Leor Sapir Profile picture
May 19 12 tweets 2 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
The myth that trans-identified kids will kill themselves if not given drugs and surgeries is pernicious disinformation.

Here are 10 things you need to know to combat it: 🧵
1. "Suicide" is not the same thing as "suicidality." The one refers to death and serious efforts to die, the other to ideation about suicide and non-lethal self-harm (typically cries for help). Helping kids deal with "suicidality" does not necessarily mean "life-saving" care.
2. Kids who identify as trans DO seem to be at higher risk for both suicide & suicidality. Thankfully, however, suicide is extremely rare even among trans-ID youth. There is NO evidence of an epidemic of youth suicide before "gender-affirming care" became available 15 years ago.
3. There is NO evidence that the risk of suicide/suicidality is because of "gender" issues. Consequently, there is no evidence that it can be best managed through social or medical transition.
4. There IS evidence that teenagers who ID as trans and seek medical transition have very high rates of preexisting mental health problems that are themselves linked to suicidal ideation and behavior.
5. It is very likely, therefore, that kids with suicidal tendencies are gravitating towards a trans ID rather than the other way around. The use of "minority stress" to explain (away) suicidality is unscientific. Classic correlation/causation confusion.
6. Systematic reviews of evidence abroad have found that studies linking hormonal interventions to reduced suicidality suffer from problems of bias and confounding, and are too unreliable to support "gender-affirming care" as an evidence-based practice.
7. Finland's top expert in pediatric gender medicine, the psychiatrist Dr. Riitta Kaltiala, recently told the country's liberal newspaper of record that the suicide narrative is "purposeful disinformation" and that using it is "irresponsible."
8. Putting the therapeutic focus on "gender" can come at the expense of proper exploratory therapy, which is the best tool we have for discerning and addressing the true causes of distress ("diagnostic overshadowing").
9. The CDC, suicide prevention groups, and LGBT advocacy groups have themselves warned NOT to say that some law or policy (like restricting access to sex change drugs and surgeries to age 18+) will cause suicide. Doing so can become a self-fulfilling prophecy.
10. Despite telling the public that decisions to medicalize are "highly individualized" and deferential to parental wishes, many parents report being bullied into agreeing to medicalization with suicide threats made by the clinicians, at times in front of their kids.
For citations and to read more about the affirm-or-suicide myth:

tabletmag.com/sections/scien…

city-journal.org/article/reckle…

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More from @LeorSapir

May 16
There is a lot to say about @MaggieAstor 's piece on detransitioners in the NYT times, but I want to focus on her claim that detransition is rare.

🧵
Here's what Astor says: "As more American teenagers have identified as transgender, it is difficult to say how many will transition medically — many transgender people do not — and precisely how many will later change course.
(cont.) Methodology, demographics and even the definition of detransition vary widely from study to study, which typically show that between 2 percent and 13 percent of people detransition, and not always because of regret."
Read 16 tweets
May 16
NEW: @DrLaurenWilson , president of @mt_aap (MT chapter of @AmerAcadPeds), recently wrote to @daily_montanan to express the AAP's opposition to SB 99, which restricts medical sex change to age 18+.

Today, The Daily Montanan published my response.

dailymontanan.com/2023/05/16/mon…
Montana parents deserve the full, unvarnished picture about pediatric gender medicine. They deserve to know that the AAP is not following the best available evidence.

pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/31838960/
They deserve to know that European countries have done systematic reviews of evidence and found the studies cited by groups like AAP to be too unreliable to support "gender-affirming care" for minors as an evidence-based practice.

bmj.com/content/380/bm…
Read 6 tweets
May 15
Aaron Sibarium's (@aaronsibarium) new piece for @FreeBeacon is essential reading for anyone interested in why medical policy in the U.S. is so extreme on transgender issues and why reform is so difficult here relative to Europe.

freebeacon.com/latest-news/ho…
Medical institutions have strong incentives to defer to interest groups like the Human Rights Campaign. These groups claim to speak on behalf of "communities," but lack the mechanisms to make them accountable to the people whose interests they claim to represent.
A political party has to face voters every few years. Who do the ACLU or HRC answer to other than foundations and deep-pocket donors?

In addition, the kind of people who want to work for these "public interest" groups are those who agree strongly with their ideological outlook.
Read 11 tweets
May 4
The Atlantic's Helen Lewis (@helenlewis) with a sensible piece on the U.S. as growing outlier in pediatric gender medicine. I'm featured in it, along with @heterodorx.

Some thoughts. 🧵

theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
Helen acknowledges the weak evidence and the course change in Europe, but says that U.S. bans are "unhelpful, illiberal, and in many cases disturbingly punitive."

No doubt, some are overly punitive--e.g., if they try to criminalized parents who agree to these interventions.
"Unhelpful"? That's a complicated question. Helpful toward what end? If the goal is to protect minors from medical harm, then we have to do a realistic assessment of our options.
Read 25 tweets
May 2
I’m thankful to Ari for doing this. However, with one minor exception, I do think my claims hold up. 🧵
My response: The authors do in fact say that it was “severe” for the 75%. Drennan is correct, however, that the percentage who had first contact with psych services before and for reasons other than gender issues is 68%, not 75%. A good catch, but this doesn’t negate the basic… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… ImageImage
Not sure how to respond here. Drennan provides the citation backing up my claim. I probably could have included it, and will try to do so in the future, but these numbers are well known by now. Image
Read 6 tweets
Apr 30
I greatly respect Jon Chait (@jonathanchait) for being curious and open-minded on this issue, but I think he's significantly underestimating the evidence we have of a broken "pattern of treatment" here in the U.S. 🧵
If you read the Cass Report, Hannah Barnes' Time to Think, the accounts of U.K. whistleblowers like Marcus Evans, the reports by Sweden's SBU and Finland's COHERE, and interviews by Finland's top gender doc R. Kaltiala, it becomes crystal clear that all had the same concern:
The use of a medical model that is too deferential to a patient's self-report of being trans, too unwilling to conduct differential diagnosis, and too dismissive about the iatrogenic risks of puberty blockers.
Read 27 tweets

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