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TNG5 Profile picture
@TNG512
Mar 23, 2023 • 5 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
Putting a few things together, my theory on why Russia is suddenly pulling a bunch of T-55s out from depots.
Iran bought a couple hundred T-55s and T-59s. They developed an indigenous upgrade for those tanks, the confusingly named T-72Z, that, among other things, replaces the 100mm gun with a 105mm gun. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Type_72Z
The numbers from globalsecurity.org (no idea of their sources, but there aren't any alternative numbers available) indicate the pace of those upgrades increased rapidly in the late 2010s, going from 10ish in 2015 to some 230 now. globalsecurity.org/military/world… Image
Inevitable result of that? A whole bunch of 100mm tank shells lying around that can only be used by a dwindling number of old tanks. Then according to Western news media, Iran started selling ammo to Russia last month.
A natural choice of ammo for Iran to look to sell would be the now-mostly-useless 100mm tank shells. Which, in sufficient numbers, could mean it now makes some sense for Russia to pull out T-55s to use as easy-to-train-mobiks-on indirect fire platforms.

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More from @TNG512

TNG5 Profile picture
Sep 10
To clarify points that I've made about the Founding Fathers and the laws on immigration that they passed during their lifetime, because some people seem to be weirdly argumentative on this subject.

It wasn't just the plain reading of the letter of their laws that allowed virtual open borders, that was also precisely how those laws were enforced in practice when nonwhite immigration to America started to happen in large numbers in the 19th century.

One example that you might have heard of before is Chinese immigration to the American West:Image
It was precisely because the existing laws failed to limit nonwhite immigration that new laws such as the Chinese Exclusion Act were passed.

And I have serious doubts that it was a coincidence that such laws only started to be passed after the 14th Amendment made birthright citizenship the law of the land.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_o…
Read 5 tweets
TNG5 Profile picture
Sep 9
He says in the first post in the thread that "racialism is substantively correct on many important issues".

But when it comes to immigration, the racialist right was dead wrong on the important issues during Reagan's time, still wrong in the 1990s, and even more wrong today.
So contrary to his argument in the OP, racialism is becoming increasingly popitically obsolete, even as taboos have coincidentally weakened due to less media gatekeeping.

Can't talk about welfare with poor whites being the new base of the Republican party, can't talk much about dysfunction because as Arcto himself points out, lower income American white culture is also pretty "degenerate" today. Witness the reaction to Vivek pointing this out a little while back.
Read 12 tweets
TNG5 Profile picture
Sep 9
His presented evidence is: a bunch of quotes from the Founding Fathers, who as I've gone over in the other thread did nothing to restrict nonwhite immigration, 1790 law that banned naturalization but not immigration...

...a poll from World War 2, when the US had something quite close to open borders with the entire Western Hemisphere, including but not limited to Mexico, Venezuela, and Haiti, and another quote from one of the Founding Fathers, see above.
During World War 2 the US heavily restricted immigration from Southern and Eastern Europe and placed larger but still hard numerical caps on immigration from Western Europe too. Given what happened during those years in Europe, this no doubt resulted in the US having a significantly lower % white today compared to the counterfactual where they had more liberal immigration laws at that time.

Meanwhile, any Haitian or Mexican who could pass some basic health checks and demonstrate basic literacy in any language and afford a plane or boat ticket could come to America and stay as long as they liked with no numerical limit.

This is a *terrible* time period to point to if you want to argue for a pan-European white ethnonationalism in America.
Read 7 tweets
TNG5 Profile picture
Sep 9
(Context is Thomas Jefferson and Indian immigration.)

Subsequent generations failed to seriously restrict Indian immigration until the 20th century, even after they made birthright citizenship the law of the land.
And in any case we can argue all day about what the Founders might have done in X situation, but what isn't dispute is what they *actually* did, which is allow for pretty much open borders with the entire world even while they made it difficult for non-whites to get citizenship.
So I stand by my argument that unless you're willing to argue in favor of effectively unlimited immigration as long as non-white immigrants can't get citizenship - as I refer to it, the "Dubai-ification of America" - then I'm sorry, you don't get to claim the legacy of the Founding Fathers.
Read 18 tweets
TNG5 Profile picture
Sep 9
In PPP terms, Canada has grown slightly faster than the US (~35% and ~33%, respectively) since 2020. Image
Pretty impressive, I'd say, considering that the US has Silicon Valley and Austin and Seattle and the time period includes the recent AI boom.
They also seem to have done better than Western Europe overall. Image
Read 19 tweets
TNG5 Profile picture
Sep 7
I think that he's almost certainly wrong about causes*, but the general point resonates me, as it resonated with me when Razib Khan made a similar point in a blog post a few years back: when immigration restrictionist conservatives talk about how we have to reduce immigration to preserve our culture, what precisely are they talking about "preserving" anyway?

*Bulgaria has stricter divorce laws in America, and it would be absurd to argue that it's economically easier to be a single mother in Bulgaria than in America. And ~60% of births in Bulgaria are to unmarried mothers. I really think that the conversation on this subject is greatly impoverished without more attention to international data.
You end in truly absurd places like that post a few days back talking about the horrors of Indian immigrants saving too much money, or even *gasp* living with their grandparents and the grandparents helping out with childcare.
Even Hispanics in the US are not very different from white Americans on this measure when you control for parental level of education. Image
Read 4 tweets

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