This policy will be popular because FREE STUFF but it is symptomatic of the country's downward spiral. 🧵 bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politi…
Childcare costs are extraordinarily high in the UK and have risen enormously since the 1990s. Why? Are the staff highly paid? No. Do nurseries make massive profits? Not really.
What's happened is the government has broken the market with subsidies, regulation and feel-good policies.
If it moves, regulate it. If it stops moving, subsidise it.
One of the biggest issues that raises costs is the child to staff ratio. No country is stricter than the UK on this for kids under 3 (the ones Hunt is going to subsidise today).
Supporters of these regulations would argue that they are essential for health and safety, but the rest off the world doesn't seem to agree, including the not-notably-anarchistic countries of Denmark and Sweden.
Rather than take on a handful of special interest groups and fix these problems, the government is going to borrow some money to subsidise a failed system. Many such cases! #manageddecline papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
The BBC quotes a pressure group kicking off about the possibility of bringing the English staff-child ratio in line with... Scotland!
If you know how these things work, you won't be surprised to hear that the BBC doesn't quote anything who supports this modest reform and the pressure group in question is heavily funded by the government. …of-charities.charitycommission.gov.uk/charity-search…
I’ve written about this here 👇 capx.co/why-more-free-…

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More from @cjsnowdon

Feb 1
Devi has gone back to talking about her first love, alcohol control. She says England can learn from Scotland's "harm reduction" policies. Let's have a look. 🧵 theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
She is right to say there was a fall in alcohol harm, as measured by alcohol-related deaths, between 2003 and 2012, although the rate is still far higher than in England. So which policies achieved this? She names four.
1. Ban on multi-buy discounts. Introduced in October 2011. When it was evaluated in 2014 it was found to have had no effect on alcohol consumption. cam.ac.uk/research/news/…
Read 11 tweets
Feb 1
In today's episode of Junk Science, we use people's self-reported consumption of a vaguely defined food category and dredge the data for an association with any form of cancer. telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/01/3…
The study is here. This is the main table. thelancet.com/action/showPdf…
'Ultra-processed food' causes lung cancer? Hmm, do you suppose there could be some residual confounding going on here? 🤔 sciencemediacentre.org/expert-reactio…
Read 4 tweets
Jan 15
I’ve tried to ignore smiley anti-vaxxers for the last year but I’ve had to block at least 300 of them this weekend since tweeting about Malhotra. Here’s what I’ve learned 🧵
1. So many new accounts. The majority of the ones I blocked set their accounts up in the last 3 months, and in December 2022 in particular. Loads of US accounts getting involved. These profiles are typical.
Perhaps there’s been an influx since Musk took over? Whatever the reason, it is almost a surprise when you find an account that has been around for a few years. I got the impression I had blocked quite a few of them before.
Read 27 tweets
Jan 13
Almost unbelievably, Aseem Malhotra was invited onto BBC News this morning to talk about statins. Halfway through he started banging on about vaccines and claimed that Omicron is no worse than flu.
Way to go, @BBCNews! Image
Malhotra's only contribution to the scientific literature on statins was an article that was later amended to remove a key claim and which statins expert Professor Rory Collins said was as ‘a serious disservice to British and international medicine’. snowdon.substack.com/p/the-downward…
Read 9 tweets
Dec 31, 2022
Richard Horton, who published a fraudulent study of MMR vaccines and autism and stood by it for TWELVE YEARS before finally retracting it, has received an OBE for ‘services to health and medical journalism’. 🤦‍♂️
Three studies published in the Lancet about Covid-19 have already been retracted and another one is under investigation. Way to go! retractionwatch.com/2022/12/01/buz…
Read 4 tweets
Dec 7, 2022
This time last year, a bunch of scientists, activists and journalists tried to bounce a heavily vaccinated population into another lockdown. Here's a day-by day reminder of how it happened. 🧵
7 December 2021: At a meeting of SAGE, it is claimed - based on unpublished modelling - that the peak in hospital admissions is 'highly likely' to exceed 1,000 a day. This turns out to be correct. gov.uk/government/pub… Image
They acknowledge 'some early indications from South Africa' that Omicron is milder, but essentially dismiss this. Image
Read 137 tweets

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