Rajeev Jayadevan Profile picture
Apr 23 12 tweets 3 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Omicron is a stealth virus

Fascinating research from Germany reveals vital difference in antibody response to Omicron versus prior variants

Ongoing study of 1850 children since 2020

Very few developed antibody after Omicron infection (18%), versus 68% for prior variants

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Such meticulously planned studies will help unlock the mysteries of the pandemic.

These authors have tracked 1850 children from the beginning of the pandemic, studying their immune response to infections by various forms of the virus.

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They measured antibodies found in blood as well as saliva.

Among children who never had prior infection or vaccination, there was a remarkable difference in their antibody response to various versions of this virus.

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We know seroprevalence studies (e.g. Delhi, India) had revealed high percentage of children, near 100%, had developed antibodies even before Omicron arrived (prior tweets)

That’s because children generated a robust humoral (antibody) response to that version of the virus

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They also studied a group of vaccinated children, all of whom had developed antibodies. People who had both pre omicron infection and omicron infection also made antibodies.

None of the infections were severe, whether vaccinated or not.

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But once omicron arrived, there was a distinct change in immune response, at least among children.

❗️❗️❗️For those who were encountering the virus for the first time, very few in fact developed antibodies in the plasma and saliva (in the case of Omicron)

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The study has several implications.

We know that omicron is capable of repeatedly infecting people often without their knowledge.

Authors believe that it is perhaps the failure of antibody response - rather than the quality of antibodies - that results in this phenomenon.

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Also tells us that doing serology studies will not help determine how many had omicron infection, because of the failure to generate antibodies. (Of course this only applies to first immune exposure)

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People may go through several bouts of omicron infection, because the prior bout might not generate enough antibodies to prevent a subsequent infection.

This could potentially explain the observation of intervals as short as one month between infections (prior tweets)

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Link to study

See detailed thread above

jamanetwork.com/journals/jamap…
This early study from South Africa showed the stealth nature of Omicron, many people were carrying it in their noses, a phenomenon not observed with pre Omicron variants.

Note this study was done at a blood bank, among donors.
Ignore the politics, but this news article from 10 months ago is a record of the *shortest interval I am aware of* in between two bouts of Omicron. See thread above for context.

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More from @RajeevJayadevan

Apr 22
Neutralising antibody level just prior to infection correlated with risk of infection.

This was measured using live virus neutralisation assay, which is only available in BSL-3 labs, not commercially feasible.

Note: Commercial Spike protein antibody assays will not help.

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In this landmark study, which is difficult to achieve, authors measured antibodies in samples drawn just before delta infection, and compared to those vaccinated people who did not get infected.

Those with higher neutralising antibody levels did not get infected.

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Note this was neutralising antibody level, which is difficult to measure and requires sophisticated equipment & facility.

Routine assays that look at Anti Spike protein antibody level will not predict this.

The value of this study is finding a correlate of protection, COP.

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Read 6 tweets
Apr 21
T cells respond faster than antibodies, and are not fooled by mutations.

Attaching a plain English summary of this landmark study on how a vaccinated person’s immune system responds to Omicron infection

TLDR: T cells get activated early due to long-lasting immune memory

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Although there is a lot of discussion about “keeping antibodies high” by vaccination, this study shows our immune response is multi-pronged and goes beyond just antibodies

T cells are key players who destroy virus-infected cells, thus preventing virus from spreading further

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Vaccination (and past infection) generates long lasting immune MEMORY that helps jump-start an immune response as soon as new infection occurs

The mutations in the new variant helps it escape the existing antibodies, BUT NOT the T CELLS

See my recent article in @the_hindu

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Read 8 tweets
Apr 12
Tuesday COVID meeting updates 11 April, Cochin
(Meetings ongoing since onset of pandemic)

🔹Steep rise in COVID cases since April, see graphs
🔹More patients admitted to hospitals now
🔹Severe cases remain rare
🔹TPR at hospital rises from 0 to 42% in under 3 weeks

Thread 1/11

Until mid March, ILI (influenza-like- illness) was a mixed bag, with COVID being an occasional finding

Now, almost all ILI cases are COVID

All doctors observed that ICU admissions remain rare, compared to Delta wave

COVID pneumonias are rare, and mild in most cases

2/
Most patients can be treated as outpatient

Symptoms include extreme tiredness, fever (low grade to 101 F), cough, sore throat, occasional loss of taste/smell (remark), headache, a few with runny nose

Reluctance to test

“Only 30% agree for testing”

3/
Read 12 tweets
Apr 5
Tuesday COVID meeting 4 April 2023

🔹Rapid rise in TPR in hospitals in Ernakulam, Kerala, some areas more than others

🔹Healthcare workers testing positive

🔹COVID pneumonia observed in unvaccinated patients (yet again, see prior tweets)

🔹Most cases not severe

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🔹 “Double Trouble” concern re. concurrent influenza (not seen in previous COVID waves)

🔹Many asymptomatic

🔹In one series of 8 hospitalised COVID patients, 6 had received booster dose. They improved.

❗️Shows that anyone can get infected - and take ill if risk factors.

2/
🔹Manpower shortage could occur in healthcare & other settings

🔹Younger (more mobile) people mainly involved now

🔹Three major festivals coming up in the next 3 weeks: Easter, Vishu, Eid al Fitr in that order. With all the mingling, it will reach more vulnerable people.

3/
Read 9 tweets
Apr 3
Fits with cyclical patterns I had described earlier.

6-8 months gap between waves has been noticed elsewhere too; limitations of testing actually makes them small.

We had reported a rise in cases in mid 2022, this graph was from that period. It came down in a few months time. Image
Read 4 tweets
Apr 3
Bivalent boosters not better than original vaccine, effect wanes after 10 weeks.

Vaccine protection is durable even past 15 months, even with the arrival of newer versions of Omicron.

Important UK study on real world effectiveness of various vaccine regimens.

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Note: immunity after surviving natural infection among the unvaccinated will reduce the difference between the two groups.
This is acknowledged by the authors, that unmeasurable past infections could blunt the VE or vaccine effectiveness.

(VE is basically the difference in disease rate between unvaccinated and vaccinated, measured in several categories)

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Read 10 tweets

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