Explosion seen in Sebastobol today, Strilets'ka Bay.

Based on the geolocation the explosion happened over water (see below).

POV: 44.599121, 33.460504
Apparent explosion: 44.602521, 33.468162 (based on azimuth & sound delay analysis)
#Dmojavensis_location
@GeoConfirmed ImageImageImage
Smoke seen from a location in Strilets'ka Bay, RU-occupied Sebastopol.

Slightly refined geolocation based on @Osinttechnical => the smoke in the photo is in general direction of berth 177.

POV: 44.594894, 33.468055
#Dmojavensis_location
@GeoConfirmed

ImageImage
👆 note: we don't have a way to determine where on the azimuth above the smoke is coming from. Thus it could be berth 177, or it could be not (i.e. closer to the camera or further back).

Also, to my eye the photo and the video above may be showing different events (as reported)
-> in case you are interested in the details of the methodology of sound delay analysis, see detailed description in the previous geolocation below:
Note: the estimated location of the explosion seen in the video above (44.602521, 33.468162) is **exactly** where a vessel (perhaps a barge) is seen in a satellite image of RU vessels in Strilets'ka Bay from yesterday (courtesy of @MT_Anderson):
Image

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More from @Dmojavensis

Apr 24
Bavovna/explosions/shooting is being reported in RU-occupied Sebastopol. RU sources report a USV (marine drones) attack.

(verification and geolocation a little later)

So far two explosion-like sounds have been reported (at 03:31 and 03:44). t.me/Crimeanwind/28…
Read 6 tweets
Jan 9
The latest Ukraine assistance package included 4000 "Zuni aircraft rockets"(defense.gov/News/Releases/…).

What's interesting about them is that they have a laser guided option developed about a decade ago by MBDA in cooperation with Elbit Systems, General Dynamics, and Honeywell

->
Even basic unguided Zuni rockets would be useful to Ukraine and could be used just like S-8 or S-13 are used now (see illustration below). One advantage of Zuni is their range is almost double that of S-8/13.

However, these rockets have a laser guided precision option too

->
A WGU-58/B Guidance and Control Section can be attached to the front end of an unguided Zuni rocket converting it to a precision weapon.

Laser Guided Zuni Rocket can be launched from the same LAU-10 launcher and can hit stationary and moving targets.

->
Read 10 tweets
Jan 8
Reports of explosions in Melitopol

Viewpoint at (46.843526,35.358159)

Looking towards a number of large warehouses (purple arrow shows approximate direction below)

@GeoConfirmed Image
-> Presumably from the same event: "something's burning at Gidromash plant in Melitopol".

I'm 95% sure about this camera geolocation: (46.848568, 35.364974)

No street view, but Yandex map gives good view of the facades matching the photo

@GeoConfirmed

ImageImageImageImage
Putting the two views together, the azimuths towards apparent fire (red below) intersect on the west side of the large light green industrial building approximately at (46.847640, 35.357058) (purple circle below) Image
Read 4 tweets
Jan 6
About Sea Sparrow surface-air missile adaptation to UA Buk-M1 SAM systems that Politico has reported yesterday (politico.com/news/2023/01/0…).

It's not as surprising as it may seem at first.

In fact, Raytheon (Sea Sparrow manufacturer) and Polish WZU-2 worked on this in 2007+

-> ImageImage
As early as 2007 Wojskowe Zaklady Usbrojenia Nr 2 (WZU-2, Grudziadz, Poland) announced working on adapting Sea Sparrow RIM-7 missile to 2K12 Kub (SA-6) SAM system -- Buk predecessor. In 2012 a prototype was shown using RIM-162 ESSM missile on 2P25 Kub launcher.

-> ImageImageImage
Additionally, around the same time Czech company RETIA in cooperation with European missile manufacturer MBDA adapted Aspide 2000 surface-air missile (a derivative of Sea Sparrow RIM-7E with better engine and seeker) to the same Kub 2K12 system.

-> ImageImage
Read 9 tweets

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