At this week's Spring Meetings of the world's finance ministers and central bankers at the IMF/World Bank, I delivered ๐ณ๐ผ๐๐ฟ ๐บ๐ฒ๐๐๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ๐ to economic policymakers in the face of rapid advances in #GenerativeAI.
1. ๐๐บ๐ฏ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฒ these tools to reap ๐น๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ฒ๐ณ๐ณ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฐ๐ ๐ด๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป๐ -- both in your organizations and in your countries - examples here ๐
2. These tools will give rise to a ๐๐ถ๐ด๐ป๐ถ๐ณ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ป๐ ๐ฏ๐ผ๐ผ๐๐ ๐๐ผ ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฑ๐๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐๐ถ๐๐ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ด๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐๐ต in coming years
3. But ๐ฑ๐ถ๐๐ฟ๐๐ฝ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐ to ๐น๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐๐ may be significant, and countries should prepare - see e.g. brookings.edu/research/prepaโฆ
4. Labor market disruptions often spill over into financial markets (as in 1929 when tractors made farmers unemployed and contributed to the banking crisis) - beware of ๐ณ๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ๐ป๐ฐ๐ถ๐ฎ๐น ๐ถ๐ป๐๐๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐!
Ceterum censeo: given the accelerating pace of progress in AI and the growing risk of misuse, accident & disruption, we need a global governance regime for general-purpose AI! @GovAI_