This policy will be popular because FREE STUFF but it is symptomatic of the country's downward spiral. 🧵 bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politi…
Childcare costs are extraordinarily high in the UK and have risen enormously since the 1990s. Why? Are the staff highly paid? No. Do nurseries make massive profits? Not really.
What's happened is the government has broken the market with subsidies, regulation and feel-good policies.
If it moves, regulate it. If it stops moving, subsidise it.
One of the biggest issues that raises costs is the child to staff ratio. No country is stricter than the UK on this for kids under 3 (the ones Hunt is going to subsidise today).
Supporters of these regulations would argue that they are essential for health and safety, but the rest off the world doesn't seem to agree, including the not-notably-anarchistic countries of Denmark and Sweden.
Rather than take on a handful of special interest groups and fix these problems, the government is going to borrow some money to subsidise a failed system. Many such cases! #manageddeclinepapers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
The BBC quotes a pressure group kicking off about the possibility of bringing the English staff-child ratio in line with... Scotland!
If you know how these things work, you won't be surprised to hear that the BBC doesn't quote anything who supports this modest reform and the pressure group in question is heavily funded by the government. …of-charities.charitycommission.gov.uk/charity-search…
If you want to know what the Green Party's leader believes, you should watch this (insane) video. 🧵
The video starts with a straw man, claiming that "right-wing economists" believe that there is "no difference" between households and governments. This is obviously untrue. There are lots of differences, but the key similarity is that government borrowing, like household borrowing, must be paid back with interest and you will be charged more interest if you look like a credit risk.
He then makes the bizarre claim that the government "creates money every time it spends". He says that parliament approves the budget and the Bank of England creates the money to pay for it. He seems to think that all public spending comes from QE.
Taxes are at a 70 year high and the government is borrowing £100-150 billion a year, so why does nothing seem to work and why is Rachel Reeves going to raise taxes again? 🧵
There has been a sharp rise in public spending in the last five years. The state will spend £177 billion more this financial year than it did in 2019/20 (in real terms).
Some departments have seen little change in their budgets over the years.
The European Commission openly admits that its objective is to stop price differences incentivising healthy behavioural change, e.g. switching from cigarettes to vapes.
In 2020, in an attempt to blame the public for the UK's high Covid mortality rate, Boris Johnson announced a new obesity plan which included a ban on adverts for what campaigners call 'junk food'.
But there's no legal definition of 'junk food' so the government decided to ban ads for food that is high in fat, sugar or salt (HFSS) instead. gov.uk/government/new…
You may wonder how smoking-related cancer cases can be at an all-time high when the smoking rate is at an all-time low and has been declining for 60 years. They're not. It's a load of nonsense. 🧵 telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/0…
Smoking rates have been falling since the 1960s. They had fallen by half by 1990.
1950: ~60%
1970: ~45%
1990: ~30%
2022: 13%
The number of cigarettes smoked per smoker has also fallen substantially.
As Doll and Peto showed, deaths from lung cancer followed smoking prevalence with a time lag of around 20-30 years. bmj.com/content/321/72…