one thing to keep in mind when asking, "how could vcs be so dumb as to start a run on their best banking partner"...these guys are OBSESSED with apocalyptic risk. they see it everywhere. 1/
its a point of pride, an intellectual fascination, and a way to get cred. Thiel is big into this, and I wrote about it quite in my book, but the mindset is pretty common throughout the venture capital world. 2/
Here’s what happened inside Thiel’s hedge fund in 2008. 3/
obviously, super bearish predictions turn out to be right sometimes, but the apocalyptic thing has generally been a blind sport more than anything. thiel got killed in 2009 -- the end of world vibes didn't save him 4/
and its easy to see how some trigger happy junior VC, having drunk in decades worth of wacky end of world porn (proffered by Thiel and others like him) would find it prudent -- and prolly exciting -- to tell everyone to pull money out of SvB last week 5/
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I’ve got a cover story @BW this week on the long unfulfilled promise self driving cars, and the industry pioneer who now says the whole thing has been wildly overhyped bloomberg.com/news/features/…
The paradox I tried to wrestle with: the technology is objectively amazing—and yet after more than a decade at the, the most sophisticated engineers and entrepreneurs in the world can’t turn left twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Spending time with Levandowski opened my eyes to a fundamental problem with how we’ve evaluated (and hyped) this tech: demos. The whole thing is an illusion, taking advantage of assumptions that I think are widely held even by experts in this field who simply want to believe