I'm really surprised that no one is actively talking about what an America run by the GOP looks like. We can see it in deep red states right now, and it's horrifying. 1/n
First, there's the gun violence. Red states have all but abolished gun laws, and are awash in firearms. The result: lots more death, both in terms of murders and suicides. We see people randomly blowing away innocent strangers all the time. 2/n axios.com/2023/01/27/mur…
Then there's the death from preventable disease, maternal mortality, and infant mortality. Half of the Ob-Gyns in Idaho are gone. So are most in MS. Life expectancy in red states was low, and is plummeting. China's life expectancy exceeds ours. 3/n
We're repealing child labor laws now. Letting them work in factories, night shifts, and bars. Given increasing wealth inequality, and low wages, more families will choose to pull kids out of school to work. More high school drop outs, and poverty cycle continues. 4/n
We're also looking at the end of the line for the LGBT community, and particularly trans people. The laws being passed in Florida and elsewhere resemble something out of Russia or West African nations infiltrated by the religious right. 4/n foreignpolicy.com/2023/03/19/afr…
Their crusade to ban books that might tell the stories of LGBT people and Blacks has denuded entire library systems of books. Entire library systems are being closed or defunded to prevent people from having access to disfavored information. 5/n pbs.org/newshour/polit….
Gerrymandering and voter suppression are rampant, meaning most votes, and most election races, are meaningless: GOP politicians already picked their voters, and thereby the winner of every race. And when Dems get uppity, they get tossed. 6/n npr.org/2021/10/27/104…
Lack of access to birth control and abortion means more unwanted children, more poverty, worse schools (tax base issues), more child abuse, etc... The result will be more strains on already scarce social services, and even worse educational attainment. It may mean more crime. 7/n
Red states are particularly Malthusian in their views on social spending. This means that people in need of help aren't going to get any. CPS won't have resources. This means more homelessness, hunger, disease, and death. 8/n texastribune.org/2017/12/01/tex…
Corruption among public officials will run even more rampant as the system refuses to prosecute its own. Look at Brett Favre, Clarence Thomas, and the Ohio state legislature. Money will disappear down ratholes the same way it does in Russia. 9/n pbswisconsin.org/news-item/what…
The long term picture for much of the American South is basically your average corrupt, violent, unequal, single-party, religiously conservative developing world country, complete with tropical diseases and staggering maternal and infant mortality rates. 10/n
And yet, because white Christians are on the top of the social heap there, they vote for this outcome overwhelmingly, because they see this as a better option than a pluralistic society. 11/n
Even if I'm wrong about one or two of these (and I'm almost certainly not), all of these together paint a bleak picture of what lies ahead for half the US. What blue states need to understand is that GOP controlled states will stop at nothing to make everyone just like them. 12/n
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The overreaction to this is staggering. It was a one-minute spot very few people saw.
My theory is that a lot of men felt that their masculinity was threatened when they saw a trans woman drinking the same beer they do. Social Dominance Orientation led to rage. 1/n
Visceral feelings of disgust gave rise to fear that their own manhood was under threat because something linked to it (drinking a blue collar beer)was something that THOSE PEOPLE are shown doing by the manufacturer. 2/n
Whereas beer commercials of the past catered to them almost entirely, now they see one that doesn't cater to them. It leads to fear of displacement within society, of losing their "special place" in culture. 3/n
I am disgusted by those defending Jack Teixeira. First, he didn't do it for any sort of noble purpose: he just wanted to come across as a big-shot to kids on a Discord server.
But, he may have done horrible damage to US security.
First, there's the definition of what "Top Secret" information entails:
"(1) "Top Secret" shall be applied to information, the unauthorized disclosure of which reasonably could be expected to cause exceptionally grave damage to the national security" 2/n intelligence.senate.gov/laws/national-….
This also merits a discussion of TS labels. There's Top Secret, and there's compartmentalized subdivisions within it, known as Sensitive Compartmentalized Information (SCI), or TS-SCI. 3/n en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sensitive…
I wrote this, with the intention of it being re-published every time there is a mass shooting. None of the fundamentals of this situation will change for decades. 1/n newrepublic.com/article/171784…
1. Gerrymandering in most red states means that the only elections that matter 95% of the time are the primaries.
2. Any Republican that seems open to compromise is going to get obliterated in the primaries.
3. The Senate leans R+7 2/n
4. You need 60 votes in the Senate to get anything through
5. The GOP in red states are moving towards closed primaries, meaning that candidates will be even further incentivized to run to the right in the primaries, and the gun nits will have even more power.3/n
Interesting that Kelly lost by 10 in a D +.06 state. That's huge. While democrats tried to make the election about gerrymandering and abortion, the GOP tried to drag the topic to tr*ns people. It doesn't seem to work. 1/n npr.org/2023/04/04/116…
The American Principles Project has been trying to convince GOP strategists to run on anti-tr*ns stuff since the 2020 election. They have put a lot of money into this, and results have been "meh" at best. 2/n pbswisconsin.org/news-item/ads-…
Governors Abbot and DeSantis were re-elected by wide margins, despite their records. Glenn Youngkin is a quieter culture warrior, but he's filled his appointed positions with far right figures like Elizabeth Schultz. 3/n rollingstone.com/politics/polit…
Pay attention. This is the most important thing that happened yesterday. Tennessee had one of the worst histories of disenfranchisement after the end of Reconstruction. Now, gerrymandered white legislators simply expel Black ones. 1/n apnews.com/article/tennes…
This is NOT going to sit well and Republicans will repeat this elsewhere. They don't need to do this: they already have a supermajority. This is simply a giant "FU" to Black people in the state: done to prove they have the power, and will use it
The cruelty is the point 2/n
We will see if they carry through (I expect they will).
We will see what the reaction is.
We will see what lessons are drawn from the reaction, or lack thereof.
This is what Democracy dying in broad daylight looks like. 3/n
Have you ever wondered what media Gen X (born ~65-80) was raised on, more or less unsupervised? Wondered why we are the way we are? Read on, as here is a non-comprehensive list of the movies that messed us up. 1/n
Plague Dogs (1981). This animated movie starts with human scientists torturing dogs in ways that mimic how the Gestapo tortured captured members of the French resistance. Goes downhill from there into unrelenting bleakness and despair. w/ John Hurt. 2/n
Watership Down (1978). 90 minutes of bunnies dying horribly. Strangulation. Gas. Torn apart by dogs. Torn to ribbons by each other. Snatched by raptors. Body count makes Hamlet look like a comedy, and gore rivals a slasher flick. w/ John Hurt. 3/n