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Mar 31, 2023 โ€ข 17 tweets โ€ข 6 min read โ€ข Read on X
๐Ÿšจ ๐—–๐—›๐—ผ๐—–๐—› ๐—œ๐—ฆ ๐—ฉ๐—˜๐—ฅ๐—ฌ ๐—ฉ๐—˜๐—ฅ๐—ฌ ๐—”๐—š๐—š๐—ฅ๐—˜๐—ฆ๐—ฆ๐—œ๐—ฉ๐—˜.

It leads to multiple back-to-back losses when not used properly.

So here's a quick tip on how & when to trade the highest probability CHoCH (with trade examples).

A short thread ๐Ÿงต ๐Ÿชก
"why did price stop me out even when the CHoCH is aligned with HTF trend?"

I get this question alot, and it's because you've been doing it the wrong way.

In this thread I'll highlight common mistakes you must avoid in order to maintain a high winrate trading CHoCH.

Let's go ๐Ÿš€
First things first,

โ—พWhat is a CHoCH?

CHoCH (or CH): stands for Change of Character, and it's the first sign of a trend change.

In much simpler term:

It is the first sign of weakness, and also the first sign of strength.

Let me explain better ๐Ÿ‘‡
When you see a protected low being violated in an up-trending market, it signals that:

โ€ข Buys are getting weaker (weakness)
โ€ข Sells are getting in control (sign of strength)

Vise versa for down-trend

So it signals when a pullback / trend-change is starting /is over.

Eg. ๐Ÿ‘‡
Change of Character (CHoCH) tells you when the market is likely to reverse, so you can get in and ride the trend.

But when misused, it can cause you take so many unnecessary losses.

To explain that better, we'll go through an example with today's price action on EURUSD

๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ‘‡
I need you to observe the image above carefully, and also pay close attention.

From that image on the M15, internal structure + orderflow is bullish, and we expect it to continue.

We also have 3 zones where price could potentially pullback into, mitigate and continue upward.
Now this is where most people get it wrong:

On the 3 minutes timeframe as price was pulling back, it gave a bullish CHoCH - which signals that the pullback may now be over and price could continue upward,

But it hasn't mitigated any of our M15 zones...

see below ๐Ÿ‘‡ (zoom in)
Now the mistake most people make is that they trade CHoCH anywhere they see it.

But that's wrong, and will cause you to take unnecessary losses,

just as anyone who took the bullish CHoCH this morning would have been stopped out for a loss.

๐Ÿ‘‡
Change of Character is powerful but very aggressive.

It happens too frequently especially on the lower timeframes /internal /fractal structure.

So it's best to always wait for zone mitigation, before considering CHoCH

Here's another example to help you understand better ๐Ÿ‘‡
Notice how swing trend is bearish in that image above.

We know that after a BOS, price will pullback and then continue bearish.

The job of CHoCH is to help signal when that pullback is over, so that we can now enter the sells.

But you can see that it was stopped out.

Why? ๐Ÿ‘‡
The CHoCH gave a fake signal -- it happened in the middle of no where (no mitigation).

But when you wait for CHoCH after a zone mitigation, the it is higher probability.

Because it signals that the zone is now likely to hold.

Example ๐Ÿ‘‡
What can also happen is, when there are multiple zones,

The first one tends to only cause a reaction and then fail to mitigate the origin zone which is higher probability.

See example ๐Ÿ‘‡
In that case you'd probably be stopped out on breakeven instead of a loss, and you can re-enter after the other zone is mitigated.

Just like what happened this morning after the M15 Zone 1 was mitigated.

The zone later failed, but gave room to set break even and remove risk.
It is always better to take a break even rather than straight invalidation -- loss...

And that's what trading CHoCH from zones would do you for.

Because even if the zone later fails, at least you could have taken some partials, and or remove your initial risk from the trade.
In summary:

โ€ข CHoCH is first sign of a trend change
โ€ข It is powerful but aggressive, occurs frequently
โ€ข Don't trade CHoCH from any random place you see it...

Always wait for zone mitigation as ait has higher probability to hold, or at least give room to remove initial risk.
And that's a wrap for now.

If you found this helpful
1. Like and Retweet for others to learn.
2. Follow me @dnatechbro to get more like this.
3. Don't just learn; implement, get better and give me feedback.

Cheers ๐Ÿฅ‚
PS:

If you liked this, I'd love to connect with you on WhatsApp.

Send me a message with your name via this link ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ‘‡

wa.link/j5q92r

โ€ข โ€ข โ€ข

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More from @dnatechbro

Jan 27, 2024
RANDOM DISTRIBUTION IN TRADING

(a thread ๐Ÿงต๐Ÿชก)

Lack of understanding of this concept is the reason why many traders lose CONFIDENCE and lose MONEY in the market, despite have a proven profitable edge over the market.

Open, read & repost for others โคต๏ธ Image
Now that you're here, ignore that image above and let's focus on the topic of the day...

Okay?? Let's dive โคต๏ธ

Random distribution in trading refers to the random order or sequence in which winning and losing trades are likely to occur.
No one can tell the outcome of their next trade with 100% certainty.

And one of the worst mistakes you can make is trying to predict when you'll win or lose.

It will only lead to frustration and depression.

To understand better, let's get more practical ๐Ÿ‘‡
Read 12 tweets
Oct 13, 2023
FULL BREAKDOWN OF THIS +5R TRADE

Study & Learn from it...

Open th_read ๐Ÿ‘‡ Image
Image
This trade was taken by one of my students earlier today...

Sleek analysis execution ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ

I'm so proud seeing how fast they learn.

Now read carefully the full breakdown below โคต๏ธ Image
4H Timeframe Image
Read 6 tweets
Oct 5, 2023
You nailed the analysis 100%

It was a snipe entry (on TradingView) ๐Ÿ’ฏ

But you checked your MT5 and for some reasons you weren't tagged into the trade.

This can be very painful.

๐—ฆ๐—ผ ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ต๐—ผ๐˜„ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฎ๐˜ƒ๐—ผ๐—ถ๐—ฑ ๐—ถ๐˜ ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜…๐˜ ๐˜๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฒ:

A short th_read ๐Ÿงต โคต๏ธ Image
Image
Image
One of the reasons why your sniper entries don't get tagged is because you're using two different data feeds.

What do i mean by that?

You must have noticed that when you search for a pair on TradingView you get multiple options for the same pair.

See example & keep reading ๐Ÿ‘‡ Image
Image
Now those are data from different brokers and exchanges.

And if you pay closer attention you'll also notice that the actual price charts are slightly different from each other.

Last two months my student missed out on a clean trade because of this difference

See below ๐Ÿ‘‡ Image
Image
Image
Image
Read 9 tweets
Sep 30, 2023
๐—›๐—ข๐—ช ๐—ง๐—ข ๐—ฉ๐—”๐—Ÿ๐—œ๐——๐—”๐—ง๐—˜ ๐—ฆ๐—จ๐—ฃ๐—ฃ๐—Ÿ๐—ฌ & ๐——๐—˜๐— ๐—”๐—ก๐—— ๐—ญ๐—ข๐—ก๐—˜๐—ฆ

(as simple as it needs to be)

A th~read ๐Ÿงตโคต๏ธ Image
Note:

This thread might be long because I want include all details to make sure you perfectly understand it.

So make sure you read till the end!

โ€ข But before begin:

Kindly retweet the first tweet up there to help other traders learn too.

Done? Thank you!

Now let's dive โคต๏ธ
As you should know by know... Supply and demand zones are everywhere, on every timeframe.

But not all of them are tradable.

If you try to trade all of them, you're setting yourself up for failure.

Here's what to do instead:

Trade only valid ones.

How? โคต๏ธ
Read 21 tweets
Sep 23, 2023
๐—”๐—ฉ๐—ข๐—œ๐—— ๐—ง๐—”๐—ž๐—œ๐—ก๐—š ๐—ง๐—›๐—œ๐—ฆ ๐—ž๐—œ๐—ก๐—— ๐—Ÿ๐—ข๐—ช ๐—ฃ๐—ฅ๐—ข๐—•๐—”๐—•๐—œ๐—Ÿ๐—œ๐—ง๐—ฌ ๐—ง๐—ฅ๐—”๐——๐—˜๐—ฆ ๐Ÿšจ

9 out of 10 times it will result to unnecessary losses.

RT for others to learn !!

Open th~read โคต๏ธ Image
One of the most unproductive Habbit you can adopt as a trade is trading against the trend / orderflow.

I'm not saying you can't do that...

But If you want to trade against orderflow then you should be doing it "before" the price objective is completed... And not after.
When it comes to Market Structure...

Swing structure is the most significant, and holds more weight than internal and fractal structure.

Now let's investigate what happened here ๐Ÿ‘‡

(look at the image carefully and keep reading) Image
Read 11 tweets
Sep 15, 2023
HOW TO ELIMINATE MENTAL STRESS FROM YOUR TRADING

a thread ๐Ÿงต

RT for others โคต๏ธ Image
"What if this trade hits stop loss?"

"Should I just close now and sacrifice this small one I've lost?"

"Should I increase my stop loss so it doesn't hit it?"

"Should I close with this small profits before it reverse against me?"

___
Are you family with any of those lines?? โคต๏ธ
Listen;

This is a terrible way of trading, and very common amogst new & Unprofitable traders.

The higher the decisions you have to make, the higher emotional mistakes, regrets and stress.

You don't want to be entertaining those kind of thoughts when you're on a live trade...
Read 6 tweets

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