New: US is assessing drone ops over the Black Sea following harassment by Russian jets, 4 US officials tell CNN. US is “taking a close look” at the drones’ routes and assessing how to better deconflict w/ the Russians. W/my colleagues @NatashaBertrand@OrenCNN 1/
2/ The US has not stopped the flights entirely amid the assessment—the military sent the same model of drone, an MQ-9 Reaper, on a mission in approximately the same area over the Black Sea shortly after the collision occurred.
3/ However, the Pentagon has asked European Command to justify surveillance flights in the area going forward in part to assess risk, a senior US military official said.
4/ Officials also plan to analyze the overall costs and benefits of flying these missions, comparing the potential intelligence value of a particular route versus the risk of escalation with Russia.
5/ There is concern among some in the US military that limiting routes will impact intelligence gathering related to the Ukraine war.
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Current trend lines on the Ukraine war are disturbing and point to a longer - and potentially larger - conflict:
-In his speech Tue, Putin made clear he’s committing Russia more, not less, to the war. His forces are ineffective but he’s willing to pour in more cannon fodder. 1/
2/ -China’s potential entry into Ukraine, by providing lethal assistance to Russia as US officials are warning, will potentially lengthen the war. It also would inject a third superpower into the conflict, with all three seeing the war as defining for a new world order.
3/ -Russia’s official suspension of its compliance with the START treaty - which we now know was marked by a failed ICBM test - signals the further dissolution of the nuclear treaty architecture, which could presage a new arms race.
Breaking: President Putin says Russia is suspending its participation in the New START nuclear arms reduction treaty.
Under the key nuclear arms control treaty, both the US and Russia are permitted to conduct inspections of each other’s weapons sites, though inspections have been halted since 2020 due to the Covid-19 pandemic.
According to US officials, Russia has continually refused to allow inspections of its nuclear facilities. “Russia is not complying with its obligation under the New START Treaty to facilitate inspection activities on its territory,” a State Dept spokesperson said in January.
This is quite a moment in Ukrainian and US history. A leader at war, in a conflict he and the US president both portray as a battle for the free world. Echoes of Churchill’s address at the start of World War Two.
This is quite a welcome. Zelensky says to Pelosi with a smile “I think this is too much.”
Zelensky deliberately begins by addressing Americans themselves directly, saying he hopes his words “resonate in each American heart.”
As we assess Tehran’s response to ongoing protests, what is Ebrahim Raisi, as president, capable of? Look to Raisi, as senior judiciary official, in 2009. When I was in Tehran for the 2009 protests, it was Raisi - then Vice Chief Justice - who helped lead the harsh crackdown. 1/
2/ He was notorious among protesters and dissidents for meting out the most inhuman punishments. Dissidents told me of torture in prison, demeaning acts of violence.
3/ Recent images of security forces - two to a motorcycle- beating men and women protesters, and often worse, are familiar. What happens behind prison walls is even more alarming. It is humiliation and dehumanization by design.
Biden opens on election results, with a message perhaps both to a US audience and to China: “The American people proved once again that democracy is who we are…in America the will of the people prevails.”
Biden says the US is “not looking for conflict” and looks to manage the US-China relationship responsibly.
He adds that the US’s “One China” policy “has not changed”