Varad Mehta Profile picture
May 20 5 tweets 2 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Doug Burgum thinking about running for president isn't a sign Ron DeSantis is bleeding in the water. It's a sign Doug Burgum is experiencing a midlife crisis or suffers from a previously undiagnosed psychological ailment.
One paragraph: Sununu, Burgum, and Christie are thinking about running for president. Two paragraphs later: No one runs for president without "a detailed and plausible path to victory." That is a self-refuting argument. No such path exists for those three, and everyone knows it. Image
Actual legit contenders like Haley and Scott are polling under 5 percent. DeSantis is still the only guy besides Trump in double digits in state and national polls. The idea Doug Burgum or Chris Christie will "fill the role DeSantis was once assumed to hold" is pure fantasy. Image
"But there is a sense of urgency: any new entrants must get in before DeSantis has the opportunity to use his considerable resources to make it a two-person primary with Trump."

EXCEPT IT ALREADY IS!!! That's the point. Once DeSantis is in, it's too late for these also-runs.
The idea that Doug Burgum will jump into the race a week or two after DeSantis does and announces a ridiculous $25 million or so initial fundraising haul and still make some noise is absurd. It may describe some world, but it does not describe our world.

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More from @varadmehta

May 22
"Youngkin faces high-stakes state legislative races in November. So an announcement about a presidential race is likely to wait until right after that, Republican sources said."

THIS IS WHERE YOUNGKIN WAS A MONTH AGO. ABSOLUTELY NOTHING HAS CHANGED. THERE'S NOTHING NEW HERE.
You have to read all the way down to the ninth paragraph (or the Axios equivalent of a paragraph) to learn that Youngkin still wouldn't announce until after the November elections. Which we knew six weeks ago. And that's way too late unless the entire field implodes. Image
This the same donor-defecated manure Tara Palmeri was shoveling last month. And, again, this is why Americans hate journalists. The tweet insinuates Youngkin might be jumping in now. Click on the link, and it's literally the same info being regurgitated a twelfth time.
Read 5 tweets
May 22
"Why isn't Scott entering the race with the same stature as DeSantis despite his conservative record and political resume?"

Because his record and resume are thin in comparison and he gives off strong whiffs of the pre-2015 Republicanism the base hates. fivethirtyeight.com/features/tim-s…
"Scott has never netted more than 4 percent of the vote share. In multicandidate ballot tests not including Trump, Scott has never received more than 7 percent of the vote share. And in the past month, he’s been overtaken in polls by Ramaswamy."

I've already noted all of this.
That Ramaswampy has overtaken Haley and Scott has been evident for weeks.
Read 6 tweets
May 21
Every time I watch "Black Orchid," I think they only made that story because Peter Davison's costume as the Fifth Doctor was a cricketer's outfit.
"Black Orchid" was a rarity for "Doctor Who" - in 1982 and still today. The first pure historical since 1966/7's "The Highlanders" and the first two-parter since 1975's "The Sontaran Experiment"; and the last in the traditional 25-minute episode format.
"Black Orchid" on the surface bears a strong resemblance to the "The Unicorn and the Wasp": the Doctor and co. crash a fancy shindig on a lordly estate in early 20th-century England only to find themselves amidst murderous doings. Very murderous doings, by the body counts.
Read 18 tweets
May 20
The media coverage of Biden's handling of the debt limit isn't quite has negative as the coverage of the Build Back Better follies was for an entire year, but there's plenty of time left to get there.
No one remembers it now, but this is the sort of headline Joe Biden was receiving regularly for over a year, from late April of 2021 to the eve of the passage of the Inflation Reduction Act. theguardian.com/us-news/2022/j…
Read 8 tweets
May 20
"Hypnotic" is totally getting those "this movie rated 'rotten' on Rotten Tomatoes is currently No. 1 on Netflix" stories in a year. Image
I actually liked "Hypnotic," so I'm in the 36%. There's a lot of stuff you've seen before ("The Matrix," "Inception"), but it zigs and zags more times than a drunk doing a sobriety test, never gets bogged down, has Ben Affleck, and is over in a very efficient 92 minutes.
William Fichtner's fun as the bad guy, too, whose true identity we never actually learn.
Read 6 tweets
May 7
Pick the adjective you prefer - brutal, abysmal, appalling, catastrophic - but however you slice it, the new ABC News/Washington Post poll is absolutely terrible for Joe Biden. But it's so bad I wonder if they didn't just get an especially hostile sample. washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/…
For those who haven't seen them already, the big topline numbers -

Biden JA
36/56 (A)
37/56 (RV)
30/60 (I)

Better on the economy
Trump: 54/53/54
Biden: 36/38/31

2024
Trump: 44/45/42
Biden: 38/39/34

2024 with leaners
Trump: 49
Biden: 42 msn.com/en-us/news/pol…
There may be a universe where Donald Trump beats Joe Biden by seven points, but I would wager that we are not living in it. It's those kinds of numbers that lead me to wonder if this wasn't just a particularly bad sample for Biden. Especially given some of the other numbers.
Read 13 tweets

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