Jing Gu Profile picture
Apr 23 6 tweets 5 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Be extra careful about anything that label itself “anti-CCP”.

Rely on professional sources especially ones like @dfriedman33 @joshrogin @IsobelYeung

@alexjoske , this is a new type of #Unitedfront assault 👇
To know more about the lady. And her assault on @IsobelYeung 👇

harkherald.com/untold-story-g…
Source matters.

Be extra cautious about GTV.

harkherald.com/bannons-friend…
She used to be Marketing Director of Epoch Times before moving under Guo in a different alias.

To watch how #unitedfront showers Epoch Times with praises.

harkherald.com/chinese-intell…
Do not take whatever as “breaking “.

Double check the source. Especially if there are corroborating reports with solid backing of evidence by professionals like @dfriedman33 @joshrogin @IsobelYeung .

Otherwise, it is super easy to fall into the traps. @MischaEDM @JamesFLoveIV
But before retweeting anything as “breaking”, ask whoever comes out, do you have sources, pictures and videos backing your allegations up?

@HarkHeraldPress always does.

Anything from @dfriedman33 always does.

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More from @gujingc

Apr 23
As 2024 approaches, there will be heightened disinformation campaigns around #unitedfront.

You might feel overwhelmed and concerned.

Here are 2 simple questions that will help you wade through this torrential stream of confusion:
1) do those who appear “anti CCP” back their
allegations with verifiable facts and common sense;
2) are they defending and upholding our professional institutions or attacking them, trying to spread doubts by slandering our professional institutions with conspiracy theories.

At the end of the day,
we are fighting real crimes with our professional institutions.

Yes, you get it, the most logical strategy a totalitarian regime will adopt is to lure us to focus on unsubstantiated fantasy while weakening support to institutions vital to uphold our democracy like @MotherJones
Read 4 tweets
Apr 23
在考察一个社会系统的优劣时,我们会发现,一个能够让硅谷英雄辈出的体系,也会让杰出的艺术表演类人才喷涌。

非常喜欢Jordan Klepper.

Daily Show 找来一匹黑马。

John Leguizamo 超赞。

中国有非常优秀的人才。比如最近爆红的张颂文。

Read 5 tweets
Apr 22
英美法治是由一系列习惯维持的,这些习惯落实到实施细则体现对程序正义的坚持。不合法的手段获取的证据不能采信就是其中最有名的一项。

不关注程序,只图结果,正是中国周而复始,深陷泥潭的原因。中国人有种种对这一恶癖的说辞,比如大敌当前,应当…只有流氓才能整治流氓。某某某是一剂猛药…等等等
这些说辞反映惊人的短视、幼稚与无知。

人类社会组织,一旦赋权,就成为机构(institution), 开始自我运行。

机构诞生后会具备自己的行为逻辑,会自我延续。而且会阻止成员转向。大家仔细观察一下,即使像蚂蚁帮这样不入流的机构,美国日本雷霆万钧的手段下,根除也不是那么容易。那么假如,
引进一个流氓团伙,用它灭了原来的流氓团伙,新流氓团伙被予合法性,攫取巨大的政治资源以后,它会自动消失吗?当然不会。它会沿着自己的行为逻辑走下去,直到资源耗尽。

这就是孙文的所谓军政训政说荒谬所在。

共产党内的派别,利用民主,夺取权力,随后掉头开始横扫原来的民主盟友,是老剧本了
Read 7 tweets
Apr 22
Not sure about ready, but he is absolutely building up for war.

Xi is not a departure but a continuation of his predecessors in the past 40 years.

The best way to understand the relationship between his policies and his predecessors’ is to think about saving to buy a house. /1
It would be absurd to conclude a person spending his years of saving to buy a house is in an abrupt departure from a stingy lifestyle.

Xi is a continuation not departure from his predecessors.

The fact that China took many by surprise while throwing many into a misplaced /2
nostalgia of a liberalizing China that only existed in fantasy shows how naive, sloppy and wishful our initial judgement of China was.

This folly is matched by many going to the other extreme in particular the obsession to babble how China is masterful at the long game. /3
Read 9 tweets
Apr 16
1865年3月4日,林肯第二任期正式开始。4月9日,李将军向格兰特投降。

一切似乎都变得美好,但4月14日正在看戏的林肯总统被刺客暗杀。

刺客名叫约翰威尔吉斯布斯( 左,John Wilkes Booth)。布斯的父亲是著名的莎士比亚戏剧演员朱尼亚斯布斯(右上)/1 ImageImageImage
布斯的生母玛丽安赫尔姆斯。原来是朱尼亚布斯的情妇。在布斯13岁生日那天,和原配离婚的朱尼亚布斯迎娶了玛丽安。

一年后,朱尼亚布斯去世。仅14岁的布斯辍学,并在17岁开始登台表演。

童年动荡的生活,使布斯性格极端,孤僻,偏执。/2 Image
舞台上的布斯渐渐展露出表演天赋。

但是身处北方的布斯对于奴隶制的看法,却非常极端。南方邦联成立,布斯公开宣称自己非常钦佩南方独立的勇气。由此激怒了许多观众。1861年4月,布斯在纽约北部的阿尔巴尼市演出,当地民众要求抵制布斯。

约翰布朗起事失败,被判死刑。布斯欣喜若狂。/3 Image
Read 21 tweets
Apr 15
Why so many Western China pundits have been so wrong in recent years, while they seemed decent in the previous 30-40 years?

Here is a way to look at it.

Imagine China is like a train. It is running on a rail track until it reaches a railway station. At the station,
It can switch to a different track.

1) To predict where the train is going when it is running on a track is not that hard.

2) To predict which track the train will choose at the next station is a lot harder.

3) To understand the constraints the railway dispatch and
the train driver will face when making such choices provides meaningful insight leading to sensible China policy.

Most China experts have earned their fame and status by doing 1), much less 2), seldom 3.
Read 9 tweets

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