Bryce Greene Profile picture
Mar 25 25 tweets 9 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Everyone should take time to read this article from the Journal of Military and Strategic Studies on the "Immediate Origins of Putin's Preventative War on Ukraine"

It's a careful review of Putin's public statements in the runup to his decision to invade. Image…

It really goes into detail about Russian proposals to solve the Ukrainian crisis by peaceful means, and the US response of endless escalation.
Western media usually date the crisis with the Russian military buildup in Fall/Winter of 2021, but they completely ignore the extreme levels of provocation earlier in the year.

32-country NATO exercises off Russia's coast, along with written NATO partnerships with Ukraine.
You may see things like the "NATO Expansion Myth" but this has been an expressed concern about Putin for the entire year leading up to the invasion.

May 2021:
"It appears... Ukraine is being turned, slowly
but steadily, into an antipode of Russia"
June 2021

"We cannot but be concerned over the continuous build-up of NATO’s military potential and infrastructure in the vicinity of Russian borders, as well the fact that the Alliance is refusing to consider in a constructive manner our proposals on de-escalating tension"
In July 2021, Putin published his long essay, widely cited in the Western press as evidence of Hitlerian ambitions. Of course audiences and probably journalists never actually read it.

The historical background he he cited was far from a call to re establish the USSR:
The " true sovereignty of Ukraine is possible
only in partnership with Russia" was widely reported out of context in the West and used to call Putin a "madman"

But the surrounding text was usually omitted and ignored:
Putin stressed his commitment to the Minsk Accords to settle the situation with the breakaway Donbas republics, stating "I am convinced that they still have no alternative" than the peaceful Minsk settlements. .
Of course that wasn't reported in the western press much if at all.
Putin met with Angela Merkel in August and there too, he was concerned about the fact that Ukraine was avoiding a peaceful settlement, and being two-faced in negotiations:

"We have no other tool to achieve peace"
This is when Putin began his diplomatic offensive, stressing "we need precisely legal, juridical guarantees, because our Western colleagues have failed to deliver on verbal commitments."
After talks with Biden, Putin still stressed his NATO worries.

"We are bound to be concerned over the prospect of Ukraine’s potential accession to NATO because this will be followed by the deployment of corresponding troop contingents, bases and weapons..."
On December 17, Putin submitted serious proposals on security guarantees to both NATO and the US about their expansionism.

Later he reiterated fears of what I call, the Ukrainian missile crisis. Ukraine in NATO inherently means US missiles pointed at Russia.
The US actually seemed to start to talk about weapons placement, and Putin was pretty pleased at that. (I reported on this back in January '22)
But the US refused to guarantee that Ukraine wouldn't join NATO, which was Russia's core concerns.
(As an aside, it was reported that the US was offering verbal agreements that Ukraine wouldn't join NATO. Hilarious on so many levels)…
You can see Putin growing desperate at the obvious US aggressive designs:

"Suppose Ukraine is a NATO member. It will be filled with...modern offensive weapons will be deployed on its territory just...who is going to prevent this?"
This quote from Putin is pretty telling:

"Imagine that Ukraine is a NATO country and starts these military operations. What are we supposed to do? Fight against the NATO bloc? Has anyone given at least some thought to this? Apparently not"
"We need to find a way to ensure the interests and security of all parties to this process: Ukraine, the other European countries and Russia. But this can only be done if the documents we proposed undergo a serious, thoughtful analysis"
Over the next weeks, Putin is still reiterating the dangers of NATO expansion as a core concern.
Putin continued to talk about the failure of negotiations
As late as February 15, Putin was publicly saying that a peace settlement along the lines of the Minsk accords was still possible.
On February 17, Putin responded to US counterproposals and said that if they couldn't come to an agreement, Russia would resort to "military-technical means"
The nail in the coffin seems to be Zelenskyy's insane and irresponsible speech at Munich, in which he waved around the idea of Ukraine getting nukes.

Are these the words of someone seriously looking to avoid a war?
Add to that, the Ukrainians side began launching a massive attack on the Donbas republics, an overt provocation.
Anyone who says that NATO expansion is not a primary cause for the war is a dumb fuck or a liar.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh

Keep Current with Bryce Greene

Bryce Greene Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!


Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @TheGreeneBJ

Aug 2
You ever think about how since the Reagan years, the US Continuity of Government planning has included massive databases of at least 8 million suspected dissidents to be rounded up and put into arbitrary detention in the event of massive civil dissent against a foreign war? Image
You ever think about how from the late 70's onward the top planners of COG were Dick Cheney and Donald Rumsfeld, and right after they get into office, 9/11 somehow happens, causing COG plans to be activated for the first time, and how still in that state of emergency today? Image
Would you like to know more?…
Read 5 tweets
Jul 25
Here's a useful graphic about how YOU can be a proud owner of Ukraine's former public sector!

This is from Ukraine's website

privatization dot fucking gov
2021 was the most profitable year for selling off Ukrainian public assets, more than all years since 2013 combined. Image
They have a map for assets you can still buy!…
Read 5 tweets
Jul 23
One of the striking aspects of the coverup and disinformation campaign surrounding the Maidan Massacre was the creation of a fraudulent 3D simulated model of some of the shootings.

The model was created by a Brooklyn based firm SITU, and was promoted by the New York Times.

When compared to medical records, the model moves locations of certain bullet wounds to implicate the Berkut

The actual wounds "cannot physically match with Berkut police positions located on a similar horizontal level on the ground in front of them."


You can check out the model here if you want.

It's an interesting slight of hand. You can't actually interact with the model. It's just a prerecorded video.

The actual medical reports are cited, but their conclusions aren't quoted.
Read 5 tweets
Jul 23
I think it should be more widely understood that the Snipers Massacre during Ukraine's Maidan Movement in 2014 was a false flag massacre designed to get the president to resign under pressure.

@I_Katchanovski 's paper is so critical 🧵🧵🧵…
You'll see it repeated over and over again that Maidan culminated with a brutal crackdown from the Yanukovych government that killed a hundred protesters.

You'll especially see this whenever you call the events at Maidan a "coup". Image
This despite the fact that Georgian snipers have actually confessed to being part of a pro-Maidan plot to kill protesters.

You rarely even see the controversy. Image
Read 13 tweets
Jun 18
Barrack Obama was dating a half Dutch half Japanese woman while he was living in Chicago working as an organizer.

Their relationship deteriorated as Obama came to embrace his "destiny" and came to understand that he couldn't be president if he was with a white woman. Image
According to friends, he "wanted to have a less complex public footprint"

"If I am going out with a white woman, I have no standing" in the black community. Image
Genuinely sad Image
Read 9 tweets
Dec 19, 2022
🧵Almost every time MSM cites someone from an NGO about Ukraine, the NGO funded by US/Western Governments "democracy intitiatives" or their affiliates.

The US has built an entire network of orgs and commentators to shape media coverage.

This WaPo article is an example.
To be sure none of this means that every thing anyone form these individual organizations are lying, or deliberately trying to mislead.

What's interesting is how vast and ubiquitous this network is and how they get reflected to American audiences, without any disclosure.
The Post cites Maria Kurinna from the ZMINA human rights organization.

The org works to help create a case for against Russia for war crimes.
Read 8 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!


0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy


3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!