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Apr 19, 2023 23 tweets 11 min read Read on X
On 25 May 1969, at age 39, Colonel Nimeiry overthrew civilian government of Ismail al-Azhari.

On 26 May, he suspended constitution, dissolved, National Assembly, & disbanded all political parties.

That day he also promoted himself to major-general and

#SudanCrisis 🧵⬇️

1/23 Image
That day he also promoted himself to major-general and retired 22 serving officers, mostly senior to himself, dismissed over 30, and appointed 14 new officers to the most important posts.
Nimeiry became prime minister later, on 26 October 1969. Image
He started campaign aimed at reforming Sudan's economy through nationalization of banks & industries & land reforms. He used his position to enact a number of socialist and Pan-Arabist reforms. He subsequently promoted himself to rank of Field Marshal & ruled Sudan till 1985. Image
After him, another colonel Omar Hassan al-Bashir, In 1989,headed an Islamist junta that ousted Prime Minister Sadiq al-Mahdi in a bloodless military coup.
By 2018 Sudan’s economy was in free-fall,with an inflation rate of 72 %,long lines at fuel stations& shortage of currency. Image
He served as the seventh head of state of Sudan under various titles from 1989 until 2019, when he was deposed in a coup d'état. He was subsequently incarcerated, tried and convicted on multiple corruption charges. He was elected 3 times as president in fraudulent elections. Image
In 1992, he founded National Congress Party, which remained dominant political party until 2019. In 2009, he became 1st sitting head of state to be indicted by International Criminal Court, for directing a campaign of mass killing, rape, & pillage against civilians in Darfur. Image
From December 2018 onwards, Bashir faced large-scale protests which demanded his removal from power. On 11 April 2019, Bashir was ousted in a military coup d'état. In September 2019, Bashir was replaced by a civilian prime minister, Abdalla Hamdok. Image
Bashir would be eventually transferred to the ICC. He was convicted of corruption in December of that year and sentenced to two years in prison. His trial regarding his role in the coup that brought him into power started on 21 July 2020.

Let’s now turn to 2023 ongoing crisis ImageImageImageImage
Current de facto ruler of Sudan is General Abdel Fattah Abdelrahman al-Burhan, who was appointed by Bashir to crush civilians at Darfur in 2003-2006.

And Burhan in turn, appointed Hamdan Dagalo,who goes by nickname Hemedti: to fight for him

(more on Hemedeti later) Image
On 25 October 2021, al-Burhan led the October 2021 Sudanese coup d'état to overthrow the civilian government of Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok. Hamdok was also allowed to return leading the transitional government. Image
On 4 December 2021, al-Burhan told Reuters in an interview that the Sudanese military will "exit politics" following the elections scheduled for July 2023, stating, "When a government is elected, I don't think the army, or any of the security forces will participate in politics. Image
On 31 December 2021, in a speech, al-Burhan said he was committed to “building all the institutions of transitional government and holding free, fair, and transparent elections at their scheduled time", in July 2023. Image
On April 15, 2023, country's paramilitary Rapid Support Forces launched attacks against al-Burhan's government, claiming to capture key government sites. Al-Burhan has claimed these sites are still under control of his forces, & fighting is ongoing.

Most tragic part of🧵begins Image
So it is no surprise that Sudan’s coup leaders, General Burhan, army chief, and General Mohamad Hamdan “Hemedti” Dagalo, the head of the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), have pursued the same deceitful ways and means to monopolise power after 2019 ouster of Bashir. Image
Let’s get back to 2003-2006 #DarfurCrisis. Bashir appointed Burhan to fight for him, and in turn, Burhan appointed a militia force rebels commander Hemedti to crush civilians. In 2019, Burhan removed Bashir and in 2023 now Hemedti is trying to snatch powers from Burhan. Image
Hemedti commanded rogue militias comprising 0.2 million and later he promoted himself to rank of general and now is not agreeing with current ruler General Burhan to share power. General Burhan is asking him to merge his rogue militias with regular army of 0.4 million. But Image
But, Hemedti fears losing control over his men and is now trying to get control of important buildings in Khartoum. He even rented his militias to fight for UAE against houthis in Yemen. He is now amongst the most richest in sudan.

Sudan is most unluckiest nation on earth. Image
Till 2011, before succession of South Sudan it was the largest African country. It has abundant oil, gold and other natural resources but it’s a RESOURCE CURSE NATION.

It has remained embroiled in civil wars and military coups.

Let’s hit some history also. Image
Sudan got independence in 1956 from British & Egypt rule. Richard Nixon met with their PM in 1957.

In 1958 military overthrows the civilian government.

Political instability embroils the Sudan right from beginning. ImageImageImageImage
Desperate groups kept fighting a civil war in South. Large reserves of oil were discovered in 1978. Colonel Jaffar Nimeiri who seized power in 1969 was deposed in 1985 & in 1999 he returned to fight elections but did poorly. ImageImageImage
A few words more on current situation: The two strongmen have very different pedigrees and head two very different military forces. While al-Burhan is a professional soldier who climbed the ranks of an army with clear structures and operating systems, Hemedti was a Image
rogue camel smuggler turned hired gun turned leader of a vicious militia that conducts illicit trade and functions according to his whims and fancies.
Al-Burhan’s transgressions are outrageous, considering his position as army chief. Image
“Every state requires or deserves a truly national army, but no state needs a shadowy militia that functions above the law.”

Wrote Marwan Bishara in @marwanbishara for @AJEnglish

aljazeera.com/amp/opinions/2…

23/23

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Oct 24, 2023
On 6 October 2016, PM Nawaz Sharif betrayed Pakistan through #DawnLeaks 🧵⬇️

Pakistan was facing threat of isolation from USA, India and Afghanistan.

On 4 October, during in-house-discussion,there were three presentations: 1st by DGMO, 2nd by NSA & 3rd Foreign Secretary.

1/16
Dawn published a story, supporting international isolation narrative of troika being spread by USA, Indian and Afghanistan.

“Act against militants or face international isolation,civilians tell military”

But before that on 29 September 2016, USA and India NSAs talked+

2/16
On 29 September 2016, US NSA Susan Rice spoke to her Indian counterpart Ajit Doval to offer condolences to families of the Uri attack victims and express support for India on the issue of terrorism, National Security Council spokesman Ned Price said in a read-out on call. +

3/16
Read 16 tweets
Jun 3, 2023
My difference of opinion proved right when I read an article by S.M. Qureshi,who wrote,

Two years after hanging Bhutto,I was sent to meet Yasir Arafat to patch to see him. He told me that General Zia had promised while siting in Masjid e Haram that he wouldn’t hang Bhutto.

1/16
Zia said this in the presence of Shah Khalid. Later, he did not keep his words.

Here is a detailed account from page126-128 from book, ‘compulsions of power’
Biography of General Mirza Aslam Beg.

2/16 Image
I was promoted Major General in 1978 and assigned the Command of 14 Division which was stationed at Okara, With this command I became part of high Military Hierarchy and remained associated with all military matters of the army from 1978 to 1988.

3/16
Read 16 tweets
Jun 3, 2023
As groups of mujahideen fought for control of Afghanistan in the 1990s, Benazir Bhutto's government made a decision to back the Afghan Taliban in its bid for power; she later admitted she and her government had made a mistake.

From book, #PakistanUnderSeige by @MadihaAfzal

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Some members of the Pakistan Taliban became radicalized from their involvement in the jihad against the Soviets in Afghanistan in the 1980s. In 1989, Sufi Muhammad, who had fought in that jihad, formed the Tehrik-e-Nifaz-Shariat-Mohammadi (TNSM) to impose Sharia in Dir.
The TNSM was one of the precursors of the Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan. His son-in-law, Fazal Hayat, known publicly Mullah Fazlullah or just Fazlullah, is the current leader of the Pakistan Taliban. He is a former chairlift operator with no formal religious training.
Read 8 tweets
Jun 2, 2023
Bhutto's untimely death forced Musharraf to delay elections beyond 8 January 2008 to 18 February. Leaderless party of Bhutto faced a crisis in middle of the campaign. Zardari, who had remained in Dubai when his wife had travelled back to Pakistan for the campaign, suddenly

1/6
produced a handwritten document reportedly prepared by his wife naming him as the heir of the party command and control. A compliant PPP leadership team quickly accepted this evidence and his new role as the head of the party of Zulfikar Ali Bhutto.

2/6
To add to the popular appeal of the Bhutto name, Zardari announced on 30 December 2007 that his nineteen-year-old son Bilawal would become party chairman and take over the party on completion of his studies at the University of Oxford in England.

3/6
Read 6 tweets
Jun 1, 2023
The transition to democracy following Zia's death raised hopes that Pakistan would enter a new era with the beginnings of a modern party system, the addressing of long-standing social inequalities and the ending of the centre-state problems which had beset the country.

1/6
The advent of Benazir Bhutto as Pakistan's youngest and first female Prime Minister also raised the possibility that gender inequalities would be addressed & Pakistan would move towards becoming a progressive and tolerant Muslim society. Such hopes were to be cruelly dashed.
2/6
The alternation of Benazir Bhutto and Nawaz Sharif in office was marked by political infighting, financial scandals, limited legislative enactment, and economic failure. Poverty increased as result of sluggish growth, despite Nawaz Sharif's attempt to liberalize the economy.
3/6
Read 6 tweets
Jun 1, 2023
Foreigners were never quite sure what to make of Benazir. As a young woman, she was the object of global admiration, the whip-smart, eloquent daughter of a Pakistani prime minister. She went to Radcliffe & then Oxford, where she drove a sports car, was known as 'Pinky', and

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entranced posh young Englishmen with her regal airs. In the 198os, she led a gutsy campaign against a brutal military dictator, General Zia ul Hag, who had overseen the execution of her father. Returning from exile, in 1986, the streets filled with fervent supporters clamouring
for a glimpse of steely 33 year-old beauty - 'that wisp of a girl that the generals were scared of', as the revolutionary poet Habib Jalib put it. Two years later she was prime minister, the first woman to hold that position in a Muslim-majority country, glamorous and commanding.
Read 12 tweets

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