, "remember that LIV thing..."
8/9
But if it does, watch out.
PGAT is following the classic playbook:
1st: Dimiss idea
2nd: Slander idea
3rd: Change biz model and dig heals in (current stage)
4th: New model backfires
5th: Capitulate (will be interesting how this occurs)
6th: Become a Harvard case study
9/9
Who knows. It's all speculation, but there's a reality where PGAT just gutted their "middle class" talent by creating a potential feeder to LIV, which would just accelerate their bigger aspirations.
Really, it's just free market economics 101
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A quick trip down memory lane and how TUGR was born from a trip like we took in 2018…
We were on our annual trip which that year took us to Sawgrass.
This is a cropped picture of the Champions Locker Room where we were lucky enough to get a tour…
After playing 18, we grabbed dinner on the patio. I don’t know his name, but a man who did something important there came to our table and started talking to us.
He found out that our golf pilgrimage that year had brought up to Sawgrass. A family affair every year…
He clearly was someone in charge, bc he then invited us to take a tour, and next thing you know we’re in the Champions locker room and sitting in the barber chair and looking at all the names. What a cool experience…
As Professional golf continues to get more divided, not unified,
A quick thread on why TUGR is built to accommodate this division.
On a recent podcast I speculated what if within 5 years “another” tour pops up to lure away the top players…
2/6)
Little did I know it would be the PGAT dividing itself into two-tiers that would fulfill this prediction.
I suppose “another” tour could still pop up, but the point is that “points-based” rankings will keep falling behind with their accuracy in this divided state….
(3/6)
These systems will start looking more like the GHIN handicap system where each course and tournament get some sort of rating that is nearly impossible to have uniformity and accuracy…