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Apr 4, 2023 21 tweets 8 min read Read on X
Below is the @EBL2017 analysis of Graham Potter's tenure at Chelsea from *before* day ONE.

I analysed his process with a fine-tooth comb & predicted *ALL* of his tactical, authoritative, & transfer market failings in real time.

This is what I do, time and time again.

THREAD 🚨
Before a ball was kicked, I acknowledged that Potter is capable of implementing elite tactics but he hasn't done so reliably. Why? Because he changes tactics a lot.

That was the more pressing issue, but he also hadn't demonstrated the ability to manage pressure at a bigger club.
Again, I focused heavily on the fact that Potter must stick to a specific tactic to succeed at the elite level.

My conclusion centred around the fact that he has showcased elite tactics, but not with reliability, so he would need to change his style to succeed at Chelsea.
Before his first game in charge, it looked like Potter's Chelsea were going to play a 3-2-5 in possession & a 4-4-2 out of possession. This resulted in excitement from myself pre-game, except the system didn't replicate that on the pitch.

It was a 3-1-3-3 with Kovacic in the #8.
Potter played the incoherent 3-1-3-3 for a considerable period of time until he changed to the desired 3-4-3 system with aggressive pressure on the ball (albeit not in a 4-4-2).

Such a tactical adaption showcased how Potter is capable of implementing elite tactics.
However, in classic Graham Potter style, he absurdly changed system against both Manchester United and Arsenal which saw them play in a variety of different systems and shapes, all of which weren't good enough (the 4-3-3, 5-2-3, and the 4-3-1-2).

The fluidity cost him (again).
As Potter was stuttering, De Zerbi came into Brighton and implemented truly elite tactics straight away, and stuck to that system with reliability, making it increasingly clear that Chelsea may have gotten their appointment wrong and that Brighton actually got a better manager...
Before any of the real De Zerbi hype started, I concluded that his style is directly translatable to the elite level whilst Chelsea fans were begging me to trust the process at Chelsea.

However, the process didn't warrant trust. It was all simply far too unreliable tactically.
Oh and then in the midst of the Graham Potter criticism he went and implemented some elite tactics again against Manchester City 🙃

As I said before a ball was kicked at Chelsea - sometimes he gets it right, sometimes he gets it wrong, even if he may be an elite tactician.
And then, you guessed it, he implemented some bizarre tactics again away at Newcastle where they were played off the park.

Fans bemoaned a lack of quality, but Cucurella, Pulisic, Ziyech, Zakaria, Aubameyang, and Havertz were on the bench.

Potter should have done better.
It was at this point where fans started to agree with my analysis that his fluid approach wasn't working.

Then, I noted that the long-term trajectory of the club is a negative one too because it's near impossible to identify players in the market if there's no system in place.
Fast forward through the World Cup and Nottingham Forest were playing Chelsea off the park, with Forest arguably being the weakest tactical team in the league (outside of Chelsea depending on what tactic Potter used).

Again, it was too fluid.
I could go on all day about the amount of times I noted how Potter's tactics were all over the place, but I've done that enough in this thread.

It's time to move onto the signings. As I said previously, if there's no system, signings *WILL* fail.
Now, this isn't to say that Enzo Fernandez, Joao Felix, or Mykhailo Mudryk (amongst others) are bad players, because they are absolutely not. In fact, they can all be elite in the right environment.

I remained patient with my Felix analysis (pic 1), but lost it with Murdryk (2).
And then they signed Enzo Fernandez, so I reiterated many of the same points I already made - he's an elite footballer, but what does it matter if the environment he plays in doesn't get the best out of him?

Chelsea's process was flawed, but primarily down to the manager.
Potter continued to demonstrate some terrible tactics (Fulham away) and some excellent tactics (West Ham away) but the final straw was against Southampton at home where my thoughts remained the same but were simply reiterated again in another thread..
I could go on in this thread, but you get the point, and this is ultimately why Graham Potter was sacked and why he lost his job.

However, Chelsea fans should not be discouraged with the owners they have at the football club.

The manager sets the culture, but *HE* was flawed.
Give Chelsea's owners a superior manager and they will likely flourish as a club again.

They simply need a manager to initiate the process at the club, and that all stems from the tactics, the ability to handle players, the transfer market dealings, etc, etc.
Lots of praise is given to guys like Edu at Arsenal or Michael Edwards at Liverpool, but the real catalyst at each club was the manager.

They implemented elite tactics which made it obvious where the team needed to improve whilst also being leaders and dealt with pressure, etc.
Chelsea need to do the same and give that manager power. Then, if they do that and back him financially the way they did with Potter, the club will rise back to the top very quickly. The group of players there are already fantastic anyway! They need to hire the right guy, though.
Overall, to conclude the thread, I would like to acknowledge that it's really clear that there was no 'hate' or 'disrespectful' comments levelled towards Potter at any stage during his time at Chelsea.

I simply analysed his processes, and, if I may add, I did so quiet well 😉

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More from @EBL2017

Apr 10
Arsenal, Bournemouth.
Arteta, Iraola.
The Emirates, controlling chaos.

There's a LOT to consider in this game of gigantic proportions.

Let's get this straight, Bournemouth are not coming to lie down. They will press and 'play football'.

Below, I break it all down…

THREAD! 🚨Image
One thing that is absolutely clear about Andoni Iraola's Bournemouth is that they have a consistent identity.

Most known for their pressing.

A zonal/diamond idea.

Force the opposition to one side, collapse the play, screen the front, look for the diagonal pass in transition 👇 Image
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The aggressive starting position of the front two often entices the opposition to play long even though they have an overload in the build-up.

But, when they do play direct, Bournemouth have a +1 when competing in the duels.

They are well prepared to manage each moment. Image
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Read 34 tweets
Mar 16
Manchester United have a clear identity under Michael Carrick.

With it looking increasingly likely he will get the job long-term, the real question is simple:

Is that identity good enough to win the Premier League and Champions League?

Below, I assess exactly that.

THREAD! 🚨Image
I have consistently likened Michael Carrick's style to Arne Slot's at Liverpool.

Defensively, there are cracks.

But because the idea is passive, United have a consistent +1 on the defensive line.

So, even when teams break through their lines, United have an extra man back.
We see a clear example of the intentions here:

Diamond press with Mainoo splitting the #6's and Casemiro balancing off to prevent the centre backs from jumping to McGinn.

It's a good press, but the very best pressing teams have the #6 and the CB's ready to jump if required. Image
Read 32 tweets
Mar 2
Set-pieces this, set-pieces that. FORGET IT!

Don't be swayed by the media.

Mikel Arteta and Liam Rosenior cooked up a tactical battle of the HIGHEST order.

Reminiscent of Arsenal vs PSG last season. Quality off the scale.

Let's break it down in FINITE detail.

MEGA-THREAD! 🚨Image
First, let's talk about Chelsea in possession, because they started the game with 60% of the ball after 20 minutes.

The role of Cole Palmer in particular caused Arsenal's press all sorts of issues.

Typically, Gabriel or Saliba jump to press the #10 in the half spaces.
But Rosenior didn't play Palmer in the half space.

He played him as a very central #10 at the tip of Chelsea's diamond midfield with Enzo and Santos splitting to either side and Caicedo in the #6.

It often overloaded Arsenal's midfield 4v3 when Saliba didn't jump. Image
Read 25 tweets
Feb 5
Liverpool almost certainly see Jérémy Jacquet as the heir to van Dijk.

Ridiculous profile.

Aerially dominant, aggressive in duels, monster athlete, uniquely long limbs, can play LCB, top on the ball, glides like VVD, assured with an aura. Just needs to mature.

Freak of nature.
I thought Yoro might have been that guy but Jacquet is on another level athletically.

Only thing lacking in his profile and what will tell in time is does he have leadership? Can he look after his own game, let alone lead the defensive line? How reliable is he week in, week out?
In elite-level scouting, you should be able to assess these things with clips, live scouting, references, and speaking to the boy.

Yoro profiled amazingly but looked like someone who would need time.

I'm not so sure Jacquet will need as much time.

Look forward to him big time.
Read 6 tweets
Jan 18
Arsenal are elite at everything aside from open-play creativity.

We cannot blame the players/depth for that anymore.

The squad have enough quality and suitable profiles to be elite in this regard.

It's the one area where Arteta has failed to maximise the margins this season.
I've beat this drum 100x, but I am going to have to continue to beat it until Arteta finally realises the 'meta' for Arsenal.

Arteta has limited Eze to a box-crashing #10 when in reality he's a world class dribbler and passer.

Similar profile to Trossard, but 10x the quality.
Let Merino crash the box. Or Havertz. Or Jesus. Even Nwaneri. Or let Trossard & Martinelli play centrally.

Just because Eze can do that as well doesn't mean it's best for him or for the team.

Arsenal would be so much more dynamic if they let Eze do his thing from the left wing.
Read 10 tweets
Jan 7
🔴 Arsenal couldn’t have picked a better time to play Liverpool.

The attack has lost its edge without Salah & in the new diamond shape.
Slot's press is still exploitable.

Plus, Arteta WILL give Arsenal the tactical conditions to win.

Now it’s on his team to execute.

Thread 👇 Image
Liverpool's new-found idea often kills the flow of games because of how difficult they are to press, so Arsenal will need to be patient and defend deep at times.

However, when they do, their intention will be to press where possible.

But they can also be content in that moment.
That change has been to a diamond.

Fullbacks hold the width and at least 4 midfielders packing the middle (if not 5).

Liverpool are very fluid in this moment as each midfielder has license to feel the spaces and roam accordingly.

That unpredictability makes them hard to press. Image
Read 29 tweets

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