一口新饭 Profile picture
Mar 13 6 tweets 1 min read
看到一些关于”美国光速“拯救硅谷银行 #SVB 的略带阴谋论的”小作文”,那我也写一个小作文🧵来简单解释一下:
1/5 美国政府/Fed"光速"救援和“SVB的背景/故事"无关。逻辑是: 系统性银行挤兑是任何国家的无法承受之重。一旦系统性挤兑,整个银行和金融系统就会崩溃。就像邻居着火会蔓延到所有房子。一定要先灭火,这和失火者背景, 关系, 故事,对错无关。SVB明显是系统性风险,"光速救援”是唯一选择, commen sense;
2/5 这次的处理方式是一种合理的平衡: 保证储蓄者的存款(必须选项); 不用纳税人的钱弥补银行和银行投资者的损失(防止出现08年的民怨和不公)。需要明白的是: 保护储蓄者的钱不等于"bail out" 银行。
3/5 那这次又是政府“印钱“救灾,通胀没跑了。错,除非储户把拿到的存款全部花出去,否则不会出现新增的通货膨胀。这就好像,你的存款被骗走了,现在拿回来了,然后你开心的去全部花掉。这不合理。
4/5 这难道不是美联储再次拯救华尔街,和资本穿一条裤子, 在救市吗?参考第一条: 系统性挤兑会让所有人完蛋。所以,讨论是不是同一条裤子没意义也不重要,也无法考证; 而”救市”是结果的一种; 政府能做的是不用纳税人的钱去bail out 资本。SVB以及其它银行自己的损失自己担着。
5/5 你这是马后炮,事后诸葛亮。No, 请参考我周五的Space直播录音: twitter.com/i/spaces/1BRJj…

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