Thread by @Catalist_US

Catalist just released our 2022 What Happened analysis, which examines how people voted in the most recent midterms based on updated state voter files.

Here’s what we found: 🧵

catalist.us/whathappened20…

Young voters crushed it. 🗳️🗳️🗳️

In states with heavily contested elections, young voters exceeded their record-breaking 2018 turnout and they voted heavily for Democratic candidates.

Normally, midterm electorates show uniform movement nationally. But this was NOT a normal midterm.

In heavily contested states, based on @CookPolitical ratings, the electorate was more Democratic, but in less contested states, it was more Republican.

Republicans suffered from extreme MAGA candidates. MAGA candidates performed 1 to 4 points worse than candidates who accepted the 2020 election results.

After Republican-appointed justices overturned Roe, voter registration spiked among women. Ultimately, women supported Democrats at 57%, two points higher than 2020. And public opinion on abortion saw big shifts.

In heavily contested races, Democrats largely retained their multi-racial, multi-generational winning coalition from 2020, but we get into more details in the full report.

What does this mean for 2024? Voting is habitual, so high turnout elections mean more people are likely to vote. But higher turnout is no guarantee that Democrats will win elections! The last few national elections have seen high turnout and razor-thin margins of victory.

Catalist will be releasing more data on the 2022 electorate over the summer to help inform campaigning with young voters as well as Black, Latino and AAPI communities and voters in likely 2024 swing states. Sign up for Catalist analysis to learn more: catalist.us/contact-us

Finally, we’re eager to take deeper dives on the data for commissioned research. If you’d like to explore supporting more research, please reach out! We’d love to discuss what we can do. catalist.us/contact-us.