🧵 Since last night, many people have been debating whether Georgia will start a new war against Abkhazia and South Ossetia. The answer is NO... They won't...
Georgia has started three wars before and used force against Abkhazians and the Ossetians over and over again.
They continue to refuse to sign a non-use of force agreement.
However, this time they will not repeat the same mistake as they did many times before.
Therefore, no one should expect a new war.
Despite this, it is worth remembering something that we Abkhazian and Ossetians remember, but the international community forgets or chosen to overlook. As Liz Fuller noted [abkhazworld.com/aw/analysis/53…]:
In Defence of the Homeland: Intellectuals and the Georgian-Abkhazian Conflict, by Bruno Coppieters
2002 VUB Brussels University Press. abkhazworld.com/aw/conflict/17…
See also:
+ The Ibero-Caucasian hypothesis and the historiography of Abkhazia, by Kevin Tuite bit.ly/3P49A31
+ The value of the past: myths, identity and politics in Transcaucasia, by Victor A. Shnirelman bit.ly/3uldTgT
Anchabadze: "In the Caucasian War, the main role was played (I list from east to west): Avars, Chechens, Adyghes and Ubykhs, however, after these peoples in the Caucasus in the 19th century, the Abkhazians resisted the most."
"The largest uprisings in Abkhazia took place in 1821-1827, 1840-1845, 1861, 1866 and 1877. After the suppression of these uprisings, there was a partial migration of the Abkhaz to the Ottoman Empire."
⁉️ Ghia Nodia: “According to many accounts, “Georgia for the Georgians” was Gamsakhurdia’s slogan, though this in fact is not true – I personally never saw this kind of slogan at his rallies...”
(Conflict in Abkhazia: National Projects and Political Circumstances).
You shouldn’t have started a war against Abkhazians (and other non-Georgian population living in Abkhazia). As Shevardnadze confessed, this was your BIGGEST MISTAKE Admit that you lost a war that you started - against Abkhazians.
Yeltsin gave Shevardnadze the green light to
attack Abkhazia on 14 Aug 1992, and tried to impede North Caucasian volunteers organised by the late Yuri Shanibov, from gaining access to Abkhazia.
1st pic: Gia Karkarashvili, and Sergei Shoigu (next to him) and Geno Adamia (1993).
These days lots of “experts” are comparing Abkhazia with Donbas and reminding the August 2008 war... In fact, Abkhazia became independent 15 years earlier, when it successfully repelled an attack by Georgia.
Don’t look on Abkhazians as terrorists or separatists who are trying to get out and build some criminal state. We want independence. Like Georgia! Also, Abkhazia did not fight for separation. We did fight for independence. abkhazworld.com/aw/conflict/31…
Are there any resolutions of the Abkhazian Parliament adopted before August 14 1992 which have declared secession from Georgia? There is not one! In fact, it was the Abkhazian side that suggested building our relations with Georgia on an agreed, federative basis.