HF Reflections Profile picture
Apr 16 11 tweets 2 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
L/S HF LAUNCH COSTS -

Many an aspiring PM dreams of launching a fund one day. Through my start up process I’ve gotten some better datapoints on fund expenses for two types of institutional launches - large (150m+) and small (10-30m). Will discus small here. A 🧵
I believe a small launch can get by with $100-150k/yr of mgmt co expense and still be semi-institutional. I am more confident about large launch vs small launch numbers since that is closer to my (hoped for!) experience. Those with more knowledge please chime in.
Main budget items are: 1) personnel 2) service providers, 3) rent, 4) research. In general, fund admin, legal, audit, and some research can be charged to the fund. As long as you launch with 10m+ and go cheap these are not a massive drag on returns
In general, personnel, rent, outsourced cfo, IT, marketing, some research expenses, and capex (other than legal) are mgmt co expenses. When you get down to it, these actually aren’t a huge amount especially for a small launch. Let’s start here.
If I had a million dollars and 9m of friends and family, I’d launch a long only, small cap concentrated fund with 10-15 positions. I’d hire no employees other than unpaid interns (if you want). I only have 10-15 positions which I can handle myself.
I’d have a hot desk at a coworking space and use the conference room for meetings. So my personnel expenses are 0 and my rent is about $7000/yr. I’d get a credible outsourced cfo so I can focus on investing and to pass OPS DD. This is my biggest exp and probably about $35k/yr.
I’d get a cheap IT firm like MetroCSG so I have some basic cybersecurity protection (I manage a few million after all). Call this a few grand. I’d get either Bloomberg or capiq which I’d pay for ($25k) but I’d expense tegus, alphasense, and a handful of calls to the fund.
I’m researching small / micro caps, so I don’t need research. If I do, I get friends to send it to me or plead poor to 3-4 sellside sales reps who take pity on me for 6 months. When they cut me off, I find 3-4 more and so on. Or I cold call analysts until one talks to me.
I’d get a big 4 auditor out of the caymans, someone like NAV for fund admin, a decent lawyer, and use an outsourced trader and small prime so I could get cap intro. These are all fund expenses but I’ve gone cheap and can afford them.
I’d focus on putting up numbers and getting an anchor or seed. If I put up numbers some allocator will pay me fees as they still believe stock picking exists in small caps. But I have to get my name out there, can’t be a hermit. I send out my best ideas 3-4x/yr to my list.
If I put up numbers over a 3-5yrs without any disastrous years or running out of money, and I think I’d have a business. Anyhow hope this helps - I know a handful of people who’ve done this but it’s not my experience so apologies for errors.

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More from @hfreflection

Apr 11
POSITION SIZING / ALPHA THEORY:

Idea gen and research is the process of finding alpha. Position sizing and buy / sell discipline is the mechanism of maximizing it. I use Alpha Theory software to aid in position sizing decisions and buy/sell discipline. A 🧵on our framework.
Most intellectual thought and firm resources are spent on the search for alpha not the maximization of the alpha you find. Alpha theory helps create optimal sizes around my key principles and a process to enforce it. Here is our process:
1) I first set a “risk budget” for any position that helps to determine max size. Max size = (risk budget) / (downside case loss). So if you don’t want to lose more than 200bp, and your downside case on a stock is -20%, this position can be 10% max.
Read 13 tweets
Mar 25
START UP DIARIES:

I’m nearly a month into launching an equity L/S hedge. I’ve spent the last couple months seeking advice from allocators and other launches (both successful and not) on how to launch well. A 🧵of my favorite advice received so far:
1) Leave Well - The ethical thing to do is often also the selfishly right thing to do. I left my prior fund after a good year. I have nothing but positive things to say about my former partners. This shouldn’t be rare, but it is.
If you wait to leave until things go bad, you risk launching with a tarnished brand. You also make it more likely your departure will harm your prior fund, which won’t do you any favors with your former employer. Having them as a good reference is helpful.
Read 12 tweets
Feb 26
PART 21: The No-Catalyst Catalyst

Many investors are uncomfortable investing without an obvious catalyst - usually something good that will happen that will make the stock go up soon. I think these are overvalued. Let’s discuss the benefits of “no-catalyst” investing. A 🧵:
I don’t like obvious catalysts - exploration of strategic alternatives, announced spinoff, etc. The catalyst is usually quickly priced in, and all investors are usually playing for the same event.
When your thesis is the same as everyone else’s, and it doesn’t happen, you can lose a lot. If your thesis is the same as everyone else and you are right, you usually don’t make as much as you think.
Read 13 tweets
Feb 19
PART 20: FACTOR AWARE INVESTING 2/2

In my prior thread I walked through the basics of factor mismatches. Let’s have fun with numbers. I put this together quickly - I welcome criticism. In short, factor mismatches are so significant that they often dwarf stock selection alpha.
Let’s do some simple math - let’s recreate factor mismatch by creating two 100 long / short 50 portfolios. Value Fund is long 100% VTV (value ETF) and short 50% ARKK. Growth Fund is long 100% ARKK and short 50% VTV.
The results for both funds are nothing short of disastrous. Value Fund is up 8% in 2019, but down 74% in 2020. It bounced back in 2021 up (38%) - assuming it didn’t get zeroed in Jan 2021 and up 29% in 2022, but it’s still down 50% cumulatively vs 2019.
Read 7 tweets
Feb 19
PART 20: FACTOR AWARE INVESTING

When people think about risk, they tend to think about leverage and concentration. I’d argue controlling factor exposure is also important. This is because many positions can (and do) often act as one. A thought experiment and 🧵:
I’d define a factor as a set of traits that tends to make seemingly different stocks trade in tight correlation. Easy examples of factors are high interest shorts, unprofitable growth, value, high leverage, etc. ETFs and primes can give you good examples of constituents.
What I’m suggesting isn’t rocket science - managers know factors exist - but they don’t care, or they view their existence as a source of alpha. I want alpha from stock selection, not factors. Let’s give a couple very simple, well known examples of factor bias in fund strategy.
Read 8 tweets
Feb 11
PART 19: THE PM JOB

Where does the analyst job end and the PM job begin? Defining Analyst vs PM responsibility helps create a more consistent investment process and better outcomes. Many conflicts and mistakes stem from a lack of clear delineation. A 🧵:
I view the analyst’s job as executing and collaborating on investment research with the PM. An analyst makes mistakes of execution and omission - a PM is responsible for mistakes of judgment and oversight.
Many PMs I think would agree with this, but frequently have their young analysts take on way too many activities that require judgment, and themselves spend way too much time on activities that are more execution. Tasks should be aligned with skills and experience.
Read 16 tweets

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