1/10 Wages are struggling to keep up with costs. Covid and Ukraine are factors but to explain what’s happening, we also need to look further back – to Britain’s levels of wage growth, productivity, investment and inequality. This is what we found. First - wage growth has stalled
2/10 According to Torsten Bell at the Resolution Foundation, a think tank focused on low-to middle incomes, this "stagnation" is "almost completely unprecedented. Nobody thought it could happen".
3/10 Next - if you want wages to rise, productivity is crucial. As economist Mohamed El-Erian puts it: "the more you produce, the more you get rewarded for it". But as you can see here, UK productivity is growing more slowly than the average across developed countries.
4/10 Or if you want specific examples - here you can see how the UK compares with Germany and France.
5/10 One way of driving an increase in productivity is to increase investment by both the government and business. This graphic shows a list of developed countries and their level of investment as a proportion of their economy from 1997-2017. The UK is last.
6/10 Also, the government’s independent watchdog, the OBR, says that the uncertainty that followed the Brexit vote in 2016 has been a factor with investment. It notes that a number of factors have meant that 'business investment has stagnated since 2016'.
7/10 All of this has had consequences. In 2008, the typical German household’s annual income was £591 more than the typical UK household’s. Now the gap is over £4,000.
8/10 Or look at it another way. The think tank the Resolution Foundation calculates that stalling wage growth in the last 15 years has left British workers £11,000 worse off per year.
9/10 In last week’s budget, Chancellor Jeremy Hunt said, "The declinists are wrong and the optimists are right. We stick to the plan because the plan is working". And the Treasury told us that the UK economy has ‘proven more resilient than many had expected’.
Given there was some interest in my train journey from DC to New York yesterday, I thought it might be good to continue to exchange notes with you on the US rail experience as I make the return journey.
THREAD 1/15: As I may have mentioned a couple of times, in an unlikely development, I'm going to be doing a drum and bass set @Glastonbury. And, not at all unreasonably, quite a few people have asked me variations on ‘how did that happen?!’ Well, there's a bit of a story here.
2/ In 2022, I was asked about my (very) amateur DJing days in an interview. Soon after, I got an email from Matt Tasker @BBC6Music asking if I’d like to do a set. At the time, I wrote this thread about it all which got shared a lot more than I expected.
3/ And if you look carefully in the comments below that thread, you'll see this exchange. I knew all about @thesocial. It's a brilliant venue that goes all the way back to the late 90s. As you can see, I replied straight away when they got in touch.
Over 2.5 hours into my rail replacement bus trip out of Cornwall & the driver admits to a passenger that ‘we’re going the wrong way’. Which wasn’t the news I was hoping to hear. Sure enough, a quick look on google maps and we’re heading West! 15 mins later no 3 point turn yet…
Still going. When asked about our train connection, the driver says there’s nothing he can do. Hold on - a roundabout!
1/ THREAD (about emails, no less). I confess, I’m a keen student of email. It's a big part of how many of us communicate when working - and how we write emails has a huge bearing on if they get read, understood and acted on. These are my 5 assumptions when I start to write one.
Assumption 1: The email or message may not be read at all.
We're going to have to convince the recipient the email is worth opening and reading. Given some email apps only show the first line or two, very early on we need to explicitly state what the message is about.
Assumption 2: They may not read all of it.
Two things can help here. The shorter the message, the more likely people are to read all of it and respond. And we can start with the most important information and requests, in case the reader doesn’t make it to the end.
THREAD...on the 10 attributes that I am looking for in an explanation. And the 10 questions that help me try to deliver them each time that I’m communicating.
1. Simplicity.
Is this the simplest way that I can say this?
If what we say is in its simplest form, it's going to be easier to take in.
2. Essential detail.
What detail is essential to this explanation?
Every excess piece information that we include is asking more of the person that we're communicating with.
1/8 for teachers to accompany a new explainer on voter ID - and how, from the local elections in England in May, voters will need to show photo ID. First, here's the video.
2/8 Part of the video looks at research into what kinds of photo ID people across society have. The research was commissioned by the government and you can see it here. gov.uk/government/pub…
3/8 The BBC has run a number of useful reports on this subject. This one looks at what photo ID can be used. bbc.co.uk/news/explainer…