Eric Seufert Profile picture
May 21, 2023 15 tweets 7 min read Read on X
EVERYTHING IS AN AD NETWORK: Back in 2021, I proposed that "Everything is an ad network" because foundational changes in digital privacy were "upending many of the fundamental precepts" of digital advertising. This trend has accelerated since. Thoughts in a thread (1/X). Image
2/ The Information reports that Instacart delivered perhaps 30% of its revenue in 2022 from advertising. Instacart operates a grocery marketplace; why does 1/3rd of its revenue derive from ads? Because Everything is an Ad Network. theinformation.com/articles/insta… Image
3/ Similarly, Walmart delivered $2.7BN in advertising revenue in 2022, up 30% from 2021. In March, the company declared that it expects to derive more profit from ads and services than from core retail sales going forward. money.usnews.com/investing/news…
4/ In my original post on the topic, titled Everything is an ad network, I identify a number of advertising initiatives from retailers (RMNs, or retail media networks) which were launched or enlarged in the wake of Apple's App Tracking Transparency (ATT) privacy policy. Why? ImageImageImage
5/ ATT precipitated a tectonic upheaval in digital advertising. The IAB estimated in 2016 that, in combination, Facebook and Google captured 89% of all digital advertising spend growth. I wrote at the time that "Facebook and Google own our eyeballs." mobiledevmemo.com/facebook-googl… Image
6/ But ATT breaks the data feedback loop (on iOS) between large ad platforms and advertisers that facilitated behavioral profiling and user-level ad targeting. I describe this change and its consequences in The App Tracking Transparency Recession. mobiledevmemo.com/the-att-recess… Image
7/ Other, similar privacy restrictions will or have achieved the same: the DMA in Europe, Google's deprecation of third-party cookies in Chrome & the GAID on Android, etc. The tectonic upheaval will be universal. mobiledevmemo.com/rip-gaid-priva…
8/ Like Pangea, digital advertising's monolithic landmass of Google+FB is decomposing into a constellation of advertising platforms that don't rely (exclusively) on SDKs or pixels to pair user data with advertising outcomes. These new ad networks utilize first-party data (1PD). Image
9/ In the absence of a feedback loop of deterministically identifiable (through cookies or device identifiers) conversion data, 1PD aggregated through marketplace sales -- like Instacart's -- prevails. And that is playing out. From the original Everything is an ad network piece: Image
10/ Meta has adapted to this landscape disruption by utilizing AI to pursue two of the four opportunities for ad platform revenue growth I outline in this piece from July 2022: increase engagement (reels) and increase ad value (Advantage Plus). mobiledevmemo.com/unpacking-meta… Image
11/ Google has done the same with Shorts and its Performance Max (PMax) advertising product. But marketplace apps can simply conjure up advertising businesses because their 1PD (including simple contextual relevance) holds acute value now. mobiledevmemo.com/why-is-everyth…
12/ This is why Everything is an ad network: as @modestproposal1 pointed out in 2018, ad businesses are attractive, high-margin projects that can be derived from existing assets -- data. The tectonic upheaval in privacy has made them even more accessible.
13/ Note that ATT didn't engender this dynamic. As I wrote in 2018, Amazon challenged the Facebook+Google stranglehold on digital advertising revenue growth long before ATT. But ATT and other policies have enlivened this contest dramatically. mobiledevmemo.com/can-amazon-ups…
14/ And Amazon is a primary beneficiary! Amazon's ads business grew by 19% in Q4 2022 versus -0.21% for Alphabet and 4% for Meta. mobiledevmemo.com/alphabet-q4-ea…
15/ Everything is an ad network, November 2021: mobiledevmemo.com/everything-is-…

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Eric Seufert

Eric Seufert Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @eric_seufert

Nov 8, 2023
The black box inside the black box: Google announced yesterday the availability of its Generative AI-based creative tools in Performance Max campaigns. What considerations should marketing teams make in expanding total campaign automation to creative production? (1/X) Image
2/ First, dispelling two myths. The first: marketing teams view Generative AI as a novelty or a toy that is not yet practically useful. This simply isn't true: I've seen marketing teams that have radically improved their workflow with Generative AI tools already.
3/ Second, wholly automated campaign optimization tools like Advantage+ and PMax are naturally hostile to advertiser goals. This isn't true, either. These tools can present competing incentives, but many advertisers benefit materially from their use. mobiledevmemo.com/google-pmax-me…
Read 9 tweets
Nov 1, 2023
Apple and Google race to attribute the internet

The control exerted by Apple & Google over the consumer internet is often expressed in terms of content discovery / distribution & payments. But a more subtle and esoteric form of control is emerging: advertising attribution. (1/X)
Image
2/ Both Apple & Google have launched native advertising attribution frameworks for their mobile platforms & browsers. These dictate how and, crucially, how accurately digital advertising can be evaluated, based on rules set by these companies.
Image
Image
3/ These frameworks have been introduced alongside, or as components of, privacy policies that were authored by the platforms themselves. Moreover, it seems that the platforms' privacy restrictions don't consistently apply to their own advertising products.
Read 18 tweets
Oct 25, 2023
Meta announced changes to its Aggregated Event Measurement (AEM) protocol this May. Meta introduced AEM a few months after Apple revealed (but before it rolled out) the App Tracking Transparency (ATT) privacy policy. (1/X) Image
2/ AEM was initially modeled on Private Click Measurement, Apple's own privacy-focused attribution framework for web-to-web and web-to-app advertising campaigns. Meta stated as much in an early version of its documentation for AEM. Image
3/ But I noted when Meta first announced the changes coming to AEM that the reference to PCM had been removed from its documentation. I interpreted this as meaning that AEM would no longer be tethered to the PCM design imperative. Image
Read 9 tweets
Jun 30, 2023
Yesterday, The Verge reported that Meta will introduce a direct-to-install advertising product on Android in the EU once the DMA goes into effect next year. Some thoughts on the efficacy of such a product and its impact. (1/X)
2/ First, I believe the DMA will be systemically disruptive (in the EU). It has broad implications for all "gatekeepers" / large platform operators, not just on mobile. To my mind, the DMA represents a fundamental reset on competition in consumer tech. mobiledevmemo.com/a-deep-dive-on…
3/ Meta says that its ad product will allow consumers to install apps on Android directly from an ad click, sidestepping the intermediate step of visiting Google Play. This has the potential to meaningfully improve conversion rates (and thus decrease acquisition costs).
Read 11 tweets
Jun 6, 2023
Yesterday, Apple announced its new Privacy Manifests feature, which takes direct aim at device fingerprinting on iOS. Privacy Manifests will hold SDK publishers and app developers accountable for how user data is collected and utilized. (1/X) Image
2/ Apple explicitly stated in its blog post announcing Privacy Manifests that their intended purpose is to disrupt device fingerprinting to force app developers to indicate a legitimate use case for data collection by potentially non-compliant SDKs. From the post (emphasis mine): Image
3/ Apple's approach here is, to my mind, ingenious: by effectively segmenting SDK permissions from general app permissions and forcing developers to certify that SDKs are behaving in accordance with App Tracking Transparency, Apple places the onus of compliance on developers.
Read 14 tweets
Jun 5, 2023
Per this blog post, published today: Apple is taking direct aim at fingerprinting with Privacy Manifests. developer.apple.com/news/?id=av1ne… ImageImage
Apple seems to be saying that app developers will be held liable for the validity of SDK data use attestations through the privacy manifest system. Will a BigCo legal team be willing to sign off on data usage claims by a third party that it knows to be practicing fingerprinting?
I’d characterize this list of SDKs as “commercially sensitive.” Image
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(