Xiayoi Deng and Yangyang (ICF) present a new approach to nonresponse analysis using machine learning and multilevel models #AAPOR
They use data from National Youth Behaviour Survey (NYBS) that uses a 3-stage school-based sample.
There are some concerns about NR bias in NYBS due to declining response rates at both district level and school level.
Used a multilevel logistic-regression with districts as random effects to model nonresponse with various district level (geography and social-economic) and school level characteristics (school type, race/ethnicity, other social-economic variables)
Variables significatly explaining participation: School type, school size, ELL enrollment percentage, college bound percentage
Used CHAID to identify school characteristics that explains school participation.
Took significant predictors in CHAID and included them as main effects and interactions in logistic regression models.
Model performance: multilevel model and Logistic regression model with CHAID selected variables shown best performance.
Conclusion: Schools with larger size, higher SES and fewer minority students are more likely to respond
Live tweeting the panel of Elections and Nonresponse now here at #AAPOR
First is Cameron McPhee (SSRS) presenting Underestimation or Overcorrection? an Evaluation of Weighting and Likely-Voter Identification in 2022 Pre-Election Polls
2022 Election Polls did really well, with maybe some under-estimation of Democrats
Live tweeting the #AAPOR session The Panel on the Panel: Development and Testing of a Probability-Based, Nationally-Representative Survey Panel for Federal Use
First is Victoria Dounoucus (RTI) presenting Qualitative Work to Inform Contact Materials and Baseline Questions for the Ask U.S. Panel Pilot
Cognitive interview in Microsoft Teams for ~1 hour, with 30 interview (21 in English, 9 in Spanish)