The nine facts about the origin of SARS-CoV-2 that everyone needs to know are as follows:
1) SARS-CoV-2 is related to bat SARS-like coronaviruses from southern China and northern Laos.
2) SARS-CoV-2 entered humans in or near Wuhan in August-November 2019.
3) SARS-CoV-2 entered humans either through a natural accident (just as in the first entry of the original SARS coronavirus into humans, which occurred through natural spillover in rural Guangdong province in 2002)....
...or through a research accident (just as in the second third, fourth, and fifth entries of the original SARS coronavirus into humans, which occurred through a lab accident in Singapore in 2003, a lab accident in Taipei in 2003, and two separate lab accidents in Beijing in 2004)
4) Wuhan is located 1,000 km from the nearest wild bats with SARS-CoV-2-like coronaviruses.
5) Wuhan has labs that, at the start of the pandemic, conducted the world's largest research program on bat SARS-like coronaviruses, possessed the world's largest collection of bat SARS-like coronaviruses, and possessed the world's only sample of a SARS-CoV-2-like coronavirus.
6) In 2016-2018, the Wuhan Institute of Virology constructed a series of novel chimeric SARS-like coronaviruses that combined the spike gene of one bat SARS-like coronavirus with the rest of the genetic information of another bat SARS-like coronavirus....
...and identified viruses that were able to infect and replicate efficiently in human airway cells and that had 10,000x enhanced viral growth and 4x enhanced lethality in mice engineered to display human receptors on cells....
...In other words, in the years before the start of the pandemic, the Wuhan Institute of Virology had taken most of the steps needed to convert a natural bat SARS-like coronavirus to a novel human pandemic pathogen having the properties of SARS-CoV-2.
7) In 2018, the Wuhan Institute of Virology and its collaborators proposed to construct an expanded series of novel chimeric SARS-like coronaviruses, this time using newly identified spike genes having affinities for human receptors that ranged from very low to very high; and....
...proposed to insert furin cleavage sites--a feature that is present in SARS-CoV-2 but not in any of the hundreds of other known SARS-like coronaviruses and that is crucial for the high transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2--into SARS-like coronaviruses....
...In other words, just a year before the start of the pandemic, the Wuhan Institute of Virology and its collaborators proposed to take the remaining steps needed to convert a natural bat SARS-like coronavirus to a novel human pandemic pathogen having the properties of SARS-CoV-2
8) In 2016-2019, the Wuhan Institute of Virology constructed and characterized SARS-like coronaviruses at biosafety level 2, a level inadequate for work with enhanced potential pandemic pathogens and inadequate to contain a virus having the transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2.
9) From the start of the pandemic, the Wuhan Institute of Virology and its collaborators have withheld information, misrepresented facts, and obstructed investigation...even though, if not connected to origin, they most easily could have cleared their names though cooperation.
10) A preponderance of evidence, including both the scientific evidence (facts 1-3) and the documentary evidence (facts 4-9), indicates that SARS-CoV-2 likely entered humans through a laboratory accident.
All statements in all posts are demonstrable facts.
"Dr. David Relman went cold at his laptop as an A.I. chatbot told him how to plan a massacre...[T]he chatbot explained how to modify an infamous pathogen in a lab so that it would resist known treatments."
"Worse, the bot described in vivid detail how to release the superbug, identifying a security lapse in a large public transit system...The bot outlined a plan to maximize casualties and minimize the chances of being caught."
HHMI President O'Shea: "[T]he authors propose a shift in what counts in the biomedical sciences: researchers should be recognized for what they choose to share on their own terms and timeline (for example as preprints), not what journals select"
"Current incentives for researchers place a strong emphasis on journal publications...[I]ncentives that tie journal peer review to editorial selection of articles,,,work against the timely and authentic communication of research findings."
"Resolving this issue requires more than reforming who edits journals or how they are funded. It demands a structural separation between dissemination (publishing and peer review) and selection (curation)."
"[W]hat I see in the current campaign is a recognisable military operation proceeding through identifiable phases against an adversary whose capacity to project power is collapsing in real time."
"Iranian ballistic missile launches have fallen by more than 90 percent from 350 on February 28 to roughly 25 by March 14, according to publicly available data. Drone launches tell the same story: from more than 800 on Day 1 to about 75 on Day 15."
"[A] research group…funded by NIH...contract HHSN26620070001…took…H7N1 flu virus of ostriches and adapted it to respiratory transmission between ferrets…[A]fter ferret respiratory transmission, transmission was not associated with loss of virulence." biosafetynow.substack.com/p/you-couldnt-…
"This novel human flu virus kills as readily as the Ebola virus"
"It's respiratory transmissible"
"Humans are immunologically naïve to such a virus"
"The recipe is plastered across the cloud, downloadable by any Tom, Dick or Harry curtesy of USG"
"If there was a lab leak or misappropriation of the work the consequences would be…what?...Devastating is too mild a word."
"By the time the pandemic began..., the tools and scientific concepts for tuning how coronaviruses enter human cells were no longer speculative. They had already been...pursued across an international network of collaborating laboratories."
"The newly surfaced documents...provide contemporaneous evidence of how researchers and federal officials were thinking about coronavirus engineering years before the outbreak began."