This is the first thread in a series focusing on the potential independence of Russian regions. Our analysis examines their geography, history, and freedom movements to assess the likelihood of attaining autonomy.
HISTORY
Tatarstan was an independent Kazan Khanate since the 15th century when the Golden Horde fragmented. The territory of the Kazan Khanate included parts of other modern republics and regions such as the Chuvash Republic and Bashkortostan. /1
In the 16th century, Ivan the Terrible, the Tsar of Russia, launched a military campaign against the Khanate of Kazan. After a prolonged siege, Kazan fell to Muscovy in 1552. The conquest resulted in the incorporation of Tatarstan into the Tsardom of Muscovy. /2
Similarly to other regions conquered by Moscow, Kazan had to accept Christianization and Russification. /3
GEOGRAPHY
Tatarstan, with its capital in Kazan, is situated at the heart of modern Russia, bordered by the Volga River to the west. It is surrounded by other republics and a few Russian oblasts. /4
The region does not border any foreign country, and the closest border would be with Kazakhstan, which is 500km away. /5
POPULATION:
As of the 2021 census, Tatarstan has a population of approximately 4 million inhabitants. Ethnic Tatars constitute around 53% of the population, and their numbers have been steadily growing in recent years, while the presence of Russians has been declining. /6
ECONOMY:
Tatarstan boasts a robust economy, making it one of the most economically developed regions in Russia. The republic is highly industrialized and particularly prosperous in terms of oil production. /7
Tatarstan produces 32 million tonnes of crude oil annually and possesses estimated oil reserves of over 1 billion tons. As part of the Volga-Urals region, Tatarstan plays a significant role in Russia's oil industry. /8
Tatarstan's contribution to Russia's economy is noteworthy, providing substantial revenue to the Moscow budget. Should it attain independence, the Tatarstan Republic has the potential to thrive economically. /9
FREEDOM MOVEMENTS:
During the Civil War of 1918–1920, Tatar nationalists attempted to establish an independent republic. /10
Initially supported by the Bolsheviks, the state existed until March 1918 when high-ranking members of its parliament were arrested by the Bolsheviks, who denounced it as bourgeois, even before the official declaration of its constitution. /11
In 1991, Tatarstan DECLARED INDEPENDENCE. A referendum took place in 1992, with approximately two-thirds of respondents voting in favor of independence. /12
However, the Russian constitutional court did not recognize the referendum's legitimacy, leading to negotiations between Tatarstan and Russia. In 1994, a treaty was signed, granting Tatarstan the status of a sovereign state associated with Russia. /13
Tatarstan acquired the authority to impose taxes, draft its budget, conduct its own foreign relations and foreign economic activities, as well as control its land and resources. /14
Regrettably, due to Moscow's policies, Tatarstan's rights have been gradually diminished. The republic has faced continuous pressure and had to accept changes to its constitution. Furthermore, the position of the president will be discontinued after 2025. /15
Overall, pro-independence movements continue to persist. One notable organization is the civic movement Free Idel-Ural @IU_embassy, which advocates for the independence of the six Idel-Ural republics and their integration into a unified union. /16
@IU_embassy This organization was founded by Rafis Kashapov, a prominent leader of the Tatar national movement, who left Russia following his conviction for criticizing the Russian annexation of Crimea. /17
@IU_embassy In subsequent threads, we will further explore this organization as it relates to other regions as well. /18
@IU_embassy CONCLUSION
Considering Tatarstan's history of freedom movements and its robust economy, the current republic stands a good chance of achieving independence in the near future. /19
@IU_embassy The Tatar people have demonstrated resilience in preserving their cultural identity throughout the ages.
Although the Tatar population does not have an absolute dominance, the republic has prior experience with referendums and establishing its own independence. /20
@IU_embassy There are no insurmountable obstacles preventing Tatarstan from becoming an independent state, as the eventual end of Russian imperialism is near. /21
@IU_embassy Please engage with and share this thread. Even small actions like liking, commenting, and sharing can contribute to the cause of ending Russian imperialism.
#RussiaIsLosing #Tatarstan #Russia /22
The story of Mariupol defender Serhii Hrytsiv, a Ukrainian marine who survived inhumane conditions in Russian captivity for two and a half years. Please amplify.
1/ MARIUPOL
"Sergiy, a Marine, a sergeant. Я вибрав морську піхоту бо там своя традиції своя романтика. My battalion was like family— на жаль many are gone."
2/ "On the 24th, we were prepared. At 03:00, we rolled out. In the first days, we evacuated the wounded to Mariupol. But soon, the situation there became unbearable."
Torture of Ukrainians in Russian Captivity is a systematic procedure ordered from above. Summary from @WSJ research
@WSJ In March 2022, Igor Potapenko, head of the Federal Penitentiary Service (FSIN) in St. Petersburg, told FSIN special forces that there were “no restrictions on violence” against Ukrainian prisoners. He urged them to “be ruthless” and “show no mercy.” /1
@WSJ The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) spoke to three former Russian prison system employees—two special forces officers and a medical team member—who fled the country and testified to the International Criminal Court. /2
It is sad to see how Ukrainian allies justify Russian aggression and abandon their promises. For over 150 years, every generation of Ukrainians has suffered terrible consequences from imperialist neighbors.
THREAD
Let's go back to 1914. Modern-day Ukraine was divided between the Austro-Hungarian Empire and the Russian Empire. As the war started in August, battles began in western Ukraine. /1
At first, the Russian army gained some territory, but soon the front rolled back in the opposite direction. /2
The story of Mariupol defender Pavlo Afisov from the 36th Separate Brigade. While in captivity for 920 days, he survived terrible torture, beatings, and inhumane treatment from the Russians. Please amplify.
BATTLE OF MARIUPOL
"In 2021, our battalion was stationed in Talakivka, a village a few kilometers from Mariupol. That’s where we met the full-scale invasion." /1
"A week before the invasion, there were nightly artillery shellings along the front line. Then they started hitting the right bank of Mariupol. I didn’t believe there would be war. Thought it was just a provocation, even after Putin's recognition of the 'DNR' and 'LNR.'" /2
Andriy, call sign "Trytya," is a GUR soldier who flew to Mariupol in March 2022. After its defense, he spent nearly 900 days in captivity, where he met Steven Seagal. Following their conversation, he was severely beaten for his words.
"For me, the war began in 2014. As soon as I had the opportunity, I joined 'Azov,' as it was and remains one of the best units." /1
"I more or less expected the war to start. I moved my family to Rivne, understanding that Chernihiv would, at best, become a frontline city. /2
Thread. Russian propagandists are immediately reacting to Trump's post.
Sladkov: “I was outraged by Trump's lies: 'Russia helped us win WW2.'”
1/
Kotsnews:
“Biden's term will soon be remembered with nostalgia”
2/
Voenkor Kotenok:
"Whether under Carter, Reagan, or Biden, the task is the same - to saw off and destroy the Russian state. And Trump in this regard is not an exception, but rather the highest point of development of this ideology, concentrated in a single political figure."