Adam Wagner Profile picture
Mar 22 6 tweets 2 min read
My summary view of Johnson's evidence is the same as it was before he started: his case that the guidance allowed boozy non-socially distanced drinks events with no work being done is absurd and he's either lying that he thought it did or was reckless for asserting it.
I think his best outcome for the 1 and 8 December statements is he was reckless not lying when he made the statements to Parliament, because he consulted his press spads who were at the events rather than people who knew what the rules and guidance actually said.
I think he was hopeless on justifying not correcting the record in months that followed (even today!) because however much he might have foolishly/recklessly believed advisors who were at the parties at the time, he was later advised differently and should have asked more widely.
The most crushing question for him was "why no mitigation" at the drinks events. The fact that there wasn't blows a hole in his view of the guidance allowing non-socially distanced events where necessary, which was obviously aimed at small workplaces where people were doing work
I stand by what I said in #EmergencyState - if Johnson wants to know what rules and guidance actually were, perhaps someone could send to him!
Ultimately, Johnson thought No.10 was special, and didn't need to follow rules. No more complicated than that.
amazon.co.uk/Emergency-Stat…
The reason he could not correct the record at the end is because there is a logical fallacy in his argument.

If he accepted guidance wasn’t followed now he would be asked why. He would have to give reasons and those should have been obvious at the time or shortly afterwards.

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More from @AdamWagner1

Mar 22
Johnson now in serious trouble about there being no mitigations put in place during the gatherings to prevent the spread of covid if they were necessary for work. Flailing around talking about testing in the building, not touching each other's pens... not specific to those events
Obvious point is there were no mitigating measures, so even if plausible "morale boosting" boozy events were necessary in government AND allowed you to avoid social distancing, guidance required mitigation - but there was none because it's nonsense to say they kept to guidance
Because you can't actually put in place mitigations at non-socially distanced drinking events, which is why the government did everything it could for 2 years to ban non-socially distanced drinking events!
Read 4 tweets
Mar 22
I agree - he's very difficult to pin down at the best of times and they are going to have to navigate a morass of law and guidance which barely anyone was able to during the pandemic, and was itself confusing and vague at points.
And because they don't have any clear evidence he deliberately misled parliament, they will have to rely on "well you must have known", to which he will respond, po faced with his palms outwards, "I genuinely didn't, that was my view, and I'm sorry I got it wrong"
I would focus on:
1. What he believed the guidance was vs. what he would have told the public
2. What happened in the flat on 13.11.20
3. Absurdity of saying 18.12.20 gathering wasn't a party
4. What his advisors told him as they were telling each other guidance wasn't followed
Read 5 tweets
Mar 22
The Privilege Committee evidence is here: committees.parliament.uk/publications/3…
Really brings home the fact that Johnson was never assured that "all guidance was followed" and in fact everyone around him was saying that it probably wasn't. Absolutely absurd for him to claim nonetheless that he believed until Sue Gray's report that it was
Not at all exhaustive but of all the evidence for me these messages really stand out...
Read 13 tweets
Mar 21
Just reading Boris Johnson's evidence - I'm not going to summarise all of it (there is a lot in there). It's well-drafted as you would expect, but on a careful reasons there are some obvious dangers for Johnson (thread) committees.parliament.uk/writtenevidenc…
I think the key risk to him is is not having corrected the record in relation to this statement

"all guidance was followed completely in No. 10".
Problems for him:
1. He admits statement went beyond what he had been briefed by Jack Doyle about the 18th December Christmas gathering
Jack Doyle, who had attended, said it was "within the Rules" - not the guidance.
Read 14 tweets
Mar 19
Useful thread. I’m interested to see Johnson’s “dossier” of evidence being reported today. I imagine a lot of his strategy will be about convincing the MPs who will vote on whether to hold him in contempt rather than the committee itself
I have said all along that I think Johnston’s statements to Parliament were quite careful so it may not be possible to show he is in contempt for making them. The danger to him is not correcting the record in good time
If there are civil servants or spads who have given evidence to say they assured him the parties were not within the rules at the relevant times that will be trouble for him, but I would have thought the committee would have included that evidence in their interim report
Read 12 tweets
Mar 10
Apparently BBC presenters can express themselves unless it involves criticising immoral government policies
The BBC might want to reflect on whether their objectivity has been comprised less by @GaryLineker’s tweet than the fact that they have succumbed to government pressure to suspend him
And also whether there comes a point where government policies, such as removing the rights of refugees, are objectively immoral and their employees are perfectly entitled to comment on that
Read 5 tweets

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