Aakash Gupta Profile picture
Apr 9, 2023 14 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Twitter is not the same as it was last week. The algorithm has undergone more than 30 changes.

I’ve been monitoring the GitHub repo for you. Here’s what you need to know:
1. Likes and retweets matter way less

The old weights are dead:
· 30x for likes
· 20x for retweets
· 1x for reply

The algorithm calculates PROBABILITY of actions & applies weights.

Don't just gun for likes and retweets. Image
2. Conversation is the new king

This is the new ranking of positive signals:

· 75x for reply to reply
· 13.5x for reply
· 12x for click to profile
· 10x for click & user stays >2 mins
· 1x for retweet
· 0.5x for like

Grab your 75x with reply to replies. Image
3. After conversation, the best thing you can do is get a user to click

For those who won't reply, get them to click:

· 12x for click to profile
· 11x for click to the conversation and reply or like Image
4. Long content does well

It's rare someone will stay more than 2 minutes for just a tweet - unless your replies are really insightful.

Get your user to stay for 2 minutes and you get yourself 10x. Threads and now long tweets are formats to consider. Image
5. Video & images matter way less

The algorithm gives a slight positive weight to the probability a user will watch at least HALF the video: 0.005.

There's NO weight at all for images.

So:
· Include videos only when a user will watch
· Don't just throw in images for the algo Image
6. Negative signals matter a ton

A Tweet Report is the largest weight in the algorithm: -369x.

You also get a massive 74x ding if the algorithm predicts a:
· Show less often
· Block
· Or Mute

Do NOT put out stuff people are going to have issues with. Image
7. Ukraine is now a kosher topic

The safety label for UkraineCrisis has been deleted.

You can post about the Ukraine Crisis from either side, and the algorithm will apply the same probabilities it does as above. Image
8. No link penalty

By deleting the pre-algorithmic boosts, the penalty links is also gone.

Earlier in the week, the team shipped a change so that you can't like or retweet links from Substack. They rolled that back already. Image
9. Cross the magic mark of following less than follow you

The algorithm manually adjusts down users who have more people they follow than follow them.

But cross the. magic threshold, and the if statement doesn't apply to you anymore. Image
10. It's all about predicted probabilities

If you remember anything, remember that the algorithm is driven by a neural network.

At the end of that, it applies weights to the predicted probabilities.

Right now, those care a ton about conversation. Image
Here's all of that in one easy to use cheat sheet: Image
It's so hard to keep up with all the change.

To stay up to date with the Twitter algorithm, follow me for weekly updates on what you need to know: @aakashg0

Elon is going to keep the change coming.
Want the deeper dive on how all the steps of the algorithm come together?

Here's all the academic research:

aakashgupta.substack.com/p/the-real-twi…

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More from @aakashg0

Sep 7
CPO at Microsoft says Prompt Sets are the new PRDs.

Here's what you need to know: Image
Microsoft has a $3.68T market cap. So when their CPO @aparnacd is talking about PRDs, a lot of folks listen. In fact, many of you asked me about it.

So, let's talk about it:

1. What Prompt Sets Are
2. How They Fit In
3. My Thoughts
4. Next Steps
1. What Prompt Sets Are

Prompt Sets are collections of specific examples showing how an AI system should behave.

Instead of writing "the system should be helpful," you write 15-25 actual examples:

• Edge case A → Handle like B
• Bad input C → Reject with message D
Read 11 tweets
Aug 25
Even Apple is hiring for AI PMs.

Don't let anyone tell you it's a made up role.

Here's a free roadmap to become one: Image
1. Learn the foundations of AI:

news.aakashg.com/p/ai-foundatio…
2. Learn how to AI prototype:

news.aakashg.com/p/ai-prototypi…
Read 14 tweets
Aug 18
AI killed the 10 page PRD. But the PRD isn't dead.

Here's how to write PRDs in the AI age: Image
Companies like Google are shifting to a build-first culture. And it's good. AI prototyping tools have completely changed the game, blurring role lines. Image
But that doesn't mean the PRD has no purpose!

The modern PRD is lighter, sharper, and example heavy. Image
Read 11 tweets
Aug 15
Netflix is paying $900K for AI PMs. Meta is paying $1M+.

Here's how to become one: Image
𝟭. 𝗦𝗵𝗮𝗽𝗲 𝗬𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗖𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗗𝗶𝗲𝘁

Follow the right voices:

YouTube: Jeff Su, Matt Wolfe, Dwarkesh Patel
Newsletters: Product Growth, Nate Jones, DeepLearning
Twitter: Santiago (svpino), Min (minchoi), Paul (itsPaulAI)
LinkedIn: Zain Kahn, Allie K. Miller, Ruben Hassid
𝟮. 𝗧𝗮𝗸𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗹𝗲𝘃𝗮𝗻𝘁 𝗖𝗼𝘂𝗿𝘀𝗲𝘀

Start foundational:

AI for Everyone by Andrew Ng
Elements of AI by University of Helsinki
Machine Learning Crash Course by Google
Read 12 tweets
Jul 29
If I had to learn AI PM again, I would start here:

($2,000 course totally free) Image
1️⃣ AI PM Foundations

@marilynika: How to become an AI PM - youtube.com/watch?v=GQd54g…

Sam Kawsarani: 15+ Years PM in Era of AI - tinyurl.com/2txs9mab

@_amankhan: Prototyping → Observability → Evals - youtube.com/watch?v=Ej4pBD…
2️⃣ AI Strategy

@tomocchino: Behind v0 (Top AI Prototyping Tool) - open.spotify.com/episode/2wAfwJ…

Scott Jones: 21 Harsh Truths about PM in AI - tinyurl.com/8zcw26rs

@PawelHuryn: AI basics to expert - youtube.com/watch?v=IfW1FM…
Read 10 tweets
Jul 23
You want to code with AI.

But you don't know what tool to use.

Here's your guide on when to use which AI coding tools:

(+ free resources to learn each) Image
1: Cursor

They surpassed $500M ARR for a reason. Your developer probably uses it. It's great for pros - but it's also great for non-technical folks now, as its agent can build things just via natural language.

Free guide:
2: Windsurf

Despite losing most of its technical staff to Google, Windsurf still exists. Now a part of Cognition (makers of Devin), it's great for non-technical people to deal with large code bases.

Free tutorial:
Read 10 tweets

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