Blogpost:
"A Potential Problem for the Trump Indictment":
Has a NY court ever allowed a conviction from this statute, NYPL 175 requiring "intent to defraud," based on an internal business record, i.e., on which others are not likely to rely? shugerblogcom.wordpress.com/2023/04/04/a-p…
2/ I haven't done a deep dive. But I have checked the posts and essays by vocal pro-indictment experts arguing that the case is clear.
National reporters have asked this question for over a week. So far, they haven't answered it. The indictment is here: manhattanda.org/wp-content/upl…
4/ The felony NYPL 175.10 requires the cover-up of an underlying crime.
The indictment doesn't specify an underlying crime.
The "statement of facts" doesn't specify an underlying crime.
That's astonishing.
5/ Now @manhattanDA@AlvinBraggNYC is explaining in a press conference that these were campaign violations.
Astonishing.
If that's the theory, these crimes are likely preempted by federal law, i.e., NY state does not have jurisdiction over these cases.
6/ Bragg is asked why he didn't specify any underlying crime. He says "The law didn't require us to."
Terrible answer. This is an embarrassment to the rule of law.
7/ Six and a half years later, and @manhattanDA says he didn't explain why the misdemeanor 175.10 got bumped up to a 175.05 to a felony...
"because the law didn't require us to."
This is indefensible.
8/ In press conference, Bragg finally says "NY state election law" & refers to fed election law.
This case is preempted by the fed statute FECA, and NY state law confirms, no state jurisdiction. Either way, it's headed to fed court for a year:
9/ Teper v. Miller (11th Cir 1996):
"Cases in which preemption was not found invariably involve state laws that are more tangential to the regulation of federal elections."
The filing violation is directly related to the federal campaign.
Remember: The preemption clause is broad.
10/ I don't know what the right answer is on preemption.
But I don't decide these cases. This is headed to fed court for an injunction like Trump v. Vance.
And the Roberts Court, even setting aside political bias, is pro-preemption.
Plus NY state law confirms that preemption.
11/ And even if the Roberts Court is less pro-preemption now than it was with Breyer and Kennedy, the federalism concerns are addressed by NY state campaign law confirming federal jurisdiction for federal campaign violations & filing matters:
12/ I keep hearing it’s standard operating procedure not to specify underlying crimes.
That’s no reason to obscure & hide the case here.
It’s a reason to take a hard look at a bad practice that is morally wrong and should be scrutinized as a 5th/14th due process/6th A. violation.
13/ This thread and the blog post edited and pulled together as a guest essay in @nytimes:
"The Trump Indictment Is a Legal Embarrassment" nytimes.com/2023/04/05/opi…
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🧵 from @jdmortenson on Sai Prakash & Aditya Bamzai is devastating.
It has serious legal implications - and it is actually much worse.
Julian & I have asked questions for years privately & politely.
I regret that it has come to this.
I regret I didn't call them out 4 yrs ago. 1/
2/ I emailed Prakash questions about his use of sources in May 2020, early in Covid, in his article "New Light on the Decision of 1789," while Seila Law was pending.
He never addressed them. Instead, he & @adityabamzai repeated them & added new misuses: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
3/ I sent drafts to Prakash detailing my concerns.
In 2020, I co-organized a conference at Stanford & invited Prakash (Covid pushed to 2022).
He accepted, but when he asked if I would be debating past work, he cancelled w/ no explanation.
It gets worse. law.stanford.edu/events-archive…
This scare tactic - that the GOP will challenge any new nominee - is meritless nonsense, belied by Speaker Johnson's inability to specify any legal argument.
(See election law experts like @rickhasen in thread)
It tells you the GOP is desperate to keep Biden on the ballot. 1/
“I don’t put any credence into it,” says @RickHasen. “Biden is not the party’s nominee now, and states generally point to the major party’s nominee as the one whose name is on the ballot.”
I've read Judge Cannon's dismissal of the Mar-a-Lago case, ruling Special Counsel Jack Smith's appointment was invalid.
I am shocked but not surprised.
Clearly she was desperate to dismiss the Watergate case US v. Nixon & DC Cir. precedents in order to dismiss this case.
1/
2/ Cannon's decision is mostly statutory interpretation, not con law, ruling Smith's appointment does not have a statutory basis.
She doesn't rule directly on the constitutional issues, but she sneaks them in through "clear statement" rules, a now infamous Roberts Court move.
3/ I acknowledge the statutory basis for Smith's appointment is not textually obvious.
Judge Cannon actually does a good job explaining that the statutes that the DOJ relies on are not clear or leave questions.
But what do judges do when they have such doubts?
Trump v. US thread.
Opinion below.
Bottom line #1: I agree that a Jan 6 trial cannot happen before the election (That was almost certain when the Court took this case)
2/ The Court remanded the case.
Commentators are overlooking the Court's emphasis on "presumptive immunity," rather than "absolute immunity."
See Chief Justice Roberts's concise summary at p. 6 below.
This presumption still opens a big door for trial court evidentiary hearings.
3/ The Court holds "absolute immunity" for "core constitutional powers" (p. 6 above).
But what are those "core" powers?
p. 8: "Congress cannot act on, and courts cannot examine, the President’s actions on subjects within his 'conclusive and preclusive' constitutional authority."
I'll be live-tweeting tonight's debate, to the extent that I can keep up and have the stomach for it.
🧵 1/ I note that Donald Trump has already lost the expectations pre-game, which may (or may not) be a big deal. politicalwire.com/2024/06/27/mor…
2/ "A @nytimes Siena College poll found 60% of registered voters thought Trump would perform 'very' or 'somewhat' well in tonight’s debate. Only 46% said the same of Biden.
Overall, nearly half of voters anticipated a poor showing for Biden."
Low expectations. Maybe good news?
@nytimes 3/ I'm sorry this matters, but Biden has a frog in his throat, and even when he cleared the frog, his voice is flat and monotone. His answer on inflation is fine substantively, but the vocals are really not good.
His answer was good.
But he sounds weak.
@RickPildes 3/ Barrett picked up on the Special Counsel's argument of the absurdity that crim statutes need a clear statement, if only a tiny number of statutes include (she said only three or so). Surely Congress did not mean for presidents to be broadly immune so generally from crim law.