Raphael Nishimura Profile picture
May 11 43 tweets 9 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Live tweeting the "Gridded Population Surveys" at #AAPOR
First is Dana Thomson (U of Twente) giving an introduction to gridded population sampling Image
Gridded population datasets publicly available
Not all are equal Image
One of the gridded population that should not be used for sampling, a couple should be used with cautious Image
Large increase used of gridded populations, especially in public opinion research Image
When NOT to use gridded population:
* Recent Census
* Population in small geography
* Data collection operational team doesn't have experience with basic mapping tools such as Google Maps
When to use gridded population sampling:
*Census grossly outdated or inaccurate
* Dangerous area
*Highly dynamic and complex
*Stratify by geo characteristics
Sample frame tools:
For Non-GIS users: GridSample, R (GridEZ)
GIS users: QGIS (PreEA)
State of the field:
* Tools for designing and implementing are still piecemeal, we need better tools
* Gridded population datasets, the most important component of this approach, are evolving and improving rapidly
* Area-microcensus designs are promising but need study
Manual for designing and implementing gridded population surveys: gridpopsurvey.com
Next is Yuliya Dudaronak and Stephanie Landas (ORB International) talking about Practical Implications of Using Grid Sample in Conflict and Desert Environments Image
Biggest issues in implementing gridded sampling compared to using Census Enumeration Areas: more difficult to identify grids (it's a alpha-numeric values, sometimes in the middle of nowhere)
Challenges in implementing gridded population sampling in some countries
* Varying levels of security
* Poor infrastructure
* Poor telephone coverage
* Socialcultural differences
Case study in Somalia GridSample vs. Census
Not a lot of differences with respect to demographics Image
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Census v GridSample
Case by case decision Image
Next is Sarah Ford (US Department of State) presenting In Search of City Limits: Defining Urban Boundaries in Gridded Population Sampling Image
Defining urban boundaries with gridded population data is challenging
Not typically available in GIS format
Standardized degree of urbanization Image
Revised standards with 7 categories for urbanization Image
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That's a huge uninhabited area! Image
Also a lot of that area is quite far from major roads Image
Next is Shannon Farley (Columbia) talking about Sampling Refugees in Uganda without a Census or Shapefile Image
Uganda hosts the 3rd largest population of refugees in the world, the 1st in Africa
Uganda Refugee Population-based HIV Impact Assessment (RUPHIA 2021)
Mylti-stage sample design
40 Enumeration area
Target pop: refugees 15 years and older
Assumed a HIV prevalence of 3% for sample design
Determined minimum number of HIV-positive respondents
MoE 1% Image
Gridded population sampling
Used grids (100m x 100m), combined or not, as PSUs
Missing about 7% of the population because of the sample frame of settlements zones available Image
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Used WorldPop peanutButter (apps.worldpop.org/peanutButter) and the used gridzEZ in R to generate 2,636 gridEZ units of 100m x 100m grid cells
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Issues in the field:
1 EA outside settlement boundaries
1 EA full of Uganda nationals
Next and final speaker is Giles Reid (Columbia) presenting Weighting Survey Data from a Gridded Population Survey: The Uganda Refugee Population-Based HIV Impact Assessment Image
This presentation discusses the weighting of the 2021 RUPHIA project from the previous presentation
Challenge 1: out-of-scope areas selected
Select a new EZ and adjust for the selection probability
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Challenge 2: differences in estimated sizes and actual sizes Image
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Challenge 3: Non-response adjustment using BART, because the sample size did not allow to use a CHAID, the standard method used by the team
Very high response rates! Image
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More from @rnishimura

May 12
Live tweeting session Detection and Mitigation: Developing Monitoring Tools to Ensure Quality in Interviewer-Administered Data Collection at #AAPOR
First is Joe Murphy (RTI) presenting A Dashboard for Field Survey Data Quality Management Image
Why an *interactive* dashboard?
Different users, different needs
Gives user control to what they need
Read 19 tweets
May 12
Live tweeting the panel of Elections and Nonresponse now here at #AAPOR
First is Cameron McPhee (SSRS) presenting Underestimation or Overcorrection? an Evaluation of Weighting and Likely-Voter Identification in 2022 Pre-Election Polls Image
2022 Election Polls did really well, with maybe some under-estimation of Democrats Image
Read 40 tweets
May 12
Live tweeting Methods and Election Polling at #AAPOR here
First is Mike Witherly presenting The Effect of Random Ballot Order in the 2018 and 2022 City of Vancouver Municipal Elections Image
Vancouver municipal elections:
Rare instance of down ballot races
Read 40 tweets
May 11
Live tweeting the #AAPOR session The Panel on the Panel: Development and Testing of a Probability-Based, Nationally-Representative Survey Panel for Federal Use
First is Victoria Dounoucus (RTI) presenting Qualitative Work to Inform Contact Materials and Baseline Questions for the Ask U.S. Panel Pilot Image
Cognitive interview in Microsoft Teams for ~1 hour, with 30 interview (21 in English, 9 in Spanish)
Read 34 tweets
May 10
Tweeting now session "Come In and Stay a While: Recruiting and Measuring Attrition" at #AAPOR
Kyle (SSRS) starts the session talking about chronic-nonrespondents in the SSRS probability panel Image
Defining chronic nonrespondents -- people who have not responded the survey after at least six invitation. Image
Read 40 tweets
May 10
Phillip Hastings (PRAMS) talks about maximum nonresponse bias in PRAMS. Seeing @rrandridge as one of the co-authors, I'm expecting to see some Pattern-Mixture Modelling and maybe even some SMUB or SMAB metrics. Image
Oh yeah, we have some Proxy Pattern-Mixture Models and some sensitivity analysisbright at the 3rd slide! My favorite approach to deal with Missing Not at Random!
For more about Proxy Pattern-Mixture Model, I recommend the excellent paper by Andrige and Little (2011): scb.se/contentassets/…
Read 10 tweets

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