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One thing that any respectable #OriginOfCovid investigation or commission must do is to build a consensus on the known and suspected earliest cases in China and overseas. We cannot move forward until we have this clarified.
This requires a systematic analysis of the news coverage and scientific articles describing early cases in China and elsewhere, as well as interviews of foreign doctors and others who were visiting Wuhan in late 2019.
It's impossible to reach a high confidence assessment on #OriginOfCovid with a window as wide as the first human infection happening any time between September and mid-November 2019.
If the outbreak had begun in September/October, it's meaningless to look at where detected December patients lived because this would (1) miss all the earliest cases and (2) be biased by where the bulk of transmissions had occurred 2-3 months after patient zero.
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