New study: When superhuman AI beat human Go players, professional Go players adapted by making "significantly better decisions"
Conclusion: "... Development of superhuman AI programs may have prompted human players to break away from traditional strategies"
This is all larval and nobody has any idea what's going to happen, but. One possibility is AI will serve for some as a cheat sheet (replacing intelligence) and for others a cognitive co-pilot (complementing intelligence), as @cwarzel and I discuss here open.spotify.com/episode/2KEFXK…
When I first wrote the intro, I thought I was writing about 2 good things (it's acing tests! it's a creativity spigot!) and 1 bad thing (it can bribe TaskRabbits!).
Then I talked to @LauraMartin531 about it and decided the good things could be bad and the bad thing could be good
1. Yes, a pattern-matching inference robot could raise the ceiling of our collective intelligence.
But the very fact that it offers synthetic knowledge means a lot of ppl will use it as a replacement for knowledge. As a crutch, or a crib sheet, AI will also make some ppl dumber.
This is the chart that has launched a thousand takes.
The conclusion seems obvious: Everything the govt touches goes to infinity in price. Everything pure capitalism touches goes to zero.
But there's another way of looking at this graph that dramatically changes the story.
As @mtkonczal finds, if you expand your analysis to 62 CPI categories and track their price changes in the 21st century, you get a slightly different story.
New paper: "Negativity drives online news consumption"
Blended study of 105,000 headlines and 370 million impressions concludes "each additional negative word [in a headline] increased the click-through rate by 2.3%"
"We find that news headlines containing positive language are significantly less likely to be clicked on. For a headline of average length, the presence of positive words in a news headline significantly decreases the likelihood of a headline being clicked on, by around 1.0%."
Negative words are most powerful for political news stories.
Individuals are "especially likely to consume political and economic news when it is negative."
Consider 3 barriers to having as many kids as one would like:
- cost: infants are freaking expensive
- time: ... also, so fussy!
- distance: 2-income hhlds often sacrifice one partner's career bc they can't work in 2 cities at once
Remote work isn't some perfect sword slicing the Gordian Knot of all America's family and work problems at once.
But it might resolve the cost-time-distance problem of fertility—and help many parents have the family size they desire.