1/Straight talk on DeSantis. Why did he completely flip his position in a day on Ukraine? MONEY. He doesn’t have any himself. To run for POTUS he will need many large donors, some of which come from military-industrial complex, connected to neo-cons. His flip is bad sign…
2/Notice also Nikki Haley - who is an empty vessel without any convictions or ideas - immediately jumped on it, went on media and screamed for total Ukrainian victory and tied it to future conflict with China. Heard neocon radio today praising her for ‘leadership’…She wants $$..
3/DeSantis probably has the right instincts on foreign policy and doesn’t want war. But he’s also no foreign policy buff. His thing is woke stuff in Florida. And again he has no MONEY. So someone yanked his chain and said ‘back off the realist foreign policy or you’re done’…
4/Remember something similar happened with Scott Walker in 2015. He was pushed as a great hope, but when he needed to touch immigration to combat Trump, his donors said no. So he just dropped out b/c he would have NO MONEY…
5/The cold reality in this oligarchic society is that only someone of independent wealth and huge balls can challenge the status quo. DeSantis is fantastic governor, but this Ukraine thing shows he doesn’t have the $$ and doesn’t think he can stand up to donors and win…
6/And this is the hard reality none of the Twitter warriors (whom I like and generally agree with) promoting DeSantis can confront, and why bickering is so low IQ. The problem is the system - it’s a structural problem. DeSantis doesn’t have the independence to buck that system.
7/Epilogue. Here is an example of what I meant by the bickering being ‘low IQ.’ Notice also this thread never endorses Trump. It was making a deeper point about the system:
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Ross Perot was the most successful third party candidate in recent memory. He had personal quirks that derailed his candidacy - had he not dropped out and then reentered the race in 1992, it’s not inconceivable that he could have won.
The basis of his appeal was a mass propaganda effort to put the deficit/budget/debt problems before the American people. This meant spending millions of his own fortune to buy TV time, 30-60 minute spots, where he walked through the problems. This had a real impact on the discourse. Both Clinton and Bush were forced to reframe their campaigns around budget discipline - and it was then Clinton, forced by Gingrich and the GOP, who actually balanced the federal budget. Internet productivity gains were enormously important too - tax receipts went up. So there was some luck. But none of this would have been a focus without Perot.
So while third parties almost never go anywhere (although the GOP was itself a third party that displaced the Whigs) they can shift the discourse in good directions. But it requires discipline, monomaniacal focus, and a huge informational/propaganda effort that is engaging and not offputting - and to the extent they work, it’s usually by forcing the dominant parties to pay attention. It’s a tall order.
Though getting out of our fiscal problems may require another round of luck with AI driven productivity gains, a massive focus on fiscal discipline - and frankly some focus on wealth inequality that is becoming unsustainable unless we want to be Brazil - so some people are going to have to pay up.
For the people saying ‘he got Bill Clinton elected’ - that’s probably true but misses the point. Clinton under the thumb of a GOP Congress was better from a fiscal standpoint than GW Bush with a GOP Congress. It was the Bush presidency and its disasters that gave us Obama, not Clinton.
And for the people saying Clinton sold us out to China - this is also true. And that he passed NAFTA (Perot vehemently opposed both BTW). Thing is that GHW Bush was also a globalist controlled by business interests - he would have sold out the USA too.
A lot of hedge funds and other large institutions that trade securities use borrowed $$. If the equities/stocks/securities they buy fall below a certain value - they get a margin call. Meaning they have to pay up. A lot of screeching is b/c some people are losing real money here.
Of course the reason they've been doing this in such large amounts is because low interest rate environments mean they can get basically free $$ and then gain a higher return. They might borrow at 1% and hope to gain 8% on a trade. This has gone on for years.
It's just been a giant casino to a large degree. Funds playing with cheap money, making big gains, driving the market up artificially. Sometimes they go the other way, and try to drive a stock down. You saw that with GameStop a few years ago, when a bunch of people drove the price up to screw the short sellers. There was panic then too.
Reading this college applications, essays - it's all pretty ridiculous. 4.5 GPAs. 1580 SAT scores. This club and that club. Volunteer work at the hospital or homeless shelter. Math competition.
What a complete waste of a childhood.
It's not just that this is unnecessary, just part of an arms race to get into "the good school." It's that we are completely directing every aspect of someone's life, snuffing out their own potential creativity, so they can get a "good job."
People like to point out the tech geniuses who built businesses in their garage and dropped out of college. Bill Gates and Paul Allen had time on their hands. If they had been directed in all aspects of their lives in this way they would have been competent corporate executives.
Immigrants "do the jobs Americans won't do" not just because of low pay - but because immigrants do them. It becomes a class marker, and Americans feel embarrassed to do them even at reasonable pay. The pay and class thing become a spiral downward.
This will be a tough nut to crack - reinvesting jobs Americans haven't done for a long time with some dignity. It might not even be possible at this point. But I remember driving west years ago and seeing white teenagers working fast food restaurants in North Dakota, which hadn't been a thing in NY for a while. So it's not totally impossible.
The issue with mass immigration and tariffs - reversing them to transform the economy and mindsets - is that this is a project of a generation or two. If Vance loses in 2028, the left and neo-liberals are likely to reverse everything done in this coming 4 years, and render any return impossible.
I don't think there is a "woke left" or a "woke right." I think there are bizarre reactions to conducting an experiment of throwing people together from all parts of the world in the name of economic expediency without ever asking how people would react to it. Multiculturalism isn't natural, doesn't make people happy, and is a challenge to overcome.
When it comes to "racism" - this goes in both directions. People who are the main inhabitants of a place will have racial reactions to feeling that they're being overwhelmed - and the "newcomers" express very similar sentiments. Anti-white rhetoric is every bit as common as "racism" against people who come in.
Even things like the trans craze, which has probably a thousand causes, is related to this total cacophony we've created in previously stable societies in one sense - it is an effort at control. A lot of trans kids are autistic, in need of a sense of order and control - and apparently one way to achieve this is by controlling their own bodies, identities and destinies. This sounds crazy, it does to me too - but there is some literature on it is my understanding.
1/McDonald’s has had an interesting trajectory. If you watch a film from ca 1980, there are scenes of trim privileged white kids hanging out there (Ordinary People). Kids of doctors and lawyers. Well into the 90s it was still a place that middle class kids held a birthday party.
2/Somewhere around 2000, the marketing shifted to blacks. They showed teens on stoops in Brooklyn calling it ‘Mickey Ds.’ This coincided with the total disappearance of the white middle class birthday party - and the set aside party room.
3/Some time later, the marketing didn’t seem targeted at any group at all. It just focused on tasty food that was almost certainly very bad for you. The market was lower class people who were overweight.